Fox News - Election Night 2006 - 11 p.m. (E)

Channel: malgent

Transcript

Language: English (original, YouTube automatic captions)

[0:00] pressure.

[0:00] >> Steve, thank you very much. That's very

[0:02] revealing about what's not in in the uh

[0:05] in Missouri and it points to better

[0:07] things ahead at least uh when the St.

[0:10] Louis and Kansas City areas come in.

[0:11] Those areas do tend to vote heavily

[0:13] Democratic. She's trailing now by 52,000

[0:16] votes and a margin that could be easily

[0:18] overcome. I think it's fair to say by by

[0:20] the voting from those two big areas. And

[0:22] as Steve said, the Secretary of State is

[0:24] reporting that nothing is in. We got a

[0:25] couple of uh races we're going to look

[0:27] at here in this in Nevada. Uh this is

[0:30] not a a a surprise that the incumbent

[0:33] Republican Senator John Enson has won

[0:35] re-election over uh President Carter's

[0:37] son, Jack, as he was expected to. Uh

[0:40] Arizona, this is the eighth district in

[0:42] Arizona. This is a pickup for the

[0:44] Democrats. um and one of those one of

[0:47] those seats out west where there was

[0:49] worry uh that the that they that they

[0:51] would that the Republicans might not be

[0:53] able to hold it and high hopes that they

[0:55] would and it seems that uh that that

[0:57] that is going to go the other way adding

[0:59] yet one more to the uh to the count for

[1:01] the Republicans in the House and in

[1:03] Florida. This is a big disappointment

[1:05] for the Republicans. That's the Fort

[1:07] Lauderdale district. Clay Shaw, veteran,

[1:09] remember, one of those in line to

[1:10] possibly head the House Ways and Means

[1:12] Committee. And now it appears he won't

[1:13] be on the House Ways and Means Committee

[1:15] because he won't be in Congress and that

[1:16] Ron Klein has won that seat. And Heath

[1:19] Schuler uh has beaten the uh the

[1:23] Republican Charlie Taylor that's in the

[1:26] Charles Taylor that's in the Asheville

[1:28] western part of North Carolina in the in

[1:30] the mountains around there. Heath

[1:31] Scheler is a former quarterback for the

[1:32] Washington Redskins. He campaigned as a

[1:35] very conservative Democrat and has won

[1:37] 34 years old. Uh you can see he's from

[1:40] Wainesville, North Carolina. U he's a

[1:43] Baptist. He's a he's I think it's fair

[1:45] to say he's an evangelical Christian. Uh

[1:48] and he campaigned really as a as an

[1:50] out-and-out conservative. So um another

[1:54] victory for the Democrats in that

[1:55] particular race, but not a victory for

[1:57] the cause of liberalism, at least if if

[1:59] an example of it. know that you know

[2:00] Republicans tried to recruit him as an

[2:02] as a candidate several years ago and I'm

[2:04] sure they wish they'd gotten him. Uh the

[2:06] picture there of Charlie Taylor I think

[2:07] was somebody else. He's a

[2:10] >> older fellow. I thought either that's

[2:11] Charles Taylor's son or Charles Taylor

[2:13] many many years ago.

[2:14] >> The most interesting though of those

[2:16] races uh besides the Schuler race was

[2:18] Arizona 8. This is the district that it

[2:21] had been held by Jim Colby uh a a

[2:24] moderate Republican. It's right on the

[2:26] Arizona border with Mexico. It is

[2:28] probably the district in this country

[2:29] that has more illegal immigrants coming

[2:32] across it uh than any other in the

[2:33] country. And Randy Graph, the Republican

[2:36] who has lost, had one big issue, and it

[2:38] was the immigration issue. He was a

[2:40] member of the Minutemen uh and uh and he

[2:43] defeated some sort of handpicked, you

[2:45] know, White House candidate who was a

[2:47] more moderate who they thought might

[2:48] win, but he won the primary in the

[2:50] primary.

[2:51] >> And so there he was out there. And so it

[2:53] would it is one uh where I think uh this

[2:57] very restrictionist immigration message

[3:00] uh that he had was rejected

[3:02] >> and in a place where one would think

[3:03] there'd be a high degree of sensitivity.

[3:05] Absolutely.

[3:06] >> Well, of course there was there also now

[3:07] you have to ask yourself the question of

[3:09] how much of an Hispanic American

[3:10] population there was in that district as

[3:12] well which could have certainly

[3:13] advantaged the Democrats.

[3:14] >> Well remember this was a Republican held

[3:16] district.

