PBS NewsHour - 1996-02-21

Channel: malgent

Transcript

Language: English (original, YouTube automatic captions)

[0:06] Good evening, I'm Jim Lara. On the

[0:08] NewsHour tonight, the post New Hampshire

[0:10] fight for the soul of the Republican

[0:12] party as seen by four Republican

[0:15] activists. Analysis of that, another New

[0:17] Hampshire results by Mark Shields and

[0:19] Paul Ziggo. A newsmaker interview with

[0:22] outgoing State Department official

[0:23] Richard Hullbrook. And essayist Phyllis

[0:26] Thorough explains the secret of a good

[0:28] family. It all follows our summary of

[0:30] the news this Wednesday. Major funding

[0:33] for the NewsHour with Jim Ler has been

[0:35] provided by the Archer Daniels Midland

[0:37] Company, ADM, Supermarket to the World,

[0:42] and by New York Life, yet another

[0:45] example of New York Life's wise

[0:47] investment philosophy,

[0:51] and by the Corporation for Public

[0:53] Broadcasting, and by the annual

[0:55] financial support from viewers like you.

[0:58] The Republican presidential race moved

[1:00] on from New Hampshire today. Yesterday's

[1:03] winner, Pat Buchanan, was in South

[1:05] Carolina this morning. He said one

[1:07] reason he finished first in New

[1:08] Hampshire was his strong anti-abortion

[1:11] stance.

[1:13] >> I think we have a fighting chance to win

[1:15] South Carolina for several reasons. We

[1:17] are with South Carolina on all of the

[1:19] great issues of the South Carolina

[1:22] Republican Party. The issue of right to

[1:25] life. There is no stronger right to life

[1:29] candidate who is left running in the

[1:31] Republican party than Pat Buchanan.

[1:33] Indeed, I am the only right to life

[1:36] candidate who is committed to keeping

[1:39] the right to life blank in the platform

[1:41] to picking a pro-life running mate to

[1:44] appointing justices who will overturn

[1:46] Roie Wade.

[1:48] >> Senator Bob Dole finished second last

[1:50] night in Fargo, North Dakota today. He

[1:52] told supporters he's going to fight

[1:54] hard. He said a Buchanan candidacy would

[1:57] polarize the Republican party.

[2:00] >> Right now, it's down to two people,

[2:03] myself and Pat Buchanan.

[2:06] And I'm not here to criticize anybody.

[2:07] I'm just here to give you the challenge

[2:10] because it is a fight for the heart and

[2:13] soul of the Republican party. It is a

[2:16] fight for mainstream conservatism versus

[2:18] extremism. It is a fight for mainstream

[2:21] conservatism. And I've been a mainstream

[2:23] conservative all my life. As a Fargo

[2:26] forum said today,

[2:28] >> Lamar Alexander, who came in third last

[2:30] night in New Hampshire, urged Dole to

[2:32] retire from the race and let him fight

[2:34] Buchanan one- on-one. The next primary

[2:37] is in Delaware Saturday. Then it's on to

[2:39] the Arizona, South Dakota, and North

[2:41] Dakota primaries next Tuesday. President

[2:45] Clinton said today he was pleased with

[2:46] his 95% vote in the Democratic side to

[2:49] the New Hampshire primary, but he would

[2:51] not comment on the Republican results.

[2:53] He spoke at a White House photo

[2:55] opportunity with the president of

[2:57] Ukraine.

[2:59] >> I regard this whole process as one for

[3:00] the Republicans to work out. I'm I'm

[3:03] going to be president and go out there

[3:06] and tell the people what I'm trying to

[3:08] do and what I would do if given them a

[3:11] greater opportunity to do it. and I'm

[3:13] not going to get involved in their

[3:14] business or yours.

[3:16] >> We'll have much more on the New

[3:17] Hampshire primary results right after

[3:19] this new summary. In the Whitewater

[3:21] investigation, two Arkansas bankers were

[3:24] indicted for bank fraud late yesterday.

[3:26] They allegedly helped then Governor

[3:28] Clinton pay off campaign debts in 1990.

[3:30] The indictment was obtained by

[3:32] Whitewater prosecutor Kenneth Star from

[3:34] a federal grand jury. Herby Bransk Jr.

[3:37] and Robert Hill are accused of using

[3:39] bank funds to reimburse donors for

[3:41] contributions they made to the Clinton

[3:43] campaign. The man who brokered the

[3:45] Bosnian Peace Accord left the State

[3:47] Department today. Assistant Secretary of

[3:49] State Richard Hullbrook will join a New

[3:51] York investment bank tomorrow as vice

[3:53] chairman. He spoke today at a State

[3:55] Department briefing about the importance

[3:57] of peace in Bosnia.

[3:59] >> Bosnia is the ballgame for United States

[4:03] policy in Europe in this year. We have

[4:06] staked a great deal on success in

[4:08] Bosnia. Failure is unthinkable. I know

[4:11] you're going to ask me about the

[4:12] difficulties we're encountering the last

[4:14] few days and we can discuss those. But I

[4:16] want to be clear that none of you in

[4:18] this room and me as well would have

[4:21] believed a few months ago that Sarah Evo

[4:24] would be opening up. People are reaching

[4:26] across the boundary lines. Elizabeth

[4:29] Farnsworth will interview Secretary

[4:30] Hullbrook later in the program. In

[4:33] Britain today, an oil tanker grounded

[4:35] off the western coast of Wales has now

[4:37] spilled 19 million gallons of oil.

[4:40] That's 8 million more than the 1989

[4:42] Exxon Vald spill in Alaska. The accident

[4:46] occurred near one of Britain's leading

[4:48] wildlife sanctuaries. We have more in

[4:50] this report from James Bay of

[4:52] Independent Television News.

[4:55] All day, Dakotas have again been flying

[4:57] sorties. But despite the aerial spraying

[5:00] operation, numerous slicks now arc

[5:02] around the West Wales Peninsula. As

[5:05] experts prepare another attempt to move

[5:07] the Sea Empress, which has now lost half

[5:09] its cargo, serious questions are being

[5:12] asked about the way the salvage

[5:14] operation has been directed.

[5:16] >> The operation hasn't gone according to

[5:18] plan. We've been faced with very severe

[5:20] weather conditions uh indeed very strong

[5:23] tides and you simply I agree that it's

[5:25] frustrating but you simply cannot just

[5:27] say oh she must be got off. We're all

[5:29] trying extremely hard to get her off.

[5:32] >> Environmentalists are getting

[5:33] increasingly exasperated.

[5:35] >> Frankly, this whole effort has been what

[5:36] you'd expect from a third world country.

[5:38] It's a little short of a of a national

[5:40] disgrace. I I feel embarrassed to be

[5:41] British.

[5:43] >> This oiled seabird was taken to a bird

[5:45] clinic shortly after these pictures were

[5:47] taken. Environmentalists fear, however,

[5:50] that thousands of others are already

[5:52] dead or dying.

[5:54] >> Tugboats did dislodge the tanker from

[5:56] the rocks this evening. They are pushing

[5:58] it away from the coast so the remaining

[6:01] oil can be pumped into another vessel.

[6:04] In Colorado today, a freight train

[6:06] derailed, killing two crew members. The

[6:08] accident ruptured tank cars, spilling

[6:11] sulfuric acid in a mountain pass between

[6:13] Leadville and Vale. It was the fifth

[6:15] major train accident in the United

[6:17] States this month. Composer Morton Gould

[6:21] died today in Florida. He was the master

[6:23] of weaving American themes into

[6:25] symphonic works. He won the Pulitzer

[6:27] Prize in 1995 for his composition,

[6:30] String Music. Gould was a child prodigy

[6:32] whose first music was published at the

[6:34] age of six. The cause of his death was

[6:37] not immediately announced. He was 82

[6:39] years old. And that's it for the news

[6:41] summary tonight. Now it's on to

[6:43] Republicans looking at their post New

[6:45] Hampshire prospects. Shields and you go,

[6:48] a farewell interview with Richard

[6:50] Hullbrook and a Phyllis Theorough essay.

[7:02] The fallout from New Hampshire is first

[7:04] tonight. For the candidates, it was on

[7:05] to the next primary stops along the

[7:07] nomination road.Wami Holman reports. Pat

[7:11] Buchanan didn't waste any time leaving

[7:13] New Hampshire last night after his

[7:15] primary victory. Sporting a wide grin,

[7:17] he held up the first edition of

[7:19] Wednesday's New Hampshire Union Leader,

[7:21] then turned and boarded his jet for a

[7:24] late night flight to South Carolina,

[7:26] site of the March 2nd primary.

