Fox News - Election Night 2006 - 9 p.m. (E)

Channel: malgent

Transcript

Language: English (original, YouTube automatic captions)

[0:00] specific data we need upon which to

[0:02] indicate who's won races. Sometimes you

[0:03] can do it right after the polls close

[0:05] and not very close races and there'll be

[0:07] presumably some of those coming up at

[0:09] 9:00. So, we're watching for the 9:00

[0:11] hour to roll around and we'll take a

[0:13] look at the states as we where we can at

[0:15] least make some calls. So, here we come.

[0:17] 9:00 is upon us. So, let's look at the

[0:20] states where we can call. You see raw

[0:21] vote on the Allen race at the bottom of

[0:23] the screen. Here we go. Uh this is Ben

[0:25] Nelson. This is a Democrat hold in

[0:27] Nebraska, which is no no surprise uh no

[0:32] switch. Um

[0:35] Minnesota Senate, this is uh a race

[0:38] where the Republicans thought for a long

[0:39] time they had a chance. Mark Kennedy

[0:41] there uh but the but Democratic

[0:43] candidate was it Amy Clolobashar is that

[0:44] her name? Yeah. Um was has been favored

[0:47] to win on almost all cards of late and

[0:49] was certainly expected to do so. New

[0:50] York Senate, no surprise there. Hillary

[0:52] Clinton overwhelming favored to win.

[0:54] Huge lead in the polls. She's won uh in

[0:57] Michigan. Uh what is this? Texas Senate.

[0:59] Oh, I'm sorry. I can't see that very

[1:01] well. K. Belly Hutcherson overwhelmingly

[1:03] favored to win and has done so. In fact,

[1:05] she was so overwhelmingly favored that

[1:07] some Republicans were mad at her for not

[1:09] donating more of her campaign money,

[1:10] which was felt she didn't really need to

[1:12] other Republican candidates who they

[1:14] thought could uh could use it more than

[1:16] she did. Now, North Dakota US Senate,

[1:18] this is Kent Conrad. He's been a a

[1:21] senior member on the budget committee

[1:22] and well known to those who cover

[1:24] Washington. He is not was not thought to

[1:26] be in any trouble and he's not. He wins

[1:28] re-election. [snorts] New Mexico. Uh

[1:31] Jeff Bingaman been around a long time.

[1:33] Uh was overwhelmingly favored to win. He

[1:36] has won.

[1:38] And Wyoming Senate race there. This is

[1:41] uh um this was is no surprise um that uh

[1:48] >> Craig Thomas who is a conservative as

[1:50] you might imagine from the state of of

[1:53] Wyoming was going to be reelected. He

[1:55] didn't have a close race and as you can

[1:56] see he's won it.

[1:59] Here's Wisconsin. Um Herb Cole um he was

[2:03] not in trouble. He's won. We wish we had

[2:06] the ability to tell you the Missouri.

[2:08] Now, this is one of course we're all

[2:09] dying to know about. Uh only, you know,

[2:12] a small fraction of precincts are in

[2:14] even as we speak. The polls have been

[2:16] closed there for a while. Um and it's

[2:20] the race is way too close to call. This

[2:22] will be a late one, we fear. And in

[2:24] Tennessee, it's a somewhat similar

[2:26] situation. Uh 10% of the polls are

[2:29] closed. We're not trusting our exit poll

[2:32] sample there. And although Bob Corker

[2:34] appears to have a sizable lead as we

[2:35] only a fraction of the vote is in and

[2:38] that could still go either way.

[2:39] Connecticut Senate, this is a similar

[2:42] situation.

[2:44] Ned Lamont has been well behind uh

[2:48] running against Joe Lieberman who is an

[2:50] incumbent Democrat running as an

[2:51] independent. The Republican Slesinger

[2:53] has not been a factor in the race as you

[2:55] can see at 10%. He apparently still is

[2:57] not, but we're not able to make a call

[2:58] there and may not be able to for some

[3:00] time. Similar situation in the state of

[3:02] Virginia. We'd love to be able to tell

[3:03] you something about how that's going to

[3:04] come out. 65% of the precincts are in,

[3:06] but we still can't make a call. Allen is

[3:08] leading by what? 16,000 votes. That's uh

[3:10] not enough in a state of that size to

[3:12] make a call. And and and across the

[3:14] Ptoic River in Maryland, uh we have very

[3:17] little in uh there. And uh and and and

[3:22] the the Lieutenant Governor Michael

[3:23] Steele in a and still too close to call

[3:26] on his race with the Congressman Ben

[3:28] Cardman. Chaffy White House close race

[3:31] got very close at the end. White House

[3:33] was thought to have a lead. They are in

[3:36] almost indistinguishable on the issues.

[3:38] This is a state in which you said you're

[3:39] an endangered species if you got an R by

[3:41] your name and Chaffy did have an R by

[3:43] his name and he has been endangered

[3:45] although he was thought to be making a

[3:47] late surge. Sometimes late surge just

[3:49] peter out and don't amount to much.

[3:50] Sometimes they end up being the momentum

[3:52] that carries into election day in the

[3:54] state of Rhode Island and we don't yet

[3:55] know which. We wish we did but we don't.

[3:58] So, we'll ask you to bear with us,

[3:59] folks, as we as we go through uh this

[4:02] long list of Now, we got polls closed in

[4:04] a whole bunch of states. Now, uh Bill,

[4:06] let's go back to that board you have

[4:08] there, the uh what we call the power

[4:10] play board. And just review once again,

[4:12] we've seen two Democratic pickups in the

[4:15] Senate, Ohio and Pennsylvania. Neither

[4:16] of them a surprise. Everything else

[4:18] that's out there is still too close to

[4:20] call. Out of that group on the right,

[4:22] the Republic, the Democrats would need

[4:24] to gain a net of four more. And if they

[4:26] lose Maryland, which is in the realm of

[4:28] possibility, they'd need to win five out

[4:29] of six. So, they still have some work to

[4:31] do in the Senate. Senator Schumer, you

[4:33] saw exuberant earlier at how well it's

[4:36] going so far. Um, but nonetheless, a lot

[4:39] is still out there. We're not going to

[4:40] know for a while,

[4:41] >> right? And we really won't know for a

[4:42] while. Virginia looks very close on the

[4:44] real vote. I'm sure we won't call that

[4:45] till we get another, you know, huge

[4:47] chunk of vote in. Missouri, we have

[4:49] almost no vote yet, and that one looks

[4:52] close. Rhode Island just closed. and

[4:54] Montana doesn't close till 10:00 and it

[4:56] looks very likely that control of the

[4:58] Senate could well hinge on mont Montana

[5:00] Montana. Uh so even without surprises in

[5:02] Maryland, Arizona or even if Corka hangs

[5:05] on in Tennessee, we'll be waiting I

[5:06] think on Montana and Missouri probably

[5:09] pretty late into the evening.

[5:10] >> Well, it's interesting to get this sense

[5:12] we got some of it from Senator Schumer

[5:14] there with Senator Reid. Um, Democratic

[5:17] National Chairman Howard Dean is out and

[5:18] has been doing some interviews and my

[5:20] colleague Chris Wallace uh is in touch

[5:22] with him now and in a position to talk

[5:24] to him. Chris,

[5:25] >> thank you Brit. We do want to bring in

[5:27] uh the former governor of Vermont and

[5:29] the chairman of the Democratic National

[5:31] Committee, Governor Dean. Governor Dean,

[5:33] good evening to you, sir.

[5:34] >> Chris, thanks for having me on.

[5:35] >> Uh, as you've seen, we have called so

[5:38] far two pickups in the Senate, Ohio and

[5:40] Pennsylvania Democratic pickups of

[5:42] Republican seats. We have so far one

[5:45] pickup of a house seat in Indiana. Uh

[5:48] are you seeing more gains than that?

[5:50] >> No, we're we're we're being very

[5:52] conservative, if I may say so, on a

[5:54] conservative station. Um and very

[5:56] careful because as your commentators had

[5:59] said, everybody's been burned by exit

[6:01] polls before. We're optimistic because

[6:02] the turnout is so big and when twothirds

[6:05] of the American people want to go in a

[6:06] different direction, that's a good thing

[6:08] uh for the country and it's also a good

[6:09] thing for the party out of power that

[6:11] offers a different direction. But but I

[6:13] agree with you. I think it's going to be

[6:14] a late night and uh it could come down

[6:16] to Montana or Missouri.

[6:18] >> Uh let me ask you about because if it is

[6:21] a Democratic victory, people are going

[6:22] to be wondering what it's a victory for.

[6:24] Some people are saying it's an

[6:25] ideological victory. On the other hand,

[6:27] a number of your candidates, for

[6:28] instance, Bob Casey, uh the Senate,

[6:31] apparently victorious Senate candidate

[6:33] in Pennsylvania, quite a moderate for a

[6:34] Democrat. Is this a party victory or an

[6:37] ideological victory? Uh

[6:38] >> it's I think it's a victory for a new

[6:40] direction. Uh to be honest with you, I

[6:42] don't think it's uh part of it's about

[6:44] the party, but I think that what's

[6:46] happened over the last few years is that

[6:49] the Republicans have lost touch with the

[6:51] American people. Um they the Iraq is of

[6:54] course a big issue. Corruption, it turns

[6:56] out, is a huge issue today in the exit

[6:58] polls. It's an issue that we've been

[6:59] harping on for a while and there's just

[7:01] been an awful lot of it. There's I think

[7:03] four or five Republican congressmen that

[7:05] had to resign, including the majority

[7:06] leader. Um and the other of of course

[7:09] issue is the economy. It was an issue

[7:11] that was very frustrating to the

[7:12] president because the corporate earnings

[7:14] are up. The Dow Jones is up. But that's

[7:16] fine for the top 20%. The president's

[7:19] tax cuts were aimed at the top 20%. The

[7:21] rest of the 80% have got some real

[7:23] worries about the economy. The

[7:24] Republicans have cut the ways that

[7:26] middle class and working-class kids get

[7:27] to college. Well, people know that

[7:29] that's the ticket to get out of uh their

[7:31] economic situation. So, I think those

[7:33] are the three real pillars. Iraq economy

[7:36] and the corruption issue. But let me ask

[7:37] you because you said you say it's a a

[7:39] mandate or a vote for a new direction.