[3:16] >> That's important to note. Indeed that

[3:18] is. So, let's look at our um our house

[3:21] balance of power bill, if you can update

[3:23] it for us on that wonderful little uh

[3:25] electronic chart you have there. Uh

[3:27] we're working toward that now as uh as

[3:30] >> and and we have yet another uh another

[3:34] seat swinging. I guess we move that

[3:35] Arizona seat if you have it handy into

[3:37] that category. But you can see now uh

[3:40] that the tally begins to mount and uh

[3:43] and we're talking now not probably about

[3:45] whether uh the house will go go

[3:48] Democratic but to but but how much it

[3:51] will go democratic and that of course

[3:52] has been kind of the story we were

[3:54] expecting from fairly early in the

[3:55] evening. You got a whole bunch of

[3:56] pickups there. That's nine already

[4:00] um with potentially more to come.

[4:02] Florida 22 which is over there on the

[4:04] right hand side still needs to be moved

[4:05] over. That's the place Shaw seat we were

[4:07] just talking about. And uh we can move

[4:09] that over into the uh into the

[4:11] Democratic column. At least we hope we

[4:13] can if we can get the thing to work

[4:15] here. Right.

[4:15] >> This is pretty cool the way you're able

[4:16] to do this. So I want to see you make

[4:18] some of those cool little yellow

[4:19] squiggly lines that will that have

[4:21] proved particularly insightful. But

[4:23] >> um you see those others over there that

[4:25] are still There you go. I like those

[4:26] little Yeah, they're cool. And u and

[4:29] you're getting better at them as the

[4:30] night goes on.

[4:31] >> Basically Democrats are going to win the

[4:33] House. our own projection. I think we

[4:35] still say they need two seats. They just

[4:37] haven't been able to call those seats.

[4:38] But certainly the way it's going, the

[4:40] Democrats look like they're heading

[4:41] towards a 30 seat or so majority in the

[4:44] House.

[4:44] >> 30 seat pickup.

[4:45] >> I'm sorry. 30 30 seat pickup, which

[4:47] would be a 15 seat majority. If that

[4:48] were the pickup, that would exactly

[4:50] reverse the current Republican majority

[4:52] to give people a sense of how easy or

[4:54] difficult it will be to govern with that

[4:56] kind of 15 seat majority. Republicans

[4:58] have been what 232 to 202 with one

[5:01] nominal independent who se who sits with

[5:03] the with the Democrats. So they've had

[5:05] about a 29 seat margin, right?

[5:07] >> And of course in the House if you can

[5:10] keep your own troops in line with any

[5:11] kind of a margin, you can ram through

[5:13] whatever you want and run any kind of

[5:14] investigation you want. Yeah. Um but it

[5:17] but it doesn't guarantee you're going to

[5:18] get anything through the other body.

[5:19] >> Right. And a 15 seat majority is not bad

[5:21] in the House. There've been smaller ones

[5:23] that the Republicans have had. On the

[5:24] other hand, as we've just been saying

[5:26] here, a lot of these new Democrats are

[5:27] moderate or even conservative, and

[5:29] they'll vote for things like a hike in

[5:31] the minimum wage or some very, you know,

[5:33] uh, small boore Democratic measures, but

[5:36] I don't think they're on board for

[5:37] cutting off funds in Iraq or for major

[5:40] big government programs. But the Senate

[5:42] will be, of course, I mean, will be the

[5:45] so closely divided, it's hard to believe

[5:47] that any big legislation is going to be

[5:48] ran through that. Hold it. Hold. We got

[5:51] I'm sorry. One, I'll come right back to

[5:52] you in a minute. We got a call we're

[5:53] able to make and this is one that's of

[5:54] some note in New York. This is the 26th

[5:56] district and this is Tom Reynolds who

[5:58] was thought to be in fairly serious

[6:00] trouble against businessman Jack Davis

[6:01] there. Uh he of course was someone who

[6:04] would looks like he was way too close to

[6:07] uh to Mark Foley and it appears now we

[6:10] now project that Tom Reynolds will win

[6:12] and survive in that seat. That was a

[6:14] potential pickup. I think that as as the

[6:16] weeks wore on Reynolds looked to be in

[6:17] increasingly better shape. I'm sorry

[6:18] Juan I interrupted you. Go ahead. Well,

[6:20] it's just to quickly say on that, you

[6:21] know, that that seat, I don't know how

[6:22] endangered it was. It was because people

[6:24] felt he hadn't acted enough quickly

[6:26] enough on Foley, but it would have been

[6:27] more of an embarrassment. That was not

[6:29] considered a seat that was going to make

[6:30] a big difference.

[6:31] >> No, that was not considered a make or

[6:32] break seat in any way.

[6:33] >> But you go back to to to another point.

[6:35] So many conservative Democrats, Joe

[6:37] Cest, the former admiral coming out of

[6:38] Pennsylvania, he

[6:39] >> he's a guy that beat who beaten

[6:44] 10 in the suburbs of of Philadelphia,

[6:46] >> right? And then you go to Heath Schuler.