[7:30] This morning, Buchanan held a brief news

[7:32] conference in Colombia and reiterated

[7:34] his commitment to what he called right

[7:36] to life issues.

[7:38] Neither Senator Dole nor Lamar Alexander

[7:40] has made such commitments. And that's

[7:43] why it is imperative that the right to

[7:45] life movement, unite now. United we win.

[7:50] Divided we cannot.

[7:52] >> This afternoon, Buchanan traveled on to

[7:54] North and South Dakota. Both states hold

[7:57] primaries next week.

[7:59] >> You heard that new that movie Sleepless

[8:01] in Seattle?

[8:03] I got a NEW ONE CALLED CLUELESS IN

[8:05] WASHINGTON.

[8:10] THAT WHOLE ESTABLISHMENT UP THERE. THEY

[8:12] DON'T KNOW WHAT'S GOING ON OUT IN

[8:13] AMERICA.

[8:14] >> NEW Hampshire's second place finisher,

[8:16] Senator Bob Dole, wife Elizabeth, and

[8:18] his top campaign aids left the state in

[8:21] a driving rainstorm this afternoon. Dole

[8:24] also planned campaign stops in North

[8:26] Dakota, South Dakota, and Colorado. But

[8:29] before leaving New Hampshire today, Dole

[8:31] held one more news conference and talked

[8:33] about his narrow loss to Pat Buchanan. I

[8:36] never have given up easily in my life

[8:40] and I'm not going to give up. Obviously,

[8:42] now this is a little bump in the road,

[8:43] but not a very big bump. I keep counting

[8:45] those figures. Now, we're fractionating

[8:46] them. It looks a little better to put

[8:48] fractions in there. So, we're doing a

[8:50] lot of things to make it look like a

[8:51] dead heat.

[8:54] And I think the time I get to North

[8:56] Dakota will be a dead heat.

[8:57] >> Dole was asked what kind of effect

[9:00] Buchanan's rise in popularity would have

[9:02] on the Republican party. Well, you know,

[9:05] if I if I thought this was any

[9:06] indication he'd be the nominee, I'd be a

[9:08] little worried. But this is not. I mean,

[9:11] if if this was the fact that he won by a

[9:13] narrow margin in New Hampshire, the

[9:16] second real state in the process with 26

[9:20] to go in the next 30 days, I'd be

[9:22] nervous. Now, if we're back here on the

[9:24] 5th of March and we're holding a press

[9:26] conference, say in Boston, and he swept

[9:28] New England and won all the others, then

[9:30] I'll I'll be a little concerned. But

[9:32] this is just one one stop on the way.

[9:36] One stop on the way. He's gonna make his

[9:39] case and he made it here barely. We'll

[9:43] see if he makes it in Dotas

[9:46] and uh but I I want to leave this in a

[9:49] very positive. He won. Congratulations

[9:51] Pat. We'll see you at the next event.

[9:54] There 26 of them this year. And if you

[9:56] win all those

[9:59] uh I'll call you up.

[10:03] As for Lamar Alexander, the third place

[10:05] finisher in New Hampshire, he's short on

[10:07] money as he continues his campaign. But

[10:10] his problem this morning was the

[10:12] weather. Rain and fog delayed his flight

[10:14] out of New Hampshire, forcing him to

[10:16] scrap plans for an afternoon rally in

[10:18] Marietta, Georgia. The former Tennessee

[10:20] governor eventually was able to fly out

[10:23] in time to attend a rally this evening

[10:25] in South Carolina. My goal has always

[10:28] been that as we came out of the New

[10:29] Hampshire primary, I would have a chance

[10:32] to be one of those who has a ch have a

[10:35] chance to be one of those on the stage

[10:36] and the one of those who would be most

[10:40] likely to unite our party and to beat

[10:43] Bill Clinton. Pat Buchanan won the New

[10:46] Hampshire primary. Give him credit for

[10:49] that. Bob Dole lost it. But I believe

[10:52] that coming out of yesterday, I'm the

[10:55] real long-term winner with the best

[10:58] chance to unite the Republican party,

[11:00] defeat Buchananism, and beat Bill

[11:03] Clinton. Thank you.

[11:05] >> Now, four perspectives on what the New

[11:07] Hampshire results mean for the

[11:08] Republican party. Ben Weber is

[11:10] co-chairman of the Dole campaign and

[11:12] vice chairman of Empower America. Gary

[11:15] Bower, who served in the Reagan

[11:16] administration, is head of the Family

[11:18] Research Council and American Renewal.

[11:21] Senator Fred Thompson of Tennessee is an

[11:23] Alexander supporter. He'll be joining us

[11:24] in a few minutes. And Stone is the

[11:27] chairman of Republicans for Choice. Gary

[11:30] Bower, Senator Dole said today the race

[11:32] now was between mainstream conservatism

[11:35] and extremism. Do you agree? I

[11:37] >> I don't. And I I hope the senator who is

[11:39] a good man will avoid that kind of

[11:41] rhetoric. There there admittedly

[11:42] differences between these candidates and

[11:44] they ought to debate them. But I think

[11:46] that uh if you're concerned about

[11:48] immigration, if you're concerned about

[11:50] the sanctity of human life, as millions

[11:52] of Americans are, if you believe that

[11:54] the lower middle class and workingclass

[11:56] Americans have a legitimate right to be

[11:58] anxious about their jobs and the

[12:00] economic future, those are mainstream

[12:03] issues. And I think the reason that uh

[12:05] Pat Buchanan has done better than

[12:07] expected so far is that he's touched

[12:09] some nerves in those areas. And my

[12:11] party, I believe, really needs to listen

[12:12] carefully to the themes that he's

[12:14] sounding.

[12:15] >> And Weber, why then does Senator Doe

[12:18] call Pat Buchanan and those views

[12:20] extremism?

[12:21] >> Well, first of all, let me say I I want

[12:22] to say I agree with Gary. It's not

[12:24] helpful to have that rhetoric in the

[12:25] campaign going in any direction. But I

[12:27] also want to make a very important

[12:28] distinction. Senator Dole and others

[12:30] that refer to Papuchan as an extremist,

[12:32] but particularly Senator Dole, are

[12:34] probably not referring to the issues

[12:35] that Gary is most concerned about.

[12:37] They're probably referring to foreign

[12:38] policy positions that can really be

[12:40] interpreted by most Americans as

[12:41] extreme. And I think that's quite

[12:43] different.

[12:44] >> Give us an example.

[12:45] >> Well, because we saw in some of the

[12:46] Sunday talk shows last Sunday, the

[12:48] suggestion in the past Buchanan column

[12:50] that we should allow the Asian tigers,

[12:52] as you will Taiwan and Japan and South

[12:54] Korea, to to develop nuclear weapons.

[12:57] That may be something that should be

[12:59] debated. Probably not in the midst of a

[13:00] presidential campaign. I think that his

[13:02] trade position can well be described as

[13:04] extreme. certainly is at odds with the

[13:06] trade position of the Republican party

[13:07] since World War II and of every

[13:09] Republican president since then and

[13:10] extremely so. So that's you know whether

[13:14] I don't like charged rhetoric, but it is

[13:17] fair to take on positions that fly in

[13:19] the face of Republican policy in the

[13:21] entire postw World War II era and that

[13:23] reflect on our position of leadership in

[13:25] the world in a very fundamental way and

[13:27] draw attention to them.

[13:28] >> You have a problem with that, Gary Bar?

[13:30] Well, there's some interesting points

[13:31] there, but uh look, Ronald Reagan uh

[13:34] protected Harley-Davidson when it was

[13:36] getting ready to go out of business. Uh

[13:38] uh the Chrysler bailout, a lot of

[13:39] conservatives, uh opposed it at the

[13:41] time, but Chrysler is alive and well

[13:43] today. I think what Buchanan is trying

[13:45] to say here is that American workers in

[13:47] some case fa face unfair competition and

[13:51] it's a legitimate thing for the

[13:52] Republican party to signal that they

[13:55] understand the anxiety in the kind of

[13:57] communities where I grew up in the

[13:58] Midwest where heavy industry has shut

[14:01] down and a lot of people are feeling

[14:02] that their children won't have the same

[14:05] chances they do now. We need lower

[14:06] taxes. We need smaller government, which

[14:09] are Republican positions we all agree

[14:10] on. But I think Buchanan on that issue

[14:12] is hitting a nerve as well as he is on

[14:16] the family issues, which I think my

[14:18] party has been a little too cavalier

[14:19] about. A lot of rhetoric, but not much

[14:22] action.