[7:41] That obviously is a pretty broad theme.

[7:44] When you say uh in the economic area, is

[7:46] that a mandate to raise taxes on the

[7:48] rich in Iraq? Is it a mandate for a

[7:51] quicker pull out from Iraq?

[7:52] >> Well, I think the the answer to your

[7:54] first question is probably not a mandate

[7:56] to raise taxes on the rich. I think it's

[7:58] a mandate to make middle class to to

[8:00] create tax fairness for middle class

[8:02] people. the the upper folks have gotten

[8:04] the big tax break, but middle class

[8:06] people haven't gotten anything. In fact,

[8:07] they've had some programs that they

[8:08] really rely on uh cut. That's that's

[8:10] problem number one. In Iraq, I do think

[8:12] it's a mandate to do something different

[8:14] in Iraq. The president made a big deal

[8:16] of staying the course, but that's not

[8:18] the what people want to do. People want

[8:19] to get out of Iraq. They actually want

[8:21] to do what most Democrats want to do. No

[8:23] Democrats are going to rush for the

[8:24] exits in Iraq. We need to stabilize the

[8:26] situation and then leave. But we need to

[8:28] leave and we need a plan to leave. and I

[8:31] think you'll see one uh coming forward.

[8:33] >> Now, you have uh taken some heat even

[8:35] within the Democratic party on your your

[8:37] 50 state strategy that you can no longer

[8:39] be competitive just in blue states, but

[8:42] you have to have a presence, a real

[8:43] competitive presence around the country.

[8:45] When you see Democrats tonight uh very

[8:48] competitive in Virginia, competitive,

[8:50] although maybe at this point trailing in

[8:51] Tennessee, and certainly competitive in

[8:54] Montana, do you see that as in some

[8:56] sense uh an embracing vindication of

[8:59] your 50 state strategy?

[9:00] >> Well, look, I think there's plenty of

[9:01] credit to go around. Look, uh uh Emanuel

[9:04] and Schumer and and Pelosi and Reed did

[9:06] a great job recruiting really good

[9:07] candidates. They raised a ton of money

[9:09] and poured it into advertising. But it

[9:12] is true that we expect to do well in in

[9:15] red states. And you mentioned the Senate

[9:16] races. I believe we're going to pick up

[9:18] the governorship in Colorado. We could

[9:20] pick up the governorship in Nevada. Uh

[9:22] we're going to pick up one or two or

[9:24] maybe even three seats in Arizona in the

[9:26] Congress. Uh so the answer is the

[9:28] Democratic Party has begun to start the

[9:32] long overdue process of reaching out to

[9:34] people in states that we haven't done so

[9:35] well in for a while and haven't even had

[9:37] a presence in for a while. Now, we do

[9:39] have a presence in all these states. Uh,

[9:41] and so we've got a ways to go. Look, we

[9:43] can't undo what's happened to us over

[9:45] the last 12 years in just one election

[9:47] cycle, but we're going to build on this.

[9:49] Win or lose tonight, and I don't know if

[9:50] we're going to win or lose, but win or

[9:52] lose tonight, we're going back to work

[9:53] tomorrow and continue what we're doing

[9:55] and reaching out to every single

[9:56] American. One of the things that Nancy

[9:58] Pelosi has said, in addition to raising

[10:00] the minimum wage and and passing an

[10:01] ethics bill, is that we're going to be

[10:03] civil again. We're going to reach out to

[10:05] everybody, unlike the Bush

[10:06] administration who seemed to think they

[10:08] were only president of half the country.

[10:10] Everybody is our boss, including those

[10:11] people who didn't vote for us. And I

[10:13] think it's respectful to ask them for

[10:14] their votes. We know we're not going to

[10:16] get some of those votes early on. But if

[10:18] you keep asking and keep uh and keep

[10:20] reaching out, then I think we will

[10:21] become the majority party in a more

[10:23] sustained way.

[10:25] >> Governor Dean, we want to thank you so

[10:27] much for coming on Fox News. Uh we'll be

[10:29] watching the returns for the rest of the

[10:30] night along with you. Brit, back to you.

[10:32] All right, Chris, thanks to you and

[10:33] thanks to Governor Dean. Megan Kendall

[10:35] is standing by with some further word on

[10:37] governorships. Megan,

[10:37] >> hey there. Yeah, you heard Howard Dean

[10:39] say it. The Democrats are looking to

[10:41] pick up some states uh on in terms of

[10:43] their party and it turns out they have

[10:44] done it. They've held on to a few states

[10:46] and picked up a few as well. Uh first

[10:49] out of Arizona, we are now projecting

[10:50] that Governor Janet Npalitano is the

[10:52] winner there. Uh beating out her

[10:54] Republican or her Republican and

[10:56] independent challenges in Wyoming. Uh

[10:58] you see it there. Governor Freudenthal,

[11:00] it appears, has won over his Democratic

[11:02] challenger, Ray Hunkkins. In Texas, Fox

[11:05] is projecting the Republican governor,

[11:07] uh, Rick Perry, has prevailed not only

[11:09] over Chris Bell, who you see there, but

[11:10] over the independent Kinky Freriedman,

[11:12] whose campaign slogan was, "Why the hell

[11:14] not?" Uh, in New York, Fox News

[11:16] projecting that Elliot Spitzer has won,

[11:19] as expected, over Republican uh, Fazo.

[11:22] This is not a surprise, but it is a

[11:24] turnover. This of course a state that

[11:26] was govern governed by a Republican uh

[11:29] George Pitaki he now stepping down. In

[11:31] New Mexico, Fox News projecting a win

[11:33] for Bill Richardson. Not a surprise, the

[11:35] Democrat over his challenger John

[11:36] Dendal. In Nebraska, uh Fox is

[11:39] projecting a win by the sitting governor

[11:41] Heinman, the Republican over David Han.

[11:43] In Ohio, as you've been discussing, uh

[11:45] Fox News has projected a win for Ted

[11:48] Strickland over Ken Blackwell. will be

[11:50] the first time in 20 years a Democrat

[11:52] has sat in the in the Ohio governor seat

[11:54] and in Oklahoma you see it there a

[11:56] Democrat uh Brad Henry the governor

[11:58] prevailing over Ernest Istuk. So in all

[12:01] right there the most exciting news was

[12:03] the Ohio win of course for Ted

[12:05] Strickland that Fox News is projected

[12:06] and New York those are two turnovers uh

[12:09] from red to blue if you include

[12:11] Massachusetts as well that's yet another

[12:13] state in which there was a Republican

[12:15] governor Mitt Romney that now Fox News

[12:17] is projecting will turn blue. uh Deval

[12:19] Patrick is the projected winner in that

[12:21] state as we announced earlier. So there

[12:22] you have it, Brett. At least three major

[12:24] uh state turnovers from red to blue

[12:26] tonight.

[12:27] >> But correct me if I'm wrong, none of

[12:29] those is actually a surprise, right?

[12:30] These were these were basically the

[12:31] expected,

[12:32] >> not a one. All of those uh Democrats

[12:33] were polling at least double points

[12:34] ahead of their challenges.

[12:36] >> All right, Megan Kendall, great as

[12:37] always. Thank you very much. We're going

[12:38] to take a brief break here. Back with

[12:39] more in a moment.

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[14:25] >> We are now projecting that Senator

[14:26] Lieberman will be reelected as an

[14:28] independent. Now, that's going down on

[14:30] this. We got a little gizmo on there

[14:31] that says it's a gain. Well, it's a gain

[14:33] if you believe that the independent

[14:35] caucus in the Senate will now have one

[14:36] more member uh than it had before.

[14:39] Presumably, you'd also believe that that

[14:40] uh that Bernie Sanders and Joe Lieberman

[14:42] would get together and be the

[14:43] independent caucus. But Lieberman has

[14:45] said he will he will caucus with the

[14:47] Democrats as everybody expects he will.

[14:49] So, this is really not a a gain for the

[14:51] independents or a loss for the Democrats

[14:53] and Republicans. It is a hold of a seat

[14:56] held by a Democrat. Although he has been

[14:58] a particularly interesting kind of

[15:00] Democrat, one who not so many months ago

[15:02] when he lost his party's nomination uh

[15:05] for Senate based largely on a protest

[15:07] vote against the war in favor of Ned

[15:08] Lamont. Uh so that is something we're

[15:12] looking at. Uh didn't we didn't expect

[15:14] that to change and it didn't change. In

[15:16] the meantime, my colleague Chris Wallace

[15:18] has been joined by another guest, the

[15:20] counterpart of Howard Dean, Ken Melman.

[15:22] Chris, exactly right, Brett. In the air,

[15:25] in the interest of being fair and

[15:26] balanced as always, we bring in the

[15:28] chairman of the Republican National

[15:30] Committee, Ken Melman. And Mr. Melman,

[15:32] good evening.

[15:32] >> Thanks for having me. I appreciate it.

