Hurricane Irma - 2017-09-09 & 2017-09-10 - WINK excerpts

Channel: malgent

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Read a transcript preview of “Hurricane Irma - 2017-09-09 & 2017-09-10 - WINK excerpts” from malgent, uploaded on 2024-06-27.

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Language: English (original, YouTube automatic captions)

[0:00] but right now it looks like time of

[0:01] arrival is going to be after Sunset and

[0:05] remember the storm surge doesn't begin

[0:08] until it starts to move away so Collier

[0:10] first Lee second Charlotte third it's

[0:14] when the wind shifts and becomes more

[0:17] onshore model plots it's I'm almost done

[0:20] showing model

[0:21] plots model plot fatigue Anyway by now

[0:25] modop plots really don't matter anymore

[0:27] because there's no time for any major

[0:29] shift it's too the margin of error is

[0:31] narrowed so much and look how tight they

[0:34] are all right if we had one out here one

[0:35] out here then we continue to show the

[0:36] plots but they're all they're all in

[0:38] line essentially they're all right there

[0:41] and they're all in Southwest Florida

[0:44] pretty soon if I stop showing the model

[0:46] plots it's not because we don't have

[0:48] access to them it's just that they

[0:50] become meaningless the Hurricane's

[0:51] coming here that's the bottom line and

[0:54] the consensus pla degrees and there you

[0:56] have it coming just nearby coler's Coast

[1:00] it could be a landfall in Lee County or

[1:03] Coler or Charlotte but here it comes

[1:05] it's definitely headed for Southwest

[1:07] Florida now some of you have asked

[1:09] what's the chance that this trend toward

[1:11] the west

[1:12] continues and it moves even farther west

[1:16] when it parallels the coast and moves

[1:18] offshore that's not impossible but we're

[1:20] running out of time there aren't many

[1:22] hours left for that kind of a course

[1:24] correction to take place so everything

[1:26] we're telling you today is based on that

[1:30] that has to be the track that we base

[1:32] the forecast on the evacuation orders on

[1:36] and

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