[14:23] >> And Stone, where do you come down on

[14:24] this extremism versus mainstream

[14:27] conservatism?

[14:28] >> Well, I've known Pat for 25 years and

[14:30] and he's a pugilist. He's a pug

[14:33] pugilistic candidate. I mean, he's a

[14:35] he's a fighter,

[14:35] >> extreme pugilist.

[14:36] >> He's an extreme pugilist. And he'd tell

[14:38] you his pugilism and his youth got him

[14:40] in a lot of trouble. And people love a

[14:42] good fighter. They love a guy that's out

[14:43] there willing to to, you know, fight the

[14:45] good fight. But the problem is that kind

[14:47] of person can't always govern. And we

[14:49] really have to get real about, you know,

[14:51] what would Pat Buchanan be able to do as

[14:53] president? I think he'd be totally

[14:54] isolated. He wouldn't have the Congress

[14:56] working with him, even if they were

[14:57] Republican controlled. And we have to

[14:59] worry about, you know, where he could

[15:01] really take the country. He is not

[15:03] Ronald Reagan. He is he is much more um

[15:06] antagonistic than Reagan ever was.

[15:08] Reagan was always able to build bridges

[15:10] and Pat seems very content to burn them

[15:12] down. So he also um says, you know, that

[15:15] he isn't for broadening the party. He is

[15:17] for keeping the people that agree with

[15:19] him in the party and his problem long

[15:21] term is going to be simple math and that

[15:23] is his part of the party can't elect him

[15:26] and can't elect other Republicans. Gary

[15:28] Bow, do you do you that has been said

[15:30] many times in the last 24 hours and many

[15:33] times before the last 24 hours that that

[15:36] Pat Buchanan had there's a ceiling to

[15:38] his support and he's not interested in

[15:39] bringing in any new people. He's not

[15:41] interested in bringing in anybody who

[15:42] doesn't agree with him.

[15:43] >> Well, I've got this quaint little view

[15:44] that the American people ought to decide

[15:46] whether somebody's electable or not. I I

[15:48] think this is an interesting coalition

[15:50] that he could put together. That is

[15:52] bluecollar workers, Perau voters,

[15:54] northeastern Catholics, evangelicals. I

[15:57] think I think the jury's out. I I would

[15:58] also caution my Republican friends that

[16:01] this same rhetoric that's being used

[16:03] against Pat Buchanan was used against

[16:05] Ronald Reagan in 1976. He was called too

[16:07] extreme. Everybody in the party wanted

[16:09] him to get out of the race when he

[16:11] challenged Gerald uh when he when he

[16:13] challenged Gerald Ford. Uh this rhetoric

[16:15] has always been applied to conservatives

[16:17] and I think my party makes a mistake if

[16:19] it starts turning it on each other.

[16:21] Gary, the only point I'll Reagan held

[16:23] exactly that coalition together and he

[16:26] also reached out and kept together

[16:28] moderate Republicans and moderate

[16:29] independent voters and really worked

[16:31] both rhetorically and substantively to

[16:33] hold that all together. The difference

[16:34] the difference with Pat seems to be that

[16:36] he is alienating several segments of the

[16:39] he's trying to pretend that there was no

[16:40] such thing as a moderate Republican in

[16:42] our coalition. I'm a conservative

[16:44] Republican, but we wouldn't win

[16:45] elections without

[16:46] >> moderate. He's won three out of four so

[16:49] far. So, it's not not a bad approach.

[16:51] >> Let's bring Senator Thompson into this.

[16:52] Senator, welcome. You just got off an

[16:54] airplane. Appreciate you joining us.

[16:56] >> Being a little informal tonight.

[16:57] >> Well, it's quite all right. It's quite

[16:58] all right. The issue here on the table

[17:00] is is Pat Buchanan too extreme to get

[17:04] the Republican nomination and to

[17:05] represent the entire Republican party

[17:07] against Bill Clinton.

[17:08] >> Well, I'm not going to call anybody

[17:09] names, but I don't think Pat can get the

[17:11] nomination. And uh I would uh think he

[17:14] would have a hard time getting elected.

[17:16] And I think a lot of people uh a lot of

[17:18] people in the party feel that way. And I

[17:20] think for that reason, it's going to be

[17:22] a twoman race from here on out.

[17:24] >> Well, now your your man, you you support

[17:26] Lamar Alexander. That's right. Now, he

[17:28] has said that Ben Weber's man, Bob Dole,

[17:31] should step aside and uh and let him

[17:34] take Buchanan on oneonone. Does he

[17:36] expect that to happen?

[17:38] >> I doubt it.

[17:40] honest.

[17:43] >> All right.

[17:43] >> I can't believe,

[17:45] >> but we both agree it should be a twoman

[17:47] race.

[17:48] >> You should wear turtlenecks more often.

[17:51] >> That's a that's a good expectation. You

[17:53] would agree, Mr. Weber, that is not Bob

[17:56] Dole. Bob do I think he's trying I think

[17:58] he's trying to to make the point that

[18:00] that he's been making for some time and

[18:02] that is that uh that he's more electable

[18:05] than Bob Dole that uh that he is the one

[18:08] that ought to take the challenges

[18:09] against Buchanan. Buchanan's the other

[18:12] uh the other uh side of the coin you

[18:15] might say right now and he's the person

[18:16] to take that on that uh that he has new

[18:19] ideas and and Dole does not and and

[18:21] that's his but that's a part of his

[18:22] overall position although I'm I doubt if

[18:24] you expect Dole to get out of the race

[18:26] >> right Gary Bower is you represent I

[18:29] would say you represent all of them but

[18:31] you represent uh the uh the social

[18:33] conservative uh part of the of the

[18:36] Republican party is is your the the

[18:39] folks who think like you are you more

[18:41] interested in in a candidate who

[18:43] represents your views or in electing

[18:46] somebody uh in November against Bill

[18:49] Clinton? Where are your priorities at

[18:50] this stage of the game?

[18:51] >> Right. Well, I I I want both and don't

[18:54] believe those are mutually exclusive

[18:55] things. I I think Ronald Reagan won two

[18:58] landslides, three if you count George

[19:00] Bush's landslide after after Ronald

[19:03] Reagan was gone. one because Ronald

[19:06] Reagan signal to the American people

[19:07] that he understood not only the budget

[19:09] deficit but the virtue deficit what's

[19:11] happening to the heart and soul of the

[19:13] country and he sent signals on the right

[19:15] to life issue on a host of other things

[19:17] he identified with blueco collar workers

[19:19] that's what made him electable and that

[19:21] is the future I believe for my party

[19:24] >> so where is the soul what is the soul of

[19:26] the republican party an is there such a

[19:28] thing

[19:28] >> well the mainstream of the party all the

[19:30] surveys show are basically very fiscal

[19:32] and defense conservative But on social

[19:34] issues, uh more moderated um all agree

[19:38] with Gary B.

[19:39] >> They don't all agree. A lot of them do.

[19:40] A lot of them do agree with certain

[19:42] aspects of what uh Gary's group stands

[19:44] for. And that's uh there are there is a

[19:46] lot more common ground than people

[19:48] understand, but Pat Buchanan is

[19:50] definitely not the mainstream of the

[19:51] party. And for that reason, he won't get

[19:54] the nomination. And for that reason, he

[19:55] definitely would not be electable.

[19:57] >> Do you do you agree, Vin Weber? Do you

[19:59] agree with that flat statement that she

[20:01] that Pat Buchanan will not be nominated

[20:04] by the Republican party? That's just

[20:06] impossible politically.

[20:07] >> I don't think he's going to be nominated

[20:08] by the Republican party. I mean,

[20:09] impossible. Strange things happen. I

[20:11] never thought as a young man I'd ever

[20:13] see a president of the United States

[20:14] resign either. I don't think Pat

[20:16] Buchanan is going to get nominated by

[20:17] the Republican party. I don't I

[20:18] certainly don't think he could get

[20:19] elected president, but you have to give

[20:21] him his due. Gary points out he's won a

[20:23] couple of elections, albeit with numbers

[20:24] in the 20s. That doesn't actually do it

[20:26] on election day against a single

[20:28] opponent. November, but he's done okay.

[20:30] But no, I don't think he's going to get

[20:31] nominated. The question is how soon in

[20:33] my judgment can Senator Dole wrap up the

[20:36] nomination because the earlier he does

[20:38] that, the better our chances of

[20:39] defeating Bill Clinton.

[20:40] >> Senator Thompson, let me ask you to play

[20:42] a whole another role here for a moment

[20:44] and that's kind of a reporter on

[20:45] Tennessee Republicans.