[15:34] >> Uh, we, as I said with Howard Dean, at

[15:37] this point, we h show two Senate seat

[15:40] pickups for the Democrats in Ohio and

[15:42] Pennsylvania, one House pickup in

[15:44] Indiana. Do you see anything more out

[15:46] there switching from either Republican

[15:48] to Democrat or Democrat to Republican?

[15:50] >> Well, it's very interesting right now.

[15:52] Now, if you look around the country,

[15:53] there are a number of different races

[15:54] that appear to be telling different

[15:56] signals. Uh there's some evidence in

[15:58] Maryland that Michael Steel did

[15:59] historically well in the

[16:00] African-American community. They'll not

[16:02] only be important in that race, it'll be

[16:04] important potentially nationally. Uh the

[16:06] Virginia numbers incredibly close. If

[16:08] you look, what's interesting, a

[16:09] significant portion of Northern Virginia

[16:11] is in Allen appears to be holding on. Uh

[16:13] and North in a very tough race. On the

[16:16] other hand, Jeff Davis is in a place

[16:18] right now. A lot of people expected that

[16:19] to be the closest race in Kentucky and

[16:21] he's winning big time. He may have

[16:23] already declared victory. Uh so we

[16:25] really are looking at we projected about

[16:27] 30 races that would be very close. A lot

[16:29] of it looks like it's a racebyra

[16:31] decision which means if you've got

[16:33] viewers watching where the polls are

[16:34] still open, it's very important that

[16:36] they go out and vote.

[16:37] >> So you're not prepared at this point to

[16:38] say that you're going to lose the House,

[16:40] let alone the Senate.

[16:41] >> Absolutely not. What's interesting to me

[16:43] right now, if you look at the data, is

[16:45] Virginia's very close, Maryland's very

[16:48] close. Uh Missouri looks very close. Not

[16:51] a lot of data back from Montana. Uh and

[16:53] all of those are indicative of what's

[16:55] going to be, as we predicted, a very

[16:57] long and interesting evening. So, what I

[16:58] would say to folks is grab a bag of

[17:00] pretzels, grab a cold one. It's going to

[17:02] be a long evening. Uh, Governor Dean

[17:04] said that he thinks that this election

[17:06] shows already a mandate for change,

[17:09] especially on Iraq policy, especially on

[17:12] economic policy. Your response?

[17:14] >> I think Governor Dean would have that

[17:15] finding no matter what the results were

[17:17] tonight. Let's see what the people say.

[17:19] Let's see what the voters say. Uh,

[17:20] obviously, I think no matter what the

[17:22] outcome, there are areas where we can

[17:24] work together in a bipartisan basis.

[17:26] I've always believed no matter what the

[17:28] election when you win big or whatever

[17:30] happens, it's always important to look

[17:32] in the mirror and say what do we do

[17:33] better? How do we do a better job? Uh

[17:35] but to declare based on some early

[17:37] numbers when particularly as many uh

[17:39] districts appear close as this one that

[17:41] there's some kind of national trend I

[17:43] think is premature. Let me ask you

[17:44] though because you just brought up an

[17:45] area where you do agree with Governor

[17:47] Dean. He talked about a desire among the

[17:50] public for a new civility for the

[17:52] parties working more closely together

[17:54] than they have in the past. uh are the

[17:56] Republicans and especially is the Bush

[17:58] White House willing to take up that its

[17:59] side of the bargain on that area?

[18:01] >> Uh absolutely. And I think if you look

[18:02] over the period, some of the most

[18:04] important reforms we've made have been

[18:06] bipartisan. Whether it's the education

[18:08] reform, the first piece of legislation

[18:10] the president put forward, uh

[18:12] legislation like the Patriot Act, the

[18:14] war in Iraq was bipartisan. People on

[18:16] both sides recognize the threat that

[18:18] Saddam Hussein posed. Uh you look at the

[18:20] tax relief that was bipartisan.

[18:22] Litigation reform has been bipartisan.

[18:24] The energy reform has been bipartisan. I

[18:26] absolutely believe there's an

[18:27] opportunity. I hope if Mr. Dean is

[18:30] serious about what he's saying, then

[18:32] he'll recognize that when people

[18:33] disagree with him, they may not be brain

[18:35] dead. They may not be people that are

[18:36] worth hating, but rather simply people

[18:38] who are good people, which I think about

[18:40] him, who just happen to disagree on the

[18:42] issues. You know, it's interesting. I

[18:44] certainly agree with you that the exit

[18:46] polls indicate a lot of these races are

[18:48] too close to call. But in the mo most of

[18:50] the states that we have looked at, there

[18:52] is a majority that seems to disapprove

[18:54] of the way the president is handling his

[18:56] job and a majority disapproves of the

[18:58] war in Iraq. How much headwind has that

[19:01] created for Republican candidates in

[19:03] this election? Again, I think we need to

[19:05] look at the specific races. There'll be

[19:07] plenty of time to analyze that kind of

[19:09] data. Look, the president has made clear

[19:11] that this war in Iraq is very

[19:13] frustrating to him and it's to millions

[19:14] of Americans frustrating. It's very hard

[19:17] to face an enemy that is a movement as

[19:19] opposed to a nation because a movement

[19:21] is much harder to defeat. When you

[19:23] decapitate the military leadership of a

[19:26] nation, then you eliminate command and

[19:28] control. When an enemy can figure out

[19:31] how to build an IED or recruit new

[19:33] terrorists on a website, it's much

[19:35] harder to deal with. And that's why we

[19:37] have to constantly evolve. constantly

[19:39] adjust and the fact that people on both

[19:41] sides of the aisles are going to

[19:42] recommend ways to do that is a good

[19:44] thing for America.

[19:45] >> Finally, there was a lot of talk before

[19:47] the election about the vaunted 72-hour

[19:49] program, the amazing Rove Melman get out

[19:52] the vote operation.

[19:54] >> How have you done so far tonight uh in

[19:56] terms of that? And and do you have any

[19:58] excuses? Did anything go wrong in your

[20:00] get out the vote effort?

[20:02] >> I'm sure there are things that on the

[20:03] 72-h hour we can do better. After the '

[20:05] 04 election, Chris, we did an incredibly

[20:08] intensive afteraction review and figured

[20:10] out how we would do better. I'll tell

[20:11] you this. We know this. Millions of

[20:13] people around the country made tens of

[20:15] millions of calls to help turn the vote

[20:17] out. We saw a level of absentee ballot

[20:19] and early voting in a number of states

[20:21] that could end up saving seats. In

[20:23] Kentucky, in Florida, in Arizona, in

[20:27] Tennessee, in Virginia, in a number of

[20:29] these states, our numbers in absentee

[20:31] and early voting exceeded our numbers in

[20:33] the population. So, I think there's a

[20:35] huge opportunity both to look at how we

[20:37] can do it better, but once again, what

[20:39] this proves is the power of people. It

[20:41] proves that neighbors gawking to

[20:42] neighbors is an incredibly effective

[20:44] way, even in a tough environment like

[20:46] this, to help spread the word.

[20:47] >> Ken Melman, we want to thank you so much

[20:49] for coming on. We'll see how the world

[20:50] turns as the evening continues.

[20:52] >> We'll talk to you later.

[20:54] >> Thanks so much, Brit. Back to you.

[20:56] >> Okay. Uh, we've heard from both the

[20:58] chairman. Um, both of them being very

[21:01] calm and cautious. Senator I mean Ken

[21:04] Milman seeming um well he had a lot of

[21:07] smiles. Howard Dean was being I think

[21:08] deliberately very subdued. Um I think

[21:11] however he'd be less subdued if he saw

[21:13] this which is we are now going to

[21:15] project that although he's trailing now

[21:18] with only a little bit of vote in that

[21:20] uh that the congressman Ben Carden will

[21:22] hold that Maryland seat which has been a

[21:25] Democratic seat for the Democrats over

[21:27] his challenger the lieutenant governor

[21:29] Michael Steele who ran what I think most

[21:31] people consider to be was a quite

[21:32] effective campaign and an awfully tough

[21:34] year for a Republican challenger in a

[21:36] state as blue as the state of Maryland

[21:38] is. So, that is a important development.

[21:41] Um, one of the first big, well, not I

[21:43] won't call it a surprise, but it is one

[21:45] of the first drill tossup races that uh

[21:48] the really close ones that we've been

[21:49] able to call. We're going to take a

[21:50] break here. We'll be back with more on

[21:51] the other side. Stay tuned.

[21:54] [music]

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[24:12] election night.

[24:17] >> Not a lot of surprises so far tonight,

[24:19] folks, but a couple of important

[24:20] results. We have been able to call the

[24:22] state of Maryland, not for the uh for

[24:25] the Democrats. For Ben Carden, the

[24:27] congressman running to succeed Paul

[24:30] Sarbain, longtime Democratic senator

[24:31] from the state of Maryland. It had been

[24:33] thought that Michael Steele, the

[24:34] Republican lieutenant governor, might

[24:35] have had a real shot at picking up that

[24:37] seat, which would have been an

[24:38] extraordinary political achievement in a

[24:39] year that has that is so lean toward the

[24:42] Democrats. He did not, however, and we

[24:43] are projecting Ben Cardon the winner.

[24:45] We've also called Connecticut for Joe

[24:47] Lieberman. No surprise there. In the

[24:48] meantime, let's check in with Michael

[24:49] Baron down by our decision desk for some

[24:52] further word on his thinking. Michael?