[6:48] Uh, and we just keep looking across the

[6:50] country and what you see is that these

[6:52] are conservative Democrats and these are

[6:54] conservative Democrats who are going to

[6:55] bring but they're the thing is they're

[6:57] the young bloodoods coming in. But the

[6:58] ability to hold together and ram

[7:01] anything through uh to go back to the

[7:03] idea of a majority of the majority that

[7:05] you know the old uh principle that

[7:07] Hastard used among Republicans that's

[7:08] not going to work for this new group of

[7:10] Democrats coming in.

[7:11] >> Another call to be made now in New York.

[7:14] This is the 20th district and this is

[7:15] veteran Republican Congressman John

[7:17] Sweeney and we predict that he is gone.

[7:20] So that's another pickup for the and I

[7:22] know and and I think a quite unwelcome

[7:24] one for the Republicans. I think this is

[7:25] a seat that they figured on a night that

[7:27] they if they were going to have any

[7:28] chance in the house, they were certainly

[7:29] going to have to hold this seat.

[7:30] >> Well, and the reason was there's an

[7:32] 80,000 advantage of registered

[7:34] Republican voters in that district.

[7:35] Again, remember this was a gerrymandered

[7:38] seat because Republicans and Democrats

[7:40] got together in New York and really

[7:42] decided, you know, well, you'll get this

[7:44] seat and we'll get this seat. And this

[7:45] is one that Republicans thought they

[7:47] had. It shows you though that that in

[7:50] the Northeast, registered Republicans uh

[7:52] are not quite the same as registered

[7:54] Republicans in the South. I mean,

[7:55] they're not uh necessarily

[7:57] conservatives. And uh and that's one of

[7:59] the reasons Sweeney lost.

[8:00] >> Couple more to call here. This is

[8:02] California Senate. No surprise here that

[8:04] this uh this particular seat, but many

[8:06] of you didn't know that Diane Feinstein

[8:07] [laughter] was running. Diane Feinstein

[8:09] is running and she has won Hawaii.

[8:12] There's even some late buzz on some

[8:14] blogs that Daniel Aaka might be uh might

[8:17] lose. But he didn't lose. We project

[8:20] Daniel Aaka has won and I suspect given

[8:22] when the polls probably closed out

[8:24] there, probably won pretty handily uh or

[8:26] we wouldn't be calling it so quickly. Um

[8:29] late out in Hawaii. I mean, it's early

[8:30] out in Hawaii compared to here. It's

[8:31] like 6:00. So, um we we project Haka the

[8:36] winner.

[8:36] >> Um further thoughts on um on the on on

[8:40] the on the picture. It's down now, isn't

[8:42] it? It's down to

[8:44] >> the suspense is probably over about

[8:45] which way the house is going. The only

[8:47] question is by how much.

[8:48] >> Uh but the suspense is on on the Senate.

[8:51] This is this is getting to be quite a

[8:53] night.

[8:53] >> We've got I count uh I don't know what

[8:56] Bill's got over there, but 13 13 House

[8:58] seats have gone has gone over at the

[9:00] moment. So they we need to find two and

[9:02] there'll there'll certainly be there are

[9:03] enough hanging out there in in Ohio and

[9:06] Connecticut and uh and Pennsylvania that

[9:08] that the the Democrats are definitely

[9:10] going to go over the top. It's a

[9:12] question as you say by how much and um

[9:14] and there are you know a bunch of uh a

[9:16] bunch of seats.

[9:17] >> Let's go back if we can to the to the

[9:19] Allen web race in Virginia just to keep

[9:22] a breast of the popular vote there. It

[9:24] might take us a minute to get it up on

[9:25] the screen, but this is down. We're

[9:28] north than 90% of the of the of the raw

[9:30] vote being counted there. And as Michael

[9:33] Baron was pointing out to us, it's a

[9:35] very mixed picture in terms of the

[9:37] places where votes are still

[9:39] outstanding. Now, we don't see anything

[9:40] in there in terms of of the vote total.

[9:42] So, that's a a relatively useless board.

[9:45] So, maybe we can dispense with that in

[9:46] favor of something that might tell us a

[9:48] little bit more. Um but um what do we

[9:51] what last time we looked it was up to 95

[9:54] plus%.

[9:55] And the state what the secretary of

[9:57] state's office had the margin at

[9:58] something like 12,000. Bill, am I right?

[10:00] >> Right. Last we looked there Allen had

[10:02] about 12,000 vote margin with if I could

[10:04] do the math right in my head about a

[10:06] 100,000 votes still to come. Mike Baron

[10:09] said a lot of those votes are coming

[10:10] from African-American areas. Now, that

[10:12] has a 29,000 vote margin with with uh

[10:16] with 96% counted. Uh the tal tabulations

[10:20] on the Secretary of State's website have

[10:22] been a little bit at variance with that.

[10:24] Uh probably we may be a little behind. I

[10:27] I doubt that they're a little behind,

[10:28] but 29,000 vote margin with 4%

[10:31] outstanding could be overcome. It It's

[10:34] not meaningless, though. No, that would

[10:36] mean if it could be overcome if the huge

[10:38] if most of