[20:48] Understanding uh uh your your partiality

[20:51] toward Alexander, etc., what kind of

[20:54] chords does Pat Buchanan's message

[20:56] strike in Tennessee? Well, I I think

[20:58] it's a point that needs to be made and

[21:00] that is uh I I believe what I said about

[21:03] his electability, but uh I think we need

[21:06] to recognize that he's tapped into

[21:08] something here that's kind of been

[21:09] overlooked by a lot of people. I'm not

[21:11] talking about the harshness and all of

[21:12] that because you what your position

[21:15] paper uh is part of that, but the way

[21:17] you do it and the message you convey

[21:19] subliminally and all that's a part of

[21:20] it, too. Pat's got a problem there. But

[21:23] as far as the the the economic

[21:25] uncertainty that people have, uh the

[21:27] desire for change in Washington, uh the

[21:30] the cynicism people have toward their

[21:32] own government, we need to we need to

[21:34] recognize that. Now, our answer is not

[21:36] building a wall or excluding people. Uh

[21:40] but uh but there's a problem there that

[21:42] I think that we've overlooked. And I see

[21:44] that in Tennessee when I go around, I'm

[21:46] home almost every weekend. I go around,

[21:48] people are concerned about losing their

[21:50] jobs. I go to places some some little

[21:52] communities have lost two textile

[21:55] manufacturing uh concerns. Well, it's

[21:57] easy for somebody to convince them let's

[21:59] pass law that they can't move, you know,

[22:00] but that's not the answer obviously and

[22:02] it's up to us to recognize that we've

[22:05] got to formulate a message and and and

[22:08] carry the proper message to these people

[22:09] to win them over. One of the things was

[22:11] said on this program, one of our special

[22:13] we did last night, uh, Ben Weber, was

[22:15] that that Senator Dole when he said

[22:18] yesterday, "Well, I didn't realize that

[22:20] that was such a big deal, this economic

[22:22] thing that Senator Thompson just

[22:23] outlined until Patan rape."

[22:26] >> That's not exactly what he said. He said

[22:28] he never thought that we would end the

[22:29] New Hampshire primary arguing about

[22:31] trade, which is quite different than

[22:32] saying I mean he understood exact and

[22:34] and he made the point that he didn't

[22:36] think he was going to have to argue

[22:37] about that because in a state like New

[22:38] Hampshire and like the rest of the

[22:40] country where so many jobs depend on

[22:42] exporting goods, the notion of a

[22:44] rigorous protectionist policy such as

[22:46] Pat Buchanan is advocating will cost us

[22:48] jobs not create them.

[22:49] >> Yeah. Gary Ber lay out a scenario, a

[22:52] political scenario, not base here again.

[22:54] you you do a lot of you have your own

[22:55] beliefs and etc etc but you also watch

[22:57] what other people believe and how they

[22:59] act. Lay out a scenario how Pat Buchanan

[23:01] gets the nomination.

[23:03] >> Well, he gets it by winning the

[23:05] primaries coming up. I mean,

[23:06] >> but how does he win the primaries

[23:08] particularly as the as the winnowing

[23:10] process continues and it ends up maybe a

[23:13] two-man race whether it's either with

[23:15] against Senator Dole or Lamar Alexander.

[23:17] Well, one way he wins the primaries is

[23:20] if Senator Dole and others attempt to

[23:23] bash him so much that they insult the

[23:25] conservative base of the party. I can

[23:27] see him doing very well in South

[23:28] Carolina. In Arizona, which is coming

[23:30] up, uh I think in states like Michigan,

[23:33] he has the chance of putting together

[23:35] evangelicals with bluecollar workers in

[23:37] in areas around Detroit. So, there's

[23:40] some interesting possibilities here. But

[23:41] I Jim, I I think the senator is really

[23:43] touching on the key thing here. My one

[23:45] of the most vivid memories of my life is

[23:47] seeing my 55-year-old father come home,

[23:50] old Marine, going into the kitchen table

[23:52] and crying. I'd never seen him cry in my

[23:54] life because he had just lost his job.

[23:56] My party can't sound cavalier or

[24:00] unconcerned about real live tragedies

[24:03] that happen to American families all the

[24:05] time because of dislocations in the

[24:07] economy, recession, some trade policies,

[24:11] etc. And I think that's the message

[24:12] Buchanan has and I believe it's a

[24:14] powerful message when coupled with these

[24:16] social issues.

[24:17] >> But we have to stop dwelling on the

[24:18] problem and be offering the solutions. I

[24:20] mean Pat's very good exacerbating the

[24:22] problem but it has to be a you know our

[24:24] party has a has to have a positive uh

[24:27] message about what the solutions are.

[24:28] >> We as a

[24:29] >> and further well further you know again

[24:31] I get back to the fact that uh Pat will

[24:33] not be electable right now. you, the

[24:36] party itself has a problem with the

[24:37] moderate vote and the pro-choice

[24:38] conservative vote, even wanting a

[24:40] Republican in the White House. They want

[24:42] Republicans in the Congress and the

[24:44] Senate because the economic reforms

[24:45] they'll get, but they're not convinced

[24:47] that they want Republicans in control of

[24:49] all three bodies. And certainly

[24:51] Buchanan's going to absolutely assure

[24:54] that they're not going to want a

[24:55] Republican and you're going to have a

[24:56] massive walk out in in the general

[24:58] election. He said, we ran the clip a

[24:59] moment ago. He said in South Carolina,

[25:01] he Buchanan said that uh he emphasized

[25:04] how important the abortion his abortion

[25:06] stand was. How how does that r how does

[25:08] that ring toward is getting the

[25:10] nomination?

[25:11] >> Again, it may help him in a lot of the

[25:12] primaries, although I've been encouraged

[25:14] to see the that the majority of the vote

[25:16] in the primaries has been moderate. In

[25:18] fact, in New Hampshire, the exit poll

[25:20] showed 67% of the voters that voted in

[25:22] the primary were for taking the plank

[25:24] out of the platform specifically. Um but

[25:27] the problem is the case for the general

[25:30] election is such that uh moderates and

[25:32] pro-choice conservatives are willing to

[25:34] walk on the White House as long as we

[25:36] keep Republican control of the Congress.

[25:37] >> That that's a disaster in my view for

[25:39] the party. If if the party uh backs down

[25:41] on its right to life stance, I can tell

[25:43] you that the kind of people that belong

[25:44] to my organization, they're gone.

[25:46] >> Yeah. Except Except Gary, keeping the

[25:48] plank as is and backing down on the

[25:50] issue are two separate questions. that

[25:52] they they'll they'll either sit at home,

[25:54] they'll put their energy someplace else,

[25:56] they'll they'll go somewhere.

[25:57] >> How important is abortion, Ben Weber?

[25:58] >> Abortion is an important issue to the

[26:00] Republican party. The pro-life vote and

[26:02] the broader pro- family religious

[26:04] conservative vote is indispensable to

[26:05] the Republican party. You also have to

[26:07] get people that don't agree on those

[26:08] issues. And that's what a majority party

[26:10] is all about. You know, when we were a

[26:11] little tiny minority party all those

[26:13] years, the Democrats controlled

[26:14] everything in this country. We didn't

[26:15] need to worry about these arguments.

[26:17] Part of this is the pain of being a

[26:18] majority. We have to conflict settle all

[26:21] these conflicting claims.

[26:22] >> You agree? You think that's possible,

[26:23] Senator?

[26:24] >> Yeah, I do. And I think we as a as a

[26:25] party ought to be in pretty good shape.

[26:27] We shouldn't be too concerned that we're

[26:28] fighting among ourselves and trying to

[26:30] pick a winner after the first primary. I

[26:32] mean, this is these guys are going

[26:34] against each other. It's natural. I

[26:35] mean, the Willie Horton ad was running a

[26:37] primary, one Democrat against another.

[26:39] You know, it gets pretty rough

[26:40] sometimes. But we after this thing is

[26:43] over with ought to be in a good position

[26:44] in addressing some of these problems. It

[26:46] was President Clinton who vetoed the

[26:48] balanced budget. It was President

[26:50] Clinton who vetoed a welfare bill that

[26:51] many uh Democrats supported. It was

[26:54] President Clinton who opposed regulatory

[26:56] reform. A lot of things that would solve

[26:58] the the problems that Pat have have

[27:00] pointed out. We ought to have the high

[27:02] ground on that.

[27:02] >> But it's going to be a while before you

[27:03] get to President Clinton, isn't it?

[27:05] >> It'll be a while.

[27:06] >> Okay. Thank you all for very much.

[27:07] >> Thank you.