[24:54] >> Well, uh Brit, I'm here to talk to you

[24:55] about the uh uh decision desk. people

[24:58] have uh have made a determination that

[25:00] we are not going to be relying on uh

[25:03] exit pole information anymore in

[25:05] projecting the race. Uh what they've

[25:07] done is uh through the uh EMR

[25:10] organization they've gone back and

[25:12] looked at the actual returns in the

[25:14] precincts where samples uh of exiting

[25:18] voters were taken by interviewers. What

[25:20] they found was a 6 to8 point Democratic

[25:23] bias. That is to say, the exit poll

[25:25] turned out to be 6 to 8% more Democratic

[25:28] than did the vote in the actual precinct

[25:30] uh when that vote was tallied. So, um

[25:33] and sometimes the error is a little

[25:35] more, sometimes the error is a little

[25:37] less. Uh they felt these uh numbers uh

[25:40] were unreliable enough that we're not

[25:42] going to deal with them. We're going to

[25:44] be looking at the tabulated vote and uh

[25:46] making assessments there from

[25:50] >> All right, Michael. Thank you. Um we're

[25:52] we're keeping an eye here of course on

[25:54] uh not only the calls that we're making

[25:55] but the calls that some others are

[25:57] making as well. And we had a couple we

[25:58] can make right now. Let's let's take a

[26:00] look here. First of all, Indiana um

[26:02] we're now projecting that the Democrat

[26:04] there will win that race. So that's

[26:06] incumbent uh Congressman Chris Chakola

[26:09] who had been able to succeed there. This

[26:10] is a race that the Republicans very much

[26:12] thought that they would be able to win.

[26:14] Joe Donnelly I believe his name is who

[26:15] has won that race now. Dem the Dem that

[26:18] is a net gain of one further for the

[26:20] Democrat and in and in Kentucky. We are

[26:22] also making a projection there that Anne

[26:24] Northup after a number of years in a in

[26:27] a blue district will not be reelected

[26:30] that the Democrat her Democratic

[26:31] challenger there has won. And this now

[26:34] gives us a little more to talk about in

[26:35] terms of the direction of things in the

[26:37] House of Representatives. Bill, as we

[26:39] look at this now in the House, I think

[26:41] it's fair to say that we're beginning to

[26:43] see the early outlines of what could be

[26:45] a trend. We are and it's happening where

[26:47] people expected it to happen. Indiana,

[26:49] Kentucky, and North's district, which

[26:51] Carrie carried uh in a tight race. Ohio,

[26:54] Fred wrote an excellent piece in the

[26:55] Weekly Standard what they're what they

[26:56] were calling a couple of weeks ago the

[26:58] possible blowout belt.

[27:00] >> I was calling it.

[27:01] >> No, [music] I you invented that term. I

[27:02] don't know.

[27:03] >> I did. Yes, [clears throat] I did.

[27:04] >> Okay. Now, let's looking along the

[27:06] screen now, Bill, you can see now that

[27:07] if you project the uh net the loss of

[27:10] three of the Republicans, the House, if

[27:12] they had to seat it tonight, would be uh

[27:14] the new House would be 229 to 205. A

[27:16] long way to go, but you can see it's

[27:18] already we can see there at least

[27:20] graphically. Um what a difference it

[27:22] makes one independent still sitting

[27:24] there.

[27:25] >> But I think, you know, there will be

[27:26] more than three. There's no question. I

[27:27] mean, we've seen the beginning of it and

[27:29] we just don't know how big it will be. A

[27:31] lot will depend on what happens out

[27:32] west. I mean, there are a lot of seats,

[27:34] about 20 25 seats in the Ohio,

[27:36] Pennsylvania, Indiana, Connecticut belt,

[27:39] uh, that Fred dubbed the blowout belt.

[27:41] Um, that a good chunk of those could go

[27:44] Democratic. Then there are random sort

[27:46] of seats in Arizona and elsewhere.

[27:49] Wyoming's open one at large seat. If

[27:52] those start to go, then we're talking,

[27:54] you know, and the other thing is, of

[27:56] course, you know, we're waiting. We

[27:57] we'll be looking for results in in New

[27:59] York State,

[28:00] >> right,

[28:00] >> where there are some endangered

[28:02] Republicans there and where the word

[28:04] that was being heard, Major Garrett was

[28:06] picking up soundings from some

[28:08] Republican sources that were saying that

[28:09] Hillary Clinton's get out the vote

[28:11] operation for a race that she was in no

[28:13] danger of losing. Um, seemed to be

[28:15] making a difference in the turnout for

[28:16] other races there, which of course would

[28:18] could only help the Democrats. Britney,

[28:19] if you add in Pennsylvania where

[28:22] Republicans may lose three seats, uh New

[28:25] York where they could lose anywhere from

[28:27] one to five, but probably something like

[28:28] one or two, and then we don't know the

[28:30] three endangered Connecticut House

[28:32] seats, right? Uh three Republican seats,

[28:34] all uh in jeopardy of losing. So, uh, I

[28:37] think Republican Democrats have it's

[28:41] almost I mean it's a a chip shot to win

[28:45] the House

[28:46] >> in in addition to which there's Ohio

[28:48] where uh the Bob Nay seat I believe is

[28:50] already gone. Uh, that that open seat.

[28:52] We've got Steve.

[28:53] >> You believe it's gone because you think

[28:54] it's going to go? We haven't called it.

[28:56] >> Well, if we haven't called it, uh, it it

[28:58] the the Democrats were that both parties

[29:01] were saying that they thought that the

[29:02] Nay seat was was going to go beforehand

[29:04] and it and it probably is. is then you

[29:06] have you have actually three other seats

[29:07] in Ohio that are vulnerable, including

[29:09] Jean Schmidt uh who was the person who

[29:12] criticized uh Jack Murtha after he came

[29:14] out with this this uh proposal to

[29:17] withdraw from uh begin Iraq Iraq

[29:19] withdrawals. She on the floor read a

[29:22] letter uh accusing him of uh of

[29:24] cowardice from from another marine and

[29:27] uh earned uh had to had to apologize

[29:31] >> words taken down as they say in the

[29:32] house where you have to basically have

[29:34] to formally eat your word.

[29:35] >> That is a very very Republican district

[29:37] that she's in and she's and she's in

[29:39] trouble too. So there could be a four

[29:41] seat loss in Ohio. That would be bad.

[29:43] >> Yeah. This this afternoon I was talking

[29:44] to Republicans. There's their their

[29:46] their take was look you know what that

[29:48] northeast that Howard Dean and others

[29:50] were counting on as their stronghold in

[29:52] an attempt to take over the house. They

[29:53] saw that that was fading. They thought

[29:55] there was a chance that Republicans

[29:56] would hold on people like Chris Shayes

[29:58] in Connecticut. Uh but what we're seeing

[30:00] early on indicates that in the

[30:02] Republican area where you know

[30:03] Republicans should have done better in

[30:05] Indiana should have done better with

[30:06] Northup you would think in Kentucky that

[30:08] it's the Republicans who are on the on

[30:10] the rope at this moment. And again, it

[30:12] looks like this is the start of what

[30:14] will push towards a Democratic.

[30:15] >> And we have one more call we're able to

[30:17] make this in Rhode Island where Link

[30:19] Chaffy, the incumbent Republican, has

[30:21] lost, we project, to the Democratic

[30:23] candidate, Sheldon White House. Two men

[30:25] whose views are virtually

[30:27] indistinguishable, but nonetheless, in a

[30:29] state like Rhode Island, in a year like

[30:31] this with an R next to your name, you're

[30:32] endangered. And so, Chaffy proved to be

[30:34] endangered. We're going to take a brief

[30:36] break. We're going to take a look at how

[30:37] this [music]

[30:37] alters the uh the structure in terms of

[30:40] who's up, who's down in the in the House

[30:42] and in the Senate when we come back.

[30:44] Stay tuned.

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[32:29] >> Let's turn quickly to my colleague Megan

[32:31] Kendall for more on the governor's

[32:32] races. Megan,

[32:33] >> hi there Brit. Yeah, we have a couple of

[32:34] interesting updates for you now. Uh the

[32:36] first one out of Wisconsin. This is Fox

[32:38] News is projecting a Democratic hold.

[32:41] You can see that Governor Jim Doyle, we

[32:43] are projecting now, has prevailed over

[32:44] his challenger, Mark Green. This was a

[32:46] tight race. This one was one of the

[32:47] toss-ups according to the experts. The

[32:49] Republicans very much wanted to capture

[32:51] this seat from the incumbent. Fox News

[32:53] now projecting they have failed to do

[32:54] so. The governor Jim Doyle holding on.

[32:57] In South Carolina, Fox News projecting

[32:59] now Governor Mark Sanford uh has

[33:01] prevailed over Democratic challenger

[33:02] Tommy Moore. Of course, we pointed out

[33:04] earlier uh Mark Sanford had trouble

[33:06] voting today. He also br uh burned his

[33:09] eyes on television lights yesterday,

[33:11] burning his cornea. Uh so, Governor

[33:13] Sanford, if you're listening, uh Fox

[33:14] News projecting good news for you

[33:16] tonight. In Vermont, uh, Governor Jim

[33:18] Douglas, the Republican, Fox News

[33:19] projecting, has prevailed over his

[33:21] Democratic challenger, Scutter Parker.

[33:23] Uh, this too not really a big surprise.

[33:25] He was expected to hold this day. And

[33:27] finally, in Maine, Fox is projecting

[33:29] that Governor John Beldachi has

[33:31] prevailed over his Republican

[33:33] challenger, Chandler Woodcock. That

[33:35] again, not a surprise, although Woodcock

[33:37] quite conservative in Maine had the

[33:38] support of the two uh more moderate

[33:40] Republican uh senators, didn't manage to

[33:42] pull it out there. Again, not a huge

[33:44] surprise. So that's the latest from

[33:46] here, Brit, on the governor's races.

