Hurricane Irma - 2017-09-09 & 2017-09-10 - WINK excerpts
Channel: malgent
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Duration: PT8310S
Read a transcript preview of “Hurricane Irma - 2017-09-09 & 2017-09-10 - WINK excerpts” from malgent, uploaded on 2024-06-27.
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Language: English (original, YouTube automatic captions)
[0:00] but right now it looks like time of
[0:01] arrival is going to be after Sunset and
[0:05] remember the storm surge doesn't begin
[0:08] until it starts to move away so Collier
[0:10] first Lee second Charlotte third it's
[0:14] when the wind shifts and becomes more
[0:17] onshore model plots it's I'm almost done
[0:20] showing model
[0:21] plots model plot fatigue Anyway by now
[0:25] modop plots really don't matter anymore
[0:27] because there's no time for any major
[0:29] shift it's too the margin of error is
[0:31] narrowed so much and look how tight they
[0:34] are all right if we had one out here one
[0:35] out here then we continue to show the
[0:36] plots but they're all they're all in
[0:38] line essentially they're all right there
[0:41] and they're all in Southwest Florida
[0:44] pretty soon if I stop showing the model
[0:46] plots it's not because we don't have
[0:48] access to them it's just that they
[0:50] become meaningless the Hurricane's
[0:51] coming here that's the bottom line and
[0:54] the consensus pla degrees and there you
[0:56] have it coming just nearby coler's Coast
[1:00] it could be a landfall in Lee County or
[1:03] Coler or Charlotte but here it comes
[1:05] it's definitely headed for Southwest
[1:07] Florida now some of you have asked
[1:09] what's the chance that this trend toward
[1:11] the west
[1:12] continues and it moves even farther west
[1:16] when it parallels the coast and moves
[1:18] offshore that's not impossible but we're
[1:20] running out of time there aren't many
[1:22] hours left for that kind of a course
[1:24] correction to take place so everything
[1:26] we're telling you today is based on that
[1:30] that has to be the track that we base
[1:32] the forecast on the evacuation orders on
[1:36] and