[27:17] Still to come on the NewsHour tonight,

[27:19] Shields and GO, Richard Hullbrook, and a

[27:22] Phyllis Theorough essay. Margaret Warner

[27:25] does Shields and Gigo.

[27:27] >> That's syndicated columnist Mark Shields

[27:29] and Wall Street Journal columnist Paul

[27:30] Sheiggo. Welcome back. Thank you,

[27:32] >> Mark. We just heard four Republicans

[27:34] trying to grapple with the divisions

[27:36] that Pat Buchanan's candidacy has

[27:37] exposed in the Republican party. Do you

[27:39] think this year that the party can

[27:42] accommodate all those differences

[27:43] without some kind of serious rupture?

[27:45] >> Well, I think the point Vin Weber made

[27:46] was was a telling one that that is that

[27:49] the party has become a more popular

[27:51] party, a bigger party, a a more

[27:53] disperate party. It is it is no longer a

[27:55] white Protestant upper middle class

[27:58] college educated party. And with that

[28:00] comes divisions. Uh I I think it's going

[28:02] to be tougher to put it together because

[28:04] for a very simple reason, Margaret, and

[28:05] that is that Pat Buchanan in his

[28:07] campaign has reached out to a group of

[28:10] cultural conservatives and religious

[28:11] conservatives and said, "I will carry

[28:14] your banner." Prior to this time,

[28:16] there's been a certain patting on the

[28:17] head, sort of a a wink and a nudge, and

[28:20] I'm with you, and don't you worry, and

[28:21] I'll talk to you over the loudspeaker on

[28:23] the pro-life march, but I won't show up

[28:25] myself. And they know people, thousands

[28:27] of people disagree with Pat McCann know

[28:29] one thing about him. He means what he

[28:30] says on this stuff and I think that I

[28:32] think that's become a a real problem.

[28:34] >> How serious do you think these divisions

[28:35] are?

[28:36] >> Well, the divisions uh the divisions are

[28:38] real. I mean, these fault lines exist.

[28:40] What the Buchanan candidacy has done is

[28:42] he's opened it much wider. Uh there'll

[28:44] be consequences. For example, I don't

[28:46] think that the abortion plank and the

[28:48] platform is going to be changed. Flat

[28:49] out will not be changed because

[28:51] >> because of this candidacy, because of

[28:53] the strength that he's shown. I think

[28:54] that it'll be much tougher if Bob Dole

[28:56] gets the nomination, for example, or

[28:58] Lamar Alexander get the gets the

[29:00] nomination to have somebody as the vice

[29:02] presidential nominee who is not

[29:04] pro-life, probably impossible, which

[29:07] probably damages Coen Pal's chances of

[29:09] being on the ticket, for example. So, he

[29:11] is asserting the cause of the cultural

[29:14] conservatives, and that has consequences

[29:16] um for November.

[29:18] >> And how about on the economic issues

[29:19] though, Mark? I mean the trade the

[29:22] protectionism of Pat Buchanan versus uh

[29:24] you know the historic free trade

[29:26] commitment can that be papered over

[29:28] >> No it can't be papered over Margaret

[29:30] what Pat Buchanan does is he attacks the

[29:32] basic premise of the Republican economic

[29:35] approach. Republican economic approach

[29:37] has been unfettered

[29:40] capitalism uninhibited by government

[29:43] regulation will lead to nana will lead

[29:45] to joy will lead to expanding and and

[29:48] happy lives

[29:48] >> or at least jobs. And what P and what

[29:50] Pat Buchanan argues is and and and shows

[29:53] the evidence that this isn't the case

[29:55] that that that that the ideological

[29:58] purity of that argument that this is a

[29:59] wonder that as as it's become more un

[30:03] uninhibited un unfeded capitalism under

[30:06] 20 years of Republicans and

[30:07] conservativizing of the Democrats. The

[30:10] income gap is growing and people are

[30:12] being hurt and that's what Pat Buchanan

[30:14] is addressing. It isn't I don't think

[30:15] it's trade versus non-trade nearly as

[30:17] much as is there a role is there is

[30:20] there some sort of greater public

[30:21] responsibility in a way his message is

[30:24] putting people first I mean and as

[30:26] opposed to profit

[30:27] >> but Paul as both Anstone and Vid Weber

[30:29] pointed out it's one thing that Pep

[30:31] Buchanan is identifying this this

[30:33] symptom this middle class anxiety but

[30:35] his solutions are very different from

[30:38] traditional Republican solutions I mean

[30:39] is there any way that say and Alexander

[30:42] can co-opt that the message but come up

[30:45] with a solution that somehow is more in

[30:47] keeping with the traditional Republican

[30:49] view.

[30:50] >> Sure there is. I mean but the way not to

[30:52] do it is to do what Buchanan is doing

[30:54] which is a kind of Robert Reich and the

[30:56] labor secretary and Bill Clinton

[30:57] democratic analysis and blaming

[31:00] corporations making regular business

[31:02] decisions to keep them profitable uh for

[31:07] what's going wrong. uh the Clinton

[31:08] remedies, the the path for the

[31:10] Republicans, I think, to take is to go

[31:12] back to the solutions of growth and

[31:14] opportunity, the Jack Kemp, Ronald

[31:16] Reagan agenda of uh unleashing

[31:19] opportunity, reducing taxes, and also

[31:22] pointing out that in the first three

[31:24] years of the Clinton administration,

[31:25] their policies haven't done anything for

[31:27] the wage gap either. Uh Dick Army, for

[31:29] example, the House majority leader, is

[31:30] going to come out next week probably and

[31:32] talk about the Clinton crunch, say that

[31:34] Bill Clinton got your raise. But do you

[31:36] think that the the voters that Pep

[31:37] Buchanan's speaking to are going to

[31:39] respond to that kind of argument?

[31:40] >> No. And and and I I think the mistake I

[31:43] think the mistake that's made is that uh

[31:46] that Americans are basically pragmatic.

[31:48] They are not ideological people. And

[31:51] Americans hate government. They think

[31:52] it's awful. They think it's a pain in

[31:53] the neck. But when they're told that the

[31:55] one can of tuna fish has been found

[31:57] outside of Pocutella, Idaho with a trace

[31:59] of bachulism in it, they want the

[32:00] federal government involved. And there's

[32:02] a sense right now that they want

[32:03] something done about this. that you want

[32:05] to see the the the real impact of Pat

[32:07] Buchanan's

[32:09] >> candidacy the Newsweek cover not time

[32:12] where Pat Buchanan was on but on

[32:13] Newsweek where they got corporate

[32:14] killers where where the CEOs are being

[32:17] held accountable for the layoffs with

[32:19] record profits that's going to be part

[32:21] of the political it is part of the

[32:22] political dialogue

[32:22] >> there is no way in the world that Bob

[32:24] Dole can get the nomination uh uh and

[32:27] win the election against Bill Clinton

[32:28] running as Pat Buchanan light I mean the

[32:32] or bashing corporations I mean he does

[32:34] not come off as somebody who flies

[32:36] around an Archer Daniels Midland's jet

[32:38] does not come off as somebody who will

[32:40] bash Archer Daniels Midland. And the the

[32:43] the the thing Mark is right about is

[32:46] that the the danger for the Republican

[32:47] party is that Pat Buchanan's diagnosis

[32:51] is shared by the left wing of the

[32:53] Democratic party. And that can be big

[32:55] trouble for Republicans if they feel

[32:57] that they need to accommodate that. They

[32:58] need to meet it head-on. The only thing

[32:59] that can beat redistribution and soak

[33:02] the rich is growth. It's opportunity.

[33:04] And those two paradigms have ex have

[33:06] fought each other. And if the

[33:07] Republicans slide over and agree to that

[33:09] view of the world, they're going to get

[33:11] walloped.

[33:12] >> Right. Let's talk about this Republican

[33:14] establishment. Buchanan's out there

[33:15] saying, "We've got the establishment on

[33:16] the run. The establishment's out to get

[33:18] me." They're sending their faxes all

[33:19] over Washington. Who is this Republican

[33:21] establishment, Mark? And is there

[33:23] anything it can do to stop Buchanan?

[33:26] >> Uh, second part first is sure, there's

[33:29] some things they can do. They cannot

[33:30] stop him politically.

[33:31] >> Wait, who are they? They can drop a dime

[33:32] on him. They can they can put stories

[33:34] out on him. They can do all that sort of

[33:36] stuff and and kind of get try try and

[33:38] attack him personally. Uh who are they?