[33:47] >> All right, Megan, thanks very much. Let

[33:49] me turn to my colleague, Bill Crystal,

[33:51] now who can show us graphically at least

[33:53] what has happened in terms of the

[33:54] Senate. Bill.

[33:55] >> Uh, well, Brit, if I'm not mistaken,

[33:57] there were 15 Democratic seats up this

[34:00] year and uh they have held them all. No

[34:04] Democratic seat will go Republican and

[34:07] uh Maryland is the last one we've

[34:08] called. So Maryland [snorts] and New

[34:09] Jersey were the two that seemed at risk.

[34:11] They are staying Democratic. There were

[34:12] 18 Republican seats up this year. So far

[34:16] with calling Rhode Island, three

[34:18] Republican incumbents, let just do this

[34:20] correctly here so I can move this little

[34:21] guy over here. There we go. [snorts]

[34:23] Three Republican incumbents have lost.

[34:26] Chaffy in Rhode Island, Dwide in Ohio,

[34:28] Santorm in Pennsylvania. Three

[34:30] Republican incumbents next at risk would

[34:33] seem to be Allen in Virginia. But that

[34:34] race seems just dead even as we see the

[34:37] popular vote accumulate. That was

[34:38] another one where the original exop poll

[34:40] seemed to be way off. It doesn't look

[34:41] like it's going to be a late night on

[34:42] that.

[34:42] >> That could be a late night in Virginia.

[34:44] Missouri, early count, looks very close.

[34:47] Uh, and Montana, the polls haven't even

[34:49] closed. Tennessee, which has been a

[34:51] close race. Uh, Corker seems to have a

[34:53] lead in the raw vote, but no one's

[34:54] calling that either. So, the Democrats

[34:56] need three more seats. They've held all

[34:59] their seats. Virginia

[35:02] held all their seats so far.

[35:03] >> Well, none of the others were thought in

[35:04] danger. We get, in fact, we can we're in

[35:05] a position now to call a couple of the

[35:07] races. There are no surprises in either

[35:09] of these. Um, first let's look at what

[35:12] what do we got here? First we got there

[35:14] you go Michigan Debbie Stabinau

[35:16] reelected over now that's a candidate

[35:18] that was thought to have been making a

[35:19] late charge. Now that pay no attention

[35:21] to that margin there. That's just the

[35:23] based on the tabulation it's in so far.

[35:25] But Debbie Stabino a winner there. She's

[35:27] a was a first termer. So this is and in

[35:30] Delaware this is no great surprise

[35:32] either that uh that Tom Carper the

[35:34] incumbent there has won out as well. He

[35:37] was never in thought to be in any

[35:38] jeopardy. he a winner as well. That that

[35:41] furthers, however, Bill, your theme that

[35:44] Democrats do not appear tonight to be on

[35:46] the verge of losing a single seat, they

[35:48] now hold to a Republican, which means

[35:50] that uh Republicans are going to just

[35:52] have to hang on like crazy to what they

[35:54] need two or three of the remaining uh

[35:56] the five that are still out there that

[35:57] were thought to be the close ones. Let's

[35:58] go to that board again if we can. Of the

[36:00] five that still five Republican seats

[36:03] that are at risk, the Democrats need to

[36:05] win three to take the whoever wins three

[36:08] controls the Senate. Okay. Three out of

[36:10] five.

[36:10] >> Three out of five.

[36:11] >> Three out of five. Tennessee, Arizona,

[36:13] Montana, Missouri, Virginia. And that

[36:15] will be I think the big story of tonight

[36:17] because the Democrats look likely well

[36:19] look as if they're going to win the

[36:20] House. The margin is a question

[36:21] >> and they have looked for some days as if

[36:23] they were going to win the House. In

[36:24] fact, this morning I looked at all the

[36:26] projections of, you know, five of the

[36:28] major prognosticators, including our own

[36:30] Michael Veron and our own Robert Novak,

[36:32] and every single one of them had by one

[36:34] degree or another, the Republicans

[36:36] getting control of the House. They were

[36:37] all over the place on the Senate. Um,

[36:39] anywhere from two to seven or eight. So,

[36:42] this may be why the Republicans still

[36:45] think they have potentially something to

[36:46] cheer about tonight. It might be

[36:47] considered a very major kind of a moral

[36:50] victory and a and a major hold if they

[36:52] can keep the Senate. Let's go down to

[36:53] the White House and see what the

[36:55] sentiment is there tonight from my

[36:57] colleague, our chief White House

[36:58] correspondent Brett Bear. Hi Brett.

[37:00] >> Hi Brett. The president, the first lady

[37:01] and his chief political adviser Carl

[37:04] Rove watching the returns in the White

[37:06] House resident tonight. You'll not be

[37:08] surprised to hear that senior Bush aids

[37:09] say the mood is generally upbeat. They

[37:11] believe the exit polls reminded them of

[37:13] 2004 and that they were out of line.

[37:15] However, that was before the latest

[37:17] calls. Senior aids were really watching

[37:19] that Indiana race, that house race.

[37:21] Chris Chakola that you just called for

[37:23] Joe Donnelly. They were watching that

[37:25] race as as well as a a number of other

[37:27] House races. The president went on a 11

[37:31] state tour over the past nine days uh

[37:33] trying to rally the base. And two of the

[37:36] places that he thought Republicans and

[37:38] the White House believes Republicans

[37:39] still have a chance to pick up Democrat

[37:41] seats are in Georgia. Georgia 12, former

[37:44] Congressman Max Burns against John

[37:46] Barrow. uh that race they are watching

[37:49] very closely and I think we might have

[37:51] the current numbers still too close to

[37:52] call uh but there you have 55% 45% the

[37:56] other race in Georgia is Georgia 8 uh M

[37:59] Collins against Representative Jim

[38:01] Marshall again that is another race that

[38:03] the White House is watching possibly a

[38:05] Republican pickup but there you see

[38:06] again too close to call 50% each uh the

[38:09] White House as far as the Senate calls

[38:12] saying that nothing is too shocking yet

[38:14] but that again was before uh the

[38:15] Maryland call was made. So, they're

[38:18] watching cautiously, I can tell you.

[38:19] Senior staff just ordered chicken

[38:21] tenders. Uh, they think it's going to be

[38:22] a long night.

[38:23] >> Okay. Maybe some coffee as well. All

[38:25] right, Brett. Thanks very much. Um, so,

[38:28] um, we're going to check in now to see

[38:31] what is being said about all this in the

[38:34] blogosphere with our with our colleague

[38:38] >> Michelle. How are you doing? Tell us

[38:39] what you got.

[38:40] >> Doing good here, Brett. and the

[38:42] blogosphere which uh really made a name

[38:45] for itself challenging the mainstream

[38:47] media's reporting uh you remember

[38:50] rathergate and uh a lot of the

[38:52] blogosphere coverage during the 2004

[38:54] election campaign uh is not uh resting

[38:57] on its laurels and of course tonight um

[39:00] you've got a lot of grievances um mostly

[39:03] from the right side of the blogosphere

[39:04] over the leak of exit polls and also the

[39:08] what what they consider the premature

[39:11] poor um calling of a lot of these races

[39:14] at newsbusters.org,

[39:16] which is one of the leading mainstream

[39:17] media uh critic blogs. Um they've been

[39:21] uh highlighting the uh early calls in

[39:23] Pennsylvania. And you've also got an

[39:25] alliance of uh bloggers in Ohio um who

[39:28] have pointed out that there was at least

[39:30] one um polling location that was uh

[39:33] still open at the time that uh that race

[39:35] was called. So, you'll be hearing a lot

[39:37] of of uh grievances on on that front.

[39:40] Um, on another uh note um it's

[39:43] interesting that after Harry Reid

[39:45] appeared with Charlie Schumer and we

[39:46] showed it here on Fox News uh over the

[39:49] past hour that you have a lot of

[39:51] fissures between liberal bloggers in the

[39:53] Democrat party now showing those cracks

[39:56] are really coming to the four

[39:57] particularly after the loss of uh Ned

[40:01] Lamont who was really the first YouTube

[40:04] candidate um a blogger supported

[40:06] candidate who lost and uh there's a lot

[40:09] of cannibalism now uh within the

[40:12] Democrat party and among liberals over

[40:13] that and we're seeing that in the

[40:14] blogosphere. Brett.

[40:16] >> Okay, Michelle. That's interesting. I

[40:17] suppose before the night is over, we may

[40:19] come in for some criticism because uh we

[40:21] called the race in Ohio while there were

[40:24] still some polls open by court order out

[40:26] there. Uh only what 16 or so, but uh I

[40:29] suppose that could bring us in for some

[40:31] criticism from the people at Newsbusters

[40:33] or probably somewhere else as well. We

[40:34] have a call we're now going to make in a

[40:36] house race in Florida. Now, this is a

[40:39] this this is a uh Buchanan is the

[40:43] Republican. We project he was thought to

[40:46] be in some difficulty there. We thought

[40:47] he might. That's Florida 13. Um but it

[40:51] appears that we are now projecting that

[40:53] he will win that race. Um which is um

[40:56] which is a a hold for a Republican in

[40:59] one of those places where on a big night

[41:01] for the Democrats he might have gone. So

[41:03] that is now we're I'm correct that we

[41:05] are calling this correct. Okay. Yeah, I

[41:07] just didn't see the fable check mark.

[41:09] So, I'll look forward to seeing that

[41:10] appear on the screen. We're going to

[41:11] take a break. Maybe we can get our check

[41:12] mark up in the meantime. Stay tuned.

[41:15] >> That's

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[43:03] Welcome back folks and we continue with

[43:05] our coverage now of some more governor's

[43:06] races coming in by the minute. Fox News

[43:09] is out now able to project a winner in

[43:11] the state of Michigan. It looks like

[43:13] Governor Jennifer Granville will hold on

[43:15] to her seat beating back a challenge by

[43:17] uh Dick Devos. This was one the

[43:18] Republicans really wanted. Didn't know

[43:20] if they could win, but were giving it

[43:21] the old college try. And in Maryland,

[43:24] huge news. is Fox News projecting that

[43:27] uh the governor Bob Erlick the

[43:29] Republican governor has been ousted that

[43:31] Baltimore mayor uh Mayor Omali has won

[43:34] that seat and Ali will head from

[43:36] Baltimore now becoming the governor the

[43:38] 61st governor of the state of Maryland

[43:41] that is a big one in the state of

[43:42] Kansas. Fox News projecting that

[43:44] Governor Kathleen Sibilius will hold her

[43:46] seat beating back a challenge from

[43:48] Republican Jim Barnett. Not a huge

[43:50] surprise there. Illegal immigration an

[43:52] issue in that race. And finally, Fox

[43:54] News is projecting in Alabama a win for

[43:57] Governor Bob Riley over his Democratic

[43:59] challenger. Uh that too, not a big

[44:01] surprise. But of course, the big news

[44:02] now in this hour is the win in Maryland

[44:05] uh for governor or for uh Mayor Ali.

[44:07] It's interesting because the sitting

[44:09] governor Bob Erlick had said, he's a

[44:10] Republican that if uh Lieutenant

[44:12] Governor Michael Steele lost his bid for

[44:14] the Senate, he would go down as well.

[44:15] Erlick would go down as well. As it

[44:17] turns out, his prediction was correct.

[44:19] Fox News has predicted both of those men

[44:20] have lost their races on this Tuesday

[44:23] night. Brit.

[44:24] >> Okay, Megan, thanks very much. Worth

[44:25] commenting this Erlic race. Elic was a

[44:28] Republican in a Democratic state, but it

[44:30] had been thought, I think widely thought

[44:32] that he had been a an effective and

[44:34] successful governor. He's an attractive

[44:36] guy, youthful guy. Um, is this just a

[44:39] case of having the wrong the wrong

[44:41] letter next to his name?

[44:42] >> Largely, he collateral damage.

[44:43] >> He had he had very good approval

[44:46] ratings. uh over 60% and done he he even

[44:48] got the Washington Post endorsement uh

[44:50] which means a lot in the in the suburbs.

[44:53] He was very appealing. He's pro-choice

[44:55] or at least not uh not not

[44:58] um yeah he is I I guess he defined

[45:00] himself as pro-choice. He's pro- stem

[45:02] cell research unlike Michael Steele and

[45:04] had it had some appeal in the uh in the

[45:07] close-in suburbs uh but wasn't enough.

[45:09] It's this is just

[45:10] >> this now is it fair to say that this is

[45:12] I mean you know we always say that the

[45:14] house races tend to be and senate races

[45:17] as well tend offear elections

[45:18] particularly house races tend to be

[45:19] settled on local issues. Um is this is

[45:22] this a race that got so this whole

[45:24] overall race got so nationalized that

[45:27] that we can say that Bob Erlic was

[45:29] affected by Iraq?

[45:30] >> Well Ali Ali the govern the the uh the

[45:33] winner actually had ran ads linking to

[45:38] George Bush. I mean utterly uh

[45:40] >> well who knows what will work. What are

[45:41] your thoughts?

[45:42] >> And obviously the governor's races can

[45:43] separate more from the national trend

[45:45] and there are Republican governors who

[45:46] will end up winning in in blue states

[45:48] and and vice versa. But it is striking

[45:50] to me just looking at the results we

[45:51] have in now. How much being in a blue

[45:54] state in a Democratic state is hurting

[45:56] Republicans this year. The place

[45:58] Republicans seem to be hanging on. We

[46:00] just called Florida 13. Katherine

[46:02] Harris's district. Buchanan has been

[46:03] behind there throughout almost the whole

[46:05] race. It's next door to Foley's

[46:07] district. There was a lot of talk about

[46:08] how the Foley scandal would hurt there.

[46:10] Ultimately though, Florida remains a

[46:11] pretty Republican state and that's a

[46:13] Republican district and it came home for

[46:15] the Republicans and Georgia. These two

[46:17] Democratic uh congressmen, the only two

[46:19] Democratic congressmen it looks like who

[46:21] are endangered are in Georgia, a very

[46:23] Republican state where a Republican

[46:24] governor got reelected easily that Bush

[46:27] carried obviously very easily. It

[46:28] strikes me that we have had a

[46:30] nationalized election and the

[46:31] Republicans who were going down are

[46:33] going down in Democratic states.

[46:35] Democratic states. So, one of the common

[46:36] descriptions, one of the common

[46:37] descriptions I heard when when you go

[46:39] out and and cover politics this year

[46:41] about Republicans is a good Republican

[46:43] candidate, bad Republican year. The a

[46:46] perfect description of Bob Erlick, the

[46:48] governor of Maryland. I thought a

[46:49] terrific and one have to say Michael

[46:51] Steele as well.

[46:52] >> Absolutely. I think they both ran good

[46:53] campaigns. Now, Eric, you got to

[46:55] remember Eric defeated Kathleen Towns

[46:57] and Kennedy uh after Kennedy Towns

[46:59] >> Kennedy after Glenn Denning, who was a

[47:01] popular to at least for most of his time

[47:03] popular Democratic governor of Maryland

[47:05] uh left. And the reason that Erlick was

[47:07] able to do that was the sentiment that

[47:09] it's time for reform, time for change.

[47:11] And he was popular. And yet here you get

[47:14] Ali bringing the strength of a

[47:15] Democratic party machine in Baltimore

[47:17] City uh and relying on the

[47:19] African-American vote in Prince George's

[47:20] County to triumph. Just in the last few

[47:22] days, you've had Barack Obama and Bill

[47:25] Clinton go into that state to try to

[47:26] rouse the Democratic vote. That's the

[47:28] importance that Democrats had put on

[47:30] that race toward the end, and it looks

[47:32] like it's paid off for them.

[47:33] >> All right, Bill, give us a look now at

[47:35] the at the balance of power uh as it now

[47:38] stands uh on that on that. This is of

[47:41] course in the House. We haven't used

[47:42] this one before. We're going to need to

[47:44] lose that uh ticker at the bottom of the

[47:46] screen. Oh, we're going to do the

[47:46] Senate. Okay, go ahead, Bill. Do the

[47:48] Senate for us.

[47:48] >> Well, let's do the Senate first. It it

[47:50] hasn't changed. Again, I'm so struck.

[47:52] Look at the Senate seats that are uh at

[47:55] that the Republicans need to hold.

[47:57] Virginia, a mildly Republican state. Um

[48:01] Missouri, a mildly Republican state.

[48:03] Very mildly Republican state.

[48:04] >> Yeah. Much more mild than Virginia.

[48:06] >> Right. Tennessee, Arizona, Montana,

[48:08] pretty Republican states. Montana,

[48:10] Senator Burns thought though to be in

[48:12] very serious trouble. They really need

[48:14] to to to win Tennessee and Arizona, but

[48:17] then really get it'll be very

[48:19] interesting to see what happens in

[48:20] Virginia and Missouri.

[48:21] >> All right, good. Now, let's look at the

[48:22] House if we can. The your screen real

[48:25] estate may there you got more room.

[48:27] >> I haven't moved all these House seats.

[48:29] What this I think screen shows most

[48:31] interestingly is how few Democratic

[48:33] House seats were at risk. This isn't

[48:35] just Democratic incumbents. These are

[48:37] Democratic held house seats.

[48:38] >> And some of those have shifted though,

[48:39] right?

[48:40] >> Right. Well, yeah. Some of these in here

[48:41] I have another move to move. Indiana 8's

[48:44] going to come over eight should go over

[48:46] there and Florida 13 stays which I think

[48:49] is interesting that we thought that was

[48:50] one of the ones most at risk. It's why

[48:52] we had it in this

[48:53] >> Kentucky 3 needs to move over. I don't

[48:55] know that's on your screen there. No,

[48:56] it's not on the screen.

[48:58] >> We can move it onto the screen.

[48:59] >> Florida 13 we thought was one of the

[49:00] ones most at risk. That is held. Um

[49:03] several of these other

[49:04] >> and of course that's not an incumbent

[49:05] either. I mean it's it's a it's a that's

[49:07] Katherine Harris's old seat and uh and

[49:10] um

[49:11] >> I would predict and that incumbency we

[49:14] hear so much incumbency so strong

[49:15] incumbency so strong incumbency will be

[49:17] less of a factor this year I think than

[49:19] ideology that is being a an open an open

[49:22] seat in a conservative area Florida 13

[49:24] you're better off than being a popular

[49:26] incumbent a strong incumbent like the

[49:27] Chris Shayes in Connecticut who's not in

[49:30] a Republican or conservative state

[49:32] >> and now the balance of power has shifted

[49:34] just a little bit further 229 205

[49:37] because well it hasn't shifted further I

[49:38] should say because we we predicted Vern

[49:40] Buchanan will hold on there and let's

[49:42] get a little bit more about that

[49:43] district and that race and what it may

[49:46] portend from our colleague Michael Baron

[49:47] down at the decision desk. Michael.

[49:49] Well, Brit, uh, one of the interesting

[49:51] things about that race was that it broke

[49:53] down as a, uh, sort of fight between two

[49:57] big coastal counties on the district.

[49:59] Um, Manatee County, which the major city

[50:01] is there, Bradenton, uh, and, uh,

[50:04] Sarasota County, major city is Sarasota.