[33:40] They're K Street and they're Wall Street

[33:42] essentially. Uh and the problem is that

[33:43] there's a big overlap between the two

[33:45] parties between K Street and Wall

[33:46] Street. Uh K Street is the the lobbyists

[33:49] canyon here in Washington DC. uh there

[33:51] there are people who are uh uh wired uh

[33:56] who are very close to policy that that

[33:59] affects their industry their uh their

[34:01] particular interests. Uh but Mar Mar Mar

[34:03] Mar Mar Mar Mar Mar Mar Mar Mar Mar Mar

[34:03] Mar Mar Mar Mar Mar Mar Mar Margaret in

[34:04] 1964 when governors controlled cong

[34:07] delegations to conventions they tried to

[34:09] stop Barry Goldwater in 1972 when

[34:11] governors overwhelmingly endorsed Ed

[34:13] Musky they tried to stop George McGovern

[34:15] if somebody wins primaries and defeats

[34:18] his principal opponents there's no way

[34:19] he he or she can be deprived of the

[34:21] nomination

[34:22] >> who is the establishment uh I mean I'd

[34:25] like to know I mean the the part two

[34:27] parties now are almost shells shells of

[34:30] elected officials and fundraisers

[34:32] uh what the Republican establishment, if

[34:34] you will, can do and it includes an

[34:36] awful lot of people like N. Gingrich and

[34:37] Dick Army. I think number one, they

[34:39] could say a Pat Buchanan presidential

[34:42] nomination, he would be our George

[34:43] McGovern. He would cost us control of

[34:46] the House and the Senate, and it is too

[34:47] great a risk. I don't think this this

[34:49] habit of calling him an extremist works

[34:52] at all. That what is is exactly what was

[34:54] said about Ronald Reagan. It is exactly

[34:55] what was said about Barry Goldwater. It

[34:57] almost never works. It's what Bill

[34:58] Clinton is saying about the Republicans

[35:00] in general. It's not going to work. And

[35:04] so you've got to take him on on the

[35:06] issues. You've got to say he would cost

[35:07] us Congress. And then I suppose if it

[35:08] really gets bad towards the end, you

[35:11] going to have to prevail on one of the

[35:12] two candidates or Steve Forbes, Lamar

[35:14] Alexander, or Bob Dole, who's ever

[35:15] trailing, get out of the race. Do you

[35:17] think that's going on even right now

[35:19] >> that Haley Barber, the chairman of the

[35:21] RNC, is trying to send signals or

[35:23] someone is to Dick Luger or Steve Forbes

[35:25] to

[35:25] >> Well, I I assume that people are calling

[35:28] Dick Luger. I mean, right now, you have

[35:30] to conclude that the Senate has become a

[35:32] graveyard of presidential ambitions. I

[35:33] mean, you look at the roster up there,

[35:35] people have tried to run for president

[35:36] recently as Arland Spectre and Phil

[35:37] Graham, but back to Ted Kennedy and Joe

[35:39] Biden. I mean, it it's not a place to

[35:41] run for. The Andy Washington fer and

[35:43] passion is still very strong. Sure,

[35:45] Haley Barber would like to, but you're

[35:47] not going to talk to somebody. Mar

[35:49] Alexander has staked his life on this.

[35:51] This is all he's been doing. This is Bob

[35:53] Dole's last chance. You're going to come

[35:54] up to him and say, "Hey, Bob, why don't

[35:55] you step aside?"

[35:56] >> Come on. That's not going to happen.

[35:58] >> It's not going to Lamar Alexander has at

[36:00] least a couple of good weeks here,

[36:01] another few shots at it. Now, if he

[36:03] loses three, four, five in a row,

[36:05] >> then he's then then it becomes a

[36:07] different story. He won't have any money

[36:08] anyway, so they won't have to tell him

[36:09] to get out. Quickly before we leave, uh,

[36:11] three of the four guests, uh, talking to

[36:14] Jim said Pat Buchanan is too extreme for

[36:16] the mainstream of the party and he can't

[36:18] get the nomination. Do you agree?

[36:20] >> I recall, uh, four out of four saying

[36:22] that about George McGovern in 72, but I

[36:25] remember Republicans saying about Ronald

[36:26] Reagan in 1976 that he was too extreme.

[36:30] I think uh, that uh, if he wins, he's

[36:32] going to win it. If it's a if they can

[36:34] keep Alexander and Dole in, he could

[36:37] very well have a string of victories. I

[36:38] agree with Mark on the three-man race,

[36:40] but and one other point, if Bob Dole and

[36:42] Lamar Alexander continue to run what I

[36:44] think are largely tactical, passionless,

[36:47] idealist campaigns, maybe Pat Buchanan

[36:50] can beat him one-on-one because an idea

[36:51] beats a non idea every time.

[36:54] >> Thanks, guys, very much. Leave it there.

[37:07] Now, a farewell interview with Richard

[37:09] Hullbrook. Elizabeth Farnsworth will

[37:11] conduct it.

[37:12] >> Richard Hullbrook left his post as US

[37:14] ambassador to Germany in August 1994 to

[37:17] become assistant secretary of state for

[37:19] Europe. His chief assignment, Bosnia.

[37:22] Today, his final day on the job, a

[37:24] ceremony at the State Department honored

[37:26] his work on the Dayton Peace Accord that

[37:28] brought an end, at least temporarily, to

[37:30] the four-year civil war in Bosnia. Mr.

[37:32] Hullbrook returns to a career in

[37:34] investment banking in New York, but

[37:36] first, he joins us for a newsmaker

[37:38] interview. Thank you for being with us,

[37:40] Mr. Ambassador.

[37:40] >> Pleasure.

[37:41] >> You traveled in August 1992 to Bosnia,

[37:44] and you had seen war before. You were in

[37:46] Vietnam for 6 years as a foreign service

[37:48] officer during the war, but you said

[37:50] Bosnia was different. It was so

[37:52] personal. What did you mean?

[37:55] >> Uh, what I really found appalling about

[37:57] Bosnia on my first two trips there as a

[37:59] private citizen and inexplicable was

[38:02] that it was people killing their

[38:04] neighbors. You'd go into a town and

[38:08] there'd be 10 houses. Eight would be

[38:10] blown up. In the middle of it, there

[38:11] would be a Serb house that wasn't blown

[38:13] up. people came and killed each other

[38:16] just knowing who they were uh on ethnic

[38:20] basis. In Vietnam, it was an ideological

[38:23] struggle. It was brutal. More people

[38:25] died, but it didn't have that personal

[38:27] quality.

[38:27] >> Was that the beginning of your

[38:28] determination to do something about it?

[38:31] >> Well, when the administration took

[38:33] office, I volunteered to do to get

[38:35] involved in Bosnia and fate and destiny

[38:38] had another course that had followed.

[38:41] >> You went to Germany. I went to Germany

[38:43] as ambassador and then the rest of it

[38:46] unfolded.

[38:47] >> And some have said that you have been

[38:48] particularly impelled uh especially in

[38:51] the past year by the memory of your

[38:53] colleagues including Robert Frasier who

[38:55] were killed on the road over Mount

[38:56] Ingman Inman uh Ingman on route to

[38:59] Sarvo.

[39:02] >> Uh yeah it's very hard to explain these

[39:05] things. Bob Frasier and Joe Cruz Nelson

[39:08] Drew were in the vehicle behind us. Uh,

[39:13] it went over the side. It was not a road

[39:15] accident. It was an accident of war. We

[39:18] were only on that road because we

[39:21] couldn't get in any other way. The night

[39:23] before in Belgrade, I had complained

[39:25] bitterly to Mallosvich that it was

[39:27] obscene that the Americans trying to

[39:29] bring peace had to travel in that way.

[39:32] And after the head of the Bosnian Serbs

[39:34] >> after that, well the the the head of

[39:36] Yugoslavia.

[39:37] >> I mean the head of Yugoslavia, right?

[39:38] Not Maladich. Yeah.

[39:39] >> Uh and um we then um you know it put us

[39:45] uh under greater determination. A lot of

[39:47] people stepped forward to take their

[39:48] place. We reconstituted the team after

[39:51] bringing our our comrades home and we

[39:54] set off again. And I think it did give

[39:57] us a renewed determination and a

[39:59] tremendous cohesion. This cohesion was

[40:02] formed very dramatically at Fort Meyers

[40:05] in the chapel right after the memorial

[40:07] services when the president met with us.

[40:09] There's a very dramatic photo of this

[40:12] and he pulled us together just as he

[40:14] pulled the nation together after

[40:16] Oklahoma City, gave us our mission and

[40:19] set us off again. And that was a moment

[40:21] in time. You you can see it in the

[40:23] photograph. And now after the weekend in

[40:26] Rome where you had to deal with what

[40:28] you've called some of the bumps in the

[40:29] road of the peace pro process, how would

[40:32] you characterize how it is now?