[50:07] Uh, Sarasota is sort of more upscale.

[50:09] You get people move down there from kind

[50:11] of the Tony or Midwestern suburbs and so

[50:14] forth. Uh Bradenton is a little more uh

[50:17] mixed group, working class. There's

[50:19] Walmarts there and that sort of thing.

[50:21] And what's interesting in this race is

[50:23] that it was a Vern, it was the

[50:25] Republican Vern Buchanan who carried

[50:27] Manatee County and who carried the uh

[50:29] several interior counties of Florida,

[50:32] the areas that voted historically

[50:33] Democratic for many years, switched to

[50:35] the Republicans in the 80s and 90s. Uh,

[50:38] and it was the Democrat Christine uh,

[50:40] Jennings, a former Republican herself,

[50:42] who carried Sarasota County. Uh,

[50:45] Buchanan got enough votes in in in

[50:48] Manatee and the two other counties to

[50:49] win. So, it's it's sort of a reversal of

[50:52] the old politics of the New Deal period

[50:54] when it was assumed that the sort of

[50:56] rich and socially famous uh, you know,

[50:59] socially Tony people were Republicans

[51:02] and the common folk were democrats.

[51:05] Kind of a reversal. Um, also want to

[51:08] take a quick look at uh Florida 16. Uh

[51:11] the numbers there right now uh suggest

[51:14] that uh it's possible uh not for sure

[51:17] but possible that uh Mark Foley could

[51:19] still uh be win formally. Actually, of

[51:23] course, a vote for Mark Foley is a vote

[51:25] for State Representative Joe Negrron.

[51:27] And uh one of the reasons is that Martin

[51:29] County, the most Republican county

[51:31] there, uh still has 60% of the votes

[51:34] out. And if those go the way the other

[51:36] republic votes go, uh Republics may hold

[51:38] on to this scandal endangered seat.

[51:41] Very interesting. Let me ask you one

[51:42] question about about the Buchanan race.

[51:44] Is that a race that was was thought

[51:47] sufficiently endangered that the fact

[51:50] that the Republicans are holding it

[51:52] could tell us something more about a the

[51:54] rest of Florida and and b perhaps the

[51:56] rest of the country or not?

[51:57] >> Uh yeah, I think so. President Bush went

[51:59] down there. Uh this was one in trouble.

[52:01] Jennings seemed to be ahead in the

[52:03] polls. Uh Buchanan seems to have pulled

[52:05] it out.

[52:05] >> All right. Because that's Michael. Thank

[52:07] you. The assignment at the moment for

[52:08] the uh for the Republicans would seem to

[52:11] be to hold on to the Senate if they

[52:12] possibly can and contain their House

[52:14] losses as best they can, knowing, as I'm

[52:17] sure they must feel now, that the House

[52:19] is going to end up Democratic tonight.

[52:20] But perhaps not the Senate and perhaps

[52:22] not the House by so big a margin. We

[52:25] don't know yet. That's the story [music]

[52:26] we'll be watching and we'll take a break

[52:27] and be right back with it.

[52:31] >> [music]

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[55:19] Welcome back everybody. Well, it is good

[55:21] news for Republicans in the state of

[55:22] Florida right now. Fox News can now

[55:25] project the winner in that governor's

[55:26] race will be Charlie Chris. This was a

[55:29] hard-fought battle to replace uh Jeb

[55:31] Bush, who is retiring because of term

[55:33] limits. It does appear at this hour that

[55:35] Charlie Christ will take over the seat.

[55:37] the Republicans will not lose that state

[55:39] house as was feared as recently as

[55:40] yesterday. Chris was ahead by only seven

[55:42] percentage points. Uh this must be a

[55:44] relief to him. It does appear that he

[55:46] has retained the Republican seat in that

[55:48] state. In South Dakota as well, Fox is

[55:50] projecting a win for the Republicans.

[55:52] Governor Mike Rounds will retain his

[55:54] seat, we project, over his Democratic

[55:56] challenger. Mike RS, you may recall, is

[55:57] the governor who signed that uh that

[55:59] bill banning abortion uh in virtually

[56:01] all cases except to save the life of the

[56:03] mother. He's very popular in that state.

[56:05] not a huge surprise that he would

[56:07] prevail tonight. So, how do things stand

[56:09] tonight? Take let's take a look at the

[56:10] map. 36 states were up uh for vote in

[56:13] terms of the governorships. We are now

[56:15] projecting change in terms of a shift in

[56:18] power in four of those states. The

[56:20] biggest and perhaps the most significant

[56:22] thus far is the state of Maryland where

[56:24] we are projecting that Governor Erlict

[56:25] has been ousted by Baltimore Mayor

[56:27] Democrat Martin Ali. Uh also in the

[56:30] state of Massachusetts, an expected

[56:32] shift. Uh Deval Patrick will now become

[56:34] the nation's second black governor. Uh

[56:37] first ever for Massachusetts. He

[56:38] prevailed over his Democratic

[56:40] challengers uh and will replace a

[56:42] Republican Mitt Romney there. In Ohio,

[56:44] Ted Strickland, the projected winner,

[56:46] beating down uh Ken Blackwell, who is

[56:48] the Republican challenger and uh

[56:50] replacing a Republican. And then

[56:51] finally, in the state of New York, Fox

[56:53] has already projected a big win as

[56:55] expected for Elliot Spitzer. Uh a

[56:57] Democrat who has prevailed over his

[56:59] Republican challenger Joe Fazo. That not

[57:01] a surprise. So perhaps again the biggest

[57:02] news out of Maryland. Uh but Florida

[57:04] must come as a big relief to the

[57:06] Republicans who very much wanted to hold

[57:07] on to that seat and now it appears they

[57:09] have Brit

[57:10] >> and Megan of course as we noted earlier

[57:12] the president went down there to

[57:13] campaign for Charlie Christ among others

[57:15] and Chris decided not to attend the

[57:16] rally. He was needed elsewhere in the

[57:18] state and I guess he can say that his

[57:19] strategy worked and I'm sure the

[57:20] president can say yeah but I helped. So

[57:22] so [laughter] so there you have it. Of

[57:24] course that's a state uh where uh the

[57:27] politics has been dominated to some

[57:28] extent for many years by the president's

[57:30] brother Jeff. Thanks Megan very much. We

[57:31] got a quick call we can give you here in

[57:33] the state of Virginia in West Virginia.

[57:34] Excuse me. This isn't a big surprise uh

[57:36] that the Democrat Alan Malahan has held

[57:39] on to his seat. He had a little ethical

[57:41] mini flap that dusted up and he was at

[57:43] that point the ranking Democrat on the

[57:46] on the ethics committee and it caused

[57:47] him a little bit of a headache and the

[57:49] Democrats ushered him off of that panel

[57:51] presently and u but he was never in

[57:54] great doubt for re-election but there he

[57:56] is reelected.

[57:57] Alan Malahham, welcome back to

[57:59] Washington and let's discuss for a

[58:01] moment here. Um, Bill, give us a sense

[58:04] if you can from that wonderful

[58:06] teleustrator you have there, the uh the

[58:08] uh screenwriter what uh what the

[58:11] situation looks like in the House if you

[58:12] can. You've had a chance to update that

[58:14] a little bit.

[58:15] >> Yeah, a little bit. The uh two

[58:17] Democratic seats that are possible

[58:18] pickups, Georgia 8 and Georgia 12 are

[58:20] just too close to call. It looks like

[58:23] Well, they're just very very close with

[58:24] them at a thousand votes. Each of them

[58:26] Republicans would love to pick up at

[58:27] least knock off one Democratic

[58:29] incumbent. In 1994, one of the great

[58:31] Republican sort of points to churnle

[58:34] about afterwards was that no Republican

[58:36] incumbent lost in the Senate, the House,

[58:37] or the governorships. I think the

[58:39] Republicans are in danger of having that

[58:41] reversed this year. It's not clear any

[58:42] Democratic seat is going to go

[58:44] Republican. None will in the Senate. I

[58:46] think we can say with confidence. I

[58:47] don't believe any Democratic

[58:48] governorship is going to go to the

[58:50] Republicans.

[58:51] >> But but they could get a couple out of

[58:53] Georgia. But they could get these two

[58:54] Georgia House seats. That will be

[58:56] interesting. And then I think the

[58:57] Florida seats, the fact that the

[58:58] Republicans have won Florida 13 here is

[59:01] which was really at risk. They were he

[59:03] was way behind Buchanan or well behind

[59:05] earlier about a month ago. And then

[59:07] these two in Florida 16, Florida 22 um

[59:11] which one is Foley's district where

[59:13] which is written off right away. This is

[59:15] a typical case if I can say where

[59:16] conventional wisdom just goes wrong. You

[59:18] know, they assume voters are so stupid.

[59:20] Foley gets ousted in a scandal. his

[59:22] name's still on the ballot and people

[59:23] say, "Well, they couldn't possibly win.

[59:25] The substitute candidate couldn't

[59:26] possibly win because the voters have to

[59:28] be smart enough to know that they have

[59:29] to punch Foley's name, but they're

[59:31] really voting for Negron."

[59:32] >> Well, actually, or check Foley's name or

[59:34] cast, but some clever Republican

[59:37] strategist thought of a slogan, punch

[59:38] Foley to elect Joe, right? Negron,

[59:41] right?

[59:41] >> And Negron's a popular, I think, state

[59:43] senator or state assemblyman, well

[59:44] known, and that they educated the voters

[59:46] well. And it looks again, but again, it

[59:48] shows how important I think ideology is

[59:50] or or beliefs. You know, it's a

[59:51] conservative district. The voters wanted

[59:53] to elect a Republican and they seem to

[59:55] have found their way. They may have

[59:56] found their way to doing so despite this

[59:58] obstacle.