[40:35] >> Uh on November 21st when we initial the

[40:37] agreement in Dayton, I said publicly

[40:40] that we would have plenty of problems

[40:42] along the way. The remarkable thing

[40:44] isn't that we're having some problems,

[40:46] all of which we predicted. Remarkable

[40:48] thing is how much is going in the right

[40:50] direction, but we're headed for a

[40:52] decisive moment here at D plus 90. That

[40:54] is 90 days after Paris. That's only 27

[40:57] days away. And on that day, Sarville

[41:00] must be a unified city under Muslim

[41:02] control. And uh we have to be ready for

[41:05] it.

[41:06] >> What's happening with that right now?

[41:07] Let's look at just a few of the bumps in

[41:08] the road today. People in Saravo are

[41:12] being the Bosnian Serbs are being urged

[41:13] by their leaders to leave because on

[41:15] Friday in one of the one of the

[41:17] neighborhoods just a little bit north of

[41:19] Saravo, the the Bosnian government will

[41:22] take control. the Bosnian government's

[41:24] police will move in. What is happening

[41:26] now? Are they moving in out in large

[41:28] numbers? And is that a a real threat to

[41:30] the peace process?

[41:31] >> There are two kinds of Serbs in these

[41:32] areas. Serbs who've lived there for a

[41:35] long time and who should stay and whose

[41:37] rights have been fully guaranteed not

[41:38] only by Dayton, but by the government

[41:41] and Serbs who came in from the rural

[41:44] areas with rifles and mortars and

[41:47] committed the killing. This suburb

[41:48] you're talking about is on the hills

[41:49] above Saro. There was a Volkswagen plant

[41:52] there that was turned into a munitions

[41:54] plant. And the people who moved in

[41:57] dispossessing Muslims, using those

[41:59] houses to shoot, bringing their families

[42:01] in, they know who they are. If they

[42:03] leave, that's fine. I wouldn't overdo

[42:06] this exodus business. There is an

[42:08] exodus, but there has been a massive

[42:10] dislocation of personnel. One quarter of

[42:13] all the people in Bosnia are homeless or

[42:15] refugee or displaced.

[42:18] uh we should not get too

[42:21] uh upset about an additional marginal

[42:24] dislocation in the pursuit of peace

[42:26] particularly of people leaving or people

[42:28] who shouldn't have been there to begin

[42:29] with.

[42:30] >> And what about Mostar in in Rome this

[42:32] weekend where you met with the leaders

[42:33] of the various entities you also were

[42:36] dealing with Mostar where Croats and

[42:38] Muslims were to begin joint um joint

[42:41] police patrols. What's happening there

[42:43] now? Mustard concerns me a great deal

[42:45] more in a way because that is the core

[42:48] of the federation, the American

[42:50] engineered alliance into a single entity

[42:53] in half the country of the Muslims and

[42:55] the Croats. There's no excuse for the

[42:58] conflict in Mustar. We flew into Rome on

[43:00] emergency basis late at night. The two

[43:04] mayors of Mustar and the European Union

[43:06] uh representative in Mustar, Mayor

[43:08] Kushnik of Bremen, Germany. We

[43:11] negotiated all day long. The real drama

[43:13] in Rome was over mustard

[43:16] >> and it delayed the press conference

[43:17] several hours and during those hours we

[43:19] left the Bosnian Muslims and the crotz

[43:22] alone for about an hour and finally the

[43:23] NATO supreme commander General Joel one

[43:26] and I went into the room and said we got

[43:29] to get moving and we listened for a

[43:30] while and after about 15 minutes I

[43:32] realized that they were arguing about a

[43:34] single building

[43:36] a high school built in the

[43:38] Austrahungarian Empire era in nice

[43:41] Moorish style It's a sure it's a nice

[43:43] high school, but this is not what it's

[43:46] all about. So, General Joel Juan made a

[43:48] very strong statement saying we don't

[43:50] have 60,000 NATO and other troops in

[43:52] Bosnia for this kind of stuff. And we

[43:54] suggested a compromise uh that it be

[43:57] used for communal purposes and we got

[44:00] through that. There were also a lot of

[44:02] other issues, joint police patrols and

[44:03] so on. We cannot tolerate this kind of

[44:06] problem in Mustar. He talked to

[44:07] President Tman about it and going

[44:09] forward the US government will have to

[44:11] take the lead in preventing this from

[44:13] recurring.

[44:14] >> Are they are the patrols the joint

[44:15] patrols

[44:17] going on now?

[44:18] >> I'm getting uh some reports. They're not

[44:21] clear to me. Um since I've been a

[44:23] private citizen now for two hours. I'm

[44:26] going to leave it to my uh colleagues

[44:28] and successors, former colleagues to

[44:30] work that out. But I want to stress

[44:33] again, it is a bump in the road, a

[44:35] predictable one. It is not the end of

[44:37] the Dayton process. I'm a little

[44:39] surprised that people are interpreting

[44:42] Dayton as falling apart or under

[44:44] challenge when it's so obviously moving

[44:47] forward at the macro level and it was so

[44:49] predictably going to run into these

[44:51] problems at the specific level. The

[44:53] basic threat to Dayton comes from what

[44:56] you might call the IRA or Hzbollah

[44:59] factions of all the groups. And above

[45:03] all, the most dangerous of the

[45:05] rejectionists, the pale Serbs, the

[45:07] Bosnian Serbs, headed by two indicted

[45:10] war criminals. As long as they're in

[45:12] power, Dayton is going to come under

[45:14] challenge. Anyone who followed the

[45:16] Middle East and watched the PLO fraction

[45:18] into into the Arafa wing and the total

[45:22] rejectionists, anyone who's watching

[45:23] what Jerry Adams and the Shinfen and the

[45:25] IRA is going through understands the

[45:28] dilemma. Structurally, it's the same,

[45:29] but in Bosnia, it's at a much higher

[45:32] level in terms of danger, bloodshed,

[45:36] bloody-mindedness even more than

[45:38] Palestine, Israel issues. And finally,

[45:43] it has the highest possible consequences

[45:45] to our national interest because we, the

[45:47] United States, have fully committed

[45:49] ourselves to success in Bosnia. And

[45:52] failure is unthinkable and unacceptable.

[45:55] >> That's a very high bar, isn't it? in a

[45:57] in a part of the world that's been the

[45:58] graveyard for so many diplomatic hopes.

[46:01] >> It's a very high bar, but look where we

[46:03] are. Look at when I appeared on your

[46:05] program with um uh Jim and Robin uh less

[46:09] than a year ago. Go back and look at the

[46:12] tapes. Look where we've come from. look

[46:14] at my uh all our discussions at this

[46:16] table and tell me if a year ago you or

[46:20] Jim Lair any of the rest of you would

[46:22] have thought that today we were talking

[46:24] about a country that's no longer at war

[46:26] where people are reaching out to bridge

[46:28] across the uh years of bitterness and

[46:31] killing and where most things are

[46:33] progressing roughly on schedule. That is

[46:36] unimaginable and it is a very good event

[46:40] but there are people trying to wreck it

[46:42] and there is a criminal element running

[46:44] the pale serves and they must be dealt

[46:47] with

[46:47] >> all these outstanding issues and yet

[46:49] you're leaving. Why?

[46:53] uh as I've said many times and I I I'm

[46:57] reluctant to involve personal issues and

[46:59] a and a professional issue, but I have a

[47:02] fundamental tension in my life between

[47:04] personal and professional issues. My two

[47:07] sons are both in New York. I got married

[47:09] eight months ago and my new wife and her

[47:12] two children are in New York. They're

[47:15] all literally anchored in New York, so

[47:18] to speak. And uh I had to make a choice.

[47:21] I'd made a commitment. So I ask the

[47:23] president's understanding. President

[47:25] who's given us spectacular support

[47:27] throughout this negotiation and has been

[47:30] much more heavily involved than the

[47:31] public realizes understood that. Uh he

[47:34] asked and and Warren Christopher asked

[47:36] if I would be available on a on a

[47:39] special basis. Um I said of course I

[47:42] would. In fact uh rather oddly as I left

[47:45] the government this evening they swore

[47:47] me in as an adviser to my successor, an

[47:50] unpaid adviser. So, you might jump on a

[47:52] plane and go and solve a problem if one

[47:54] comes up.

[47:55] >> I I hope not. I don't want to. I'm

[47:57] starting a new job tomorrow. I'm I'm

[47:59] joining uh CS First Boston, New York

[48:03] investment firm, investment bank, and I

[48:06] do not wish to do that. But if they ask,

[48:08] of course, I'll help.

[48:10] >> Journalists and and others have written

[48:12] that your role in the negotiations was

[48:15] so important because of your bravado,

[48:17] your your very definite, strong

[48:19] negotiating style. There are lots of

[48:20] words that are put on that. They said uh

[48:23] one one journalist wrote that you

[48:26] understood that the Balkans are a snake

[48:27] pit and you were ready to be ready and

[48:29] willing to be the biggest snake of all.

[48:31] Do you think that's why you that was

[48:33] Roger Roger Cohen in the New York Times

[48:35] Sunday magazine? Do you think that's why

[48:37] you succeeded?

[48:38] >> You mean that I was a big snake?

[48:39] >> No. That you were willing to really

[48:40] knock heads together.

[48:43] You know, I keep reading about screaming

[48:45] and yelling and bullying and so on, but

[48:47] I worked on Asia for most of my career

[48:49] and you check the press on that and it

[48:52] never said I yelled. You have to match

[48:54] your method to the moment and your style

[48:56] to the substance and the situation. And

[48:59] in this negotiation, dealing with people

[49:02] who are liars and in some cases killers,

[49:06] dealing with people who are desperate,

[49:08] dealing with traditions, you just have

[49:09] to get very tough. But the key thing

[49:13] wasn't uh anything to do with personal

[49:15] style. It was the fact that in the

[49:18] summer of last year, the president fully

[49:20] committed the United States to an allout

[49:23] diplomatic, political, and military

[49:26] effort. And one of the great things that

[49:29] people should have learned from this is

[49:30] that there is there are times when air

[49:33] power without not backed up by ground

[49:36] troops can make a difference. That's

[49:38] something that our European allies

[49:39] didn't all agree with. Americans were in

[49:41] doubt on it. It made a difference.

[49:43] Secondly, sanctions worked. Sanctions

[49:46] really hurt the Yugoslavs. By Yugoslavs,

[49:48] I mean the Serbs.

[49:50] It had to be marshaled.

[49:52] >> And briefly, US involvement in this

[49:55] major way has been crucial in your view.

[49:57] And you've said that European

[49:58] institutions just are not I think you

[50:00] said the institutions of Europe have not

[50:01] met the postcold war challenge. Well,

[50:03] you know, Elizabeth, I believe strongly

[50:05] that we're that historians will look

[50:07] back on the latter part of last year as

[50:09] a seminal period in American foreign

[50:11] policy like the 4749 period. But the

[50:14] thing is, we know how that that movie

[50:16] ended. It won. The Cold War was over.

[50:19] This one, we don't know yet how it's

[50:21] going to go forward. We need the

[50:22] Europeans to work closely with us. The

[50:24] European institutions turn out to need

[50:27] some strengthening and restructuring in

[50:30] order to work in the postcold war era.

[50:32] and we encourage them. We're the most

[50:34] pro- Europe administration since

[50:36] Kennedy, but we feel that they ought to

[50:39] we encourage them in their own internal

[50:41] restructuring.

[50:42] >> Mr. Ambassador, good luck to you and

[50:43] thank you very much.

[50:44] >> Thank you.

[50:54] Finally tonight, SAS Phyllis Theorough

[50:56] has some thoughts about what makes a

[50:58] family work.

[51:02] If there is one thing that virtually all

[51:04] politicians in Washington DC agree upon,

[51:07] it's the value of the American family.

[51:09] And if there is a harder city than

[51:11] Washington, in which to raise a real

[51:13] American family, it hasn't been

[51:14] revealed.

[51:17] At the low and jobless end of town,

[51:20] raising anything, much less something as

[51:22] complex and resource gobling as a

[51:24] family, is extremely difficult. At the

[51:27] high and workaholic end of town, many

[51:30] families are de facto abandoned by men

[51:32] and women who are too busy and ambition

[51:34] driven to come home.

[51:37] >> Yet home is where we go for the one

[51:39] thing that all human beings need to feel

[51:42] human. Intimacy.

[51:45] Intimacy is many things rolled into one

[51:47] world and word where we feel safe,

[51:50] supported, and most importantly

[51:52] connected to an inner circle of people

[51:54] who are committed to the same goals that

[51:56] bind them together.

[51:58] >> In other words, a family. If the family

[52:01] could be compared to a life raft in

[52:03] which its individual members sit, then

[52:06] intimacy is the air that holds the raft

[52:08] up. But if one member of the family

[52:11] takes out a knife and begins to slash at

[52:13] the raft, then the family has to choose

[52:16] between throwing him or her out of the

[52:17] boat or sinking.

[52:20] >> Welcome to meeting of Alcoholics

[52:21] Anonymous.

[52:23] >> That is the awful choice that millions

[52:25] of families have to make when somebody

[52:27] in them is an alcoholic or drug addict.

[52:30] And in Washington DC, where the stresses

[52:32] upon families are unusually high, so too

[52:35] is the consumption of drugs and alcohol.

[52:38] God

[52:40] >> bring.

[52:42] >> Every week there are 1,870

[52:44] different alcoholics anonymous and

[52:46] narcotics anonymous meetings conducted

[52:49] just within the beltway.

[52:52] Paul Mallaloy is 57 and a recovering

[52:55] alcoholic who 20 years ago had been a

[52:58] high-powered congressional staff lawyer.

[53:00] But he wound up drinking over a fifth of

[53:02] whiskey a day, which cost him his job,

[53:05] his wife, and his future on Capitol

[53:08] Hill. Malloy went into treatment and

[53:11] then a government funded halfway house.

[53:14] But residents were only allowed to

[53:15] remain there for 6 months. And when

[53:18] Mallaloy was there, 11 of the 12

[53:20] residents required to leave fell off the

[53:23] wagon within 30 days.

[53:25] >> And so you begin to think, uhoh, what am

[53:28] I going to do when my 6 months is up?

[53:30] And it never got to that point because

[53:32] the county decided to close the house

[53:35] after I was there about four months. And

[53:37] fortunately, the 13 of us living there

[53:40] uh were able to get a loan to rent the

[53:43] property from the county. And that's

[53:45] where the first Oxford House started.

[53:48] From that first house rented in a

[53:50] suburban Maryland neighborhood in 1975,

[53:53] has come a whole network of houses

[53:55] across the country, occupied by men and

[53:58] women who are not yet ready to be

[54:00] reunited with their own families, but

[54:02] need the structure, accountability, and

[54:04] intimacy that a good family provides in

[54:07] order to stay straight.

[54:10] Malloy, who has been reunited with his

[54:12] wife, is the head of an organization

[54:14] called Oxford House Incorporated. There

[54:17] are presently 630 other Oxford houses in

[54:20] existence across the country.

[54:23] >> You know, Mike has some off the floor.

[54:25] >> The rules are simple and irrevocable.

[54:28] >> We'll go through what uh the

[54:30] requirements are and then we have an

[54:32] interview with the House members.

[54:34] >> Everybody has one vote on who is

[54:36] admitted in. Expenses and chores are

[54:38] equally shared. And the House meets once

[54:40] a week to discuss any problems.

[54:44] And here's the big one. If you drink or

[54:46] use drugs, you're out on your ear.

[54:49] Which, come to think of it, isn't a bad

[54:51] way to run a family. The best ones, no

[54:53] matter who's in them, succeed when

[54:55] everybody gets intimately involved.

[54:59] >> I'm Phyllis Theo.

[55:03] Again,

[55:07] the major stories of this Wednesday. The

[55:09] top three finishers in New Hampshire's

[55:11] Republican primary, Buchanan, Dole, and

[55:13] Alexander moved on to the next primary

[55:15] states. Two Arkansas bankers were

[55:18] indicted for bank fraud for their

[55:19] alleged contributions to then Governor

[55:21] Clinton's 1990 campaign. And a freight

[55:24] train derailment in Colorado killed two

[55:26] crew members and spilled sulfur sulfuric

[55:29] acid in a mountain pass. It was the

[55:31] fifth major train wreck this month.

[55:33] We'll see you tomorrow night. I'm Jim

[55:35] Lara. Thank you and good night.

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[55:58] and by the Corporation for Public

[56:00] Broadcasting and by the annual financial

[56:03] support from viewers like you.

[56:08] On tomorrow's morning edition, a profile

[56:11] of Richard Hullbrook, who's leaving the

[56:13] post of special envoy to Bosnia. Join us

[56:16] between 3 and 9:00 a.m.

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[57:21] The Churchills,

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[57:34] Yep.

[57:47] Oh, there we go.