[59:59] >> It's a huge, you would have to

[60:00] considered just just in the political

[60:02] experience, a huge obstacle. In about 10

[60:06] seconds here, we're going to be able to

[60:07] make some calls in states where uh at

[60:10] least in one state where the polls are

[60:11] closing, you can see Iowa and then three

[60:13] of those Mountain West states are uh are

[60:15] going to be uh going to be closing uh

[60:18] and have now done so. Um, so let's take

[60:21] a look at the the great state of Utah

[60:25] where we are able to project now, and

[60:27] this is going to come as a surprise to

[60:28] absolutely no one. Uh, except those who

[60:30] didn't weren't aware that he was up for

[60:32] re-election because he was never in any

[60:33] trouble that veteran Republican Senator

[60:35] Orin Hatch has been reelected. Uh, no

[60:38] surprise there. Thank you very much.

[60:41] Missouri. Um, well, we're watching this

[60:44] one carefully. These three races I'm

[60:46] going to talk about now. Missouri where

[60:47] we're saying that is still too close to

[60:49] call. Um McKascal ahead but it's just

[60:53] not enough to go on in a great big state

[60:54] like that. Also Tennessee similarly

[60:57] although we you know Bob Corker has been

[60:59] ahead. He's ahead now. Uh there seems a

[61:02] significant chance that he will win but

[61:04] it is still too close to call. We're not

[61:06] able to project it not least because we

[61:08] don't trust our exit polls. And in

[61:09] Virginia we have a similar situation

[61:11] although this race is really tight. Uh

[61:14] you can see they're only they're 85% of

[61:15] the precincts in and and Allen is ahead

[61:17] by 29,000 votes. 29,000 votes can shift

[61:20] in just a in a couple of counties in a

[61:22] state the size of Virginia if they're in

[61:24] the most densely populated. So um we're

[61:27] not in a position to call that. That is

[61:29] really if you're looking at a pivotal

[61:30] race right now that might be able to be

[61:33] called sometime in the next, you know,

[61:34] hour or so. That would be the one. I

[61:36] think we're going to be here awfully

[61:37] late on Missouri and possibly on

[61:39] Tennessee as well. But and those three

[61:41] will tell the tale of whether the

[61:43] Republicans can hold the Senate or

[61:45] whether the Democrats will as many of

[61:46] them believe that they were in a

[61:48] position to do get control of the place.

[61:50] And that's the that's the big that'll be

[61:51] the big story for the rest of this night

[61:53] as we watch it go forward. Fred,

[61:55] >> Brit, we haven't commented on uh the uh

[61:58] this effort by Republicans uh to in

[62:01] nominating African-Americans for top uh

[62:05] uh positions on the ballot. You know,

[62:07] the criticism of Republicans had always

[62:08] been that they were willing to nominate

[62:11] a black, but it was always in a race

[62:13] that was not winnable. Well, this time

[62:15] they nominated Lynn Swan for governor of

[62:18] Pennsylvania, uh Ken Blackwell for

[62:20] governor of Ohio, and and probably most

[62:22] important of all, Michael Steele, uh for

[62:24] the Senate seat in Maryland. They have

[62:26] all failed.

[62:26] >> Let me interrupt you for a second, Fred,

[62:28] because we're going to get a look at how

[62:29] things are going tonight out in out in

[62:31] Missouri. Uh Jim Talent, the incumbent

[62:34] Republican, is speaking to followers

[62:35] there at his headquarters. lovely lady

[62:37] on my right, your left

[62:41] mom, my mother-in-law, without whom our

[62:44] family could not function. Thank you,

[62:45] Mom. [applause]

[62:56] [applause]

[62:57] And then Kate and Chrissy, our two

[62:59] daughters, uh, who cleared [applause]

[63:08] It was kind of them to clear their

[63:10] social calendars so they could be with

[63:11] us this evening.

[63:14] And then my son Mike uh who is

[63:17] [cheering]

[63:18] [applause]

[63:24] who is uh [applause]

[63:26] whose whose uh whose school is playing

[63:28] their first postseason uh football game

[63:32] this year uh tomorrow night. And folks,

[63:36] I'm going to be there. What do you think

[63:37] about that?

[63:42] >> [applause]

[63:44] >> And uh

[63:47] and then my wife Brenda and I heard

[63:49] Senator Bond say that she's a better

[63:50] campaigner than I am.

[63:53] And of course she's right. [applause]

[64:00] And uh Okay. Well, you get a sense of

[64:03] it. He doesn't have anything much to say

[64:04] really. He's introducing his family to

[64:06] the appreciative talent followers there,

[64:08] including his son who's got the

[64:10] postseason game tomorrow night. We'll

[64:11] try folks to keep you a breast of those

[64:13] results as well. And if young talents

[64:15] team wins, we'll be sure to tell you.

[64:16] And if not, well, we'll tell you that,

[64:18] too. In the meantime, we got a call to

[64:19] make, and this is an important one in

[64:21] Connecticut. Nancy Johnson, veteran

[64:23] incumbent Republican, has lost to Chris

[64:24] Murphy there. This was a seat that was

[64:27] thought that she could hold on to. This

[64:29] is one of those uh one of those states

[64:31] that is not a good state for George

[64:33] Bush, but it is one in which um in which

[64:36] Nancy Johnson had been able to succeed

[64:37] in a variety of political climates over

[64:40] a number of years uh and she did not

[64:42] prevail. This is a pickup for the

[64:44] Democrats and possibly a turning point.

[64:47] Let's go to uh my colleague Major

[64:49] Garrett who's been following all the

[64:50] House racers down in Washington. Major,

[64:52] your thoughts? Well, Brit, Connecticut

[64:54] is a big problem for House Republicans.

[64:56] And I can tell you that in my

[64:58] conversations via email in the last

[64:59] hour, I've talked via email to four

[65:02] senior Republican strategists, all who

[65:03] work for senior House Republicans. And

[65:05] I've gotten these estimates from them

[65:07] about how many seats Republicans will

[65:08] lose. 20, 23, 25, and 30. All well above

[65:13] the 15 seat threshold necessary for

[65:15] Democrats to regain control of the House

[65:17] for the first time since 1994. And Nancy

[65:19] Johnson's race is one of the reasons

[65:21] why. Nancy Johnson is in her 12th term

[65:23] in Congress. A very respected moderate

[65:25] Republican, very experienced on tax,

[65:27] trade, and health policy. She ran

[65:29] locally. She did all the things in the

[65:31] Republican playbook to try to withstand

[65:33] this anti-Bush, anti-Republican climate

[65:36] because of the war, because of

[65:37] healthcare, because of the economy. It

[65:39] didn't work. There are a couple of other

[65:40] Connecticut seats still in jeopardy.

[65:42] Couple of other New Hampshire [music]

[65:43] seats in jeopardy. Pennsylvania, New

[65:45] York. In the entire Northeast,

[65:46] Republicans are seeing a lot of problems

[65:48] with the underlying turnout numbers and

[65:50] early vote totals. They're very

[65:52] concerned about that and if there's a

[65:53] wave in the Northeast, Republicans fear

[65:55] it could spread to the Midwest and to

[65:56] the West. But right now, Republicans

[65:58] very glum about their prospects of

[65:59] holding the House. Their only remaining

[66:01] hope, Rit, is that the losses are in the

[66:03] low 20s, not the high30s.

[66:06] >> Okay, Major, very useful, very

[66:07] information, very good information.

[66:08] Thank you very much. And your colleague

[66:10] Carl Cameron is there in Washington as

[66:12] well with some thoughts about a key

[66:13] Senate race. Carl,

[66:15] >> well Brett, we're still waiting on the

[66:16] beginnings of the returns to come out of

[66:18] Montana. a very early part of that night

[66:20] out there in the in the Northwest.

[66:22] That's a race that Conrad Burns had

[66:25] managed to close the gap in the final

[66:26] few days and there's really a very

[66:29] difficult way of assessing this because

[66:31] Democrat John Tester did so much work

[66:33] with the early voting when Democrats out

[66:35] there. Uh Republicans believe that that

[66:37] one's going to go quite late in the

[66:38] evening as well, not the least of which

[66:40] is because of the time zone problems.

[66:42] Uh, and if Conrad Burns should be able

[66:45] to hold on to that very red state, big

[66:47] sky country, it brings us back to what

[66:49] we've been talking about all night. And

[66:50] here at Fox, we were among the first to

[66:52] point out what Republicans called the

[66:54] firewall states. It's Missouri,

[66:57] Virginia, and Tennessee. Three

[66:58] contiguous states in the South that are

[67:00] so tight tonight. Uh, and right now,

[67:02] more than 90% of the vote has been

[67:04] counted in Virginia, and it's still far

[67:06] too close to call. Uh in Missouri,

[67:08] they're just really getting started. And

[67:09] Jim Talent has moved out to a tiny

[67:10] little bit of a lead, but it's very,

[67:12] very early on the returns. And

[67:14] Tennessee, both campaigns, both parties

[67:16] down there, uh saying that they're going

[67:18] to have to wait, too. All the momentum

[67:20] for Bob Corker, the Democrats are

[67:22] arguing, still hasn't been completed. Uh

[67:24] but if the Republicans can hang on to

[67:26] that three-state firewall across the

[67:28] bottom, across the old South there, they

[67:30] believe they'll be able to hold on. And

[67:31] that's where Democrats are trying to

[67:33] break it.

[67:33] >> Okay, Carl. Very interesting. Thanks

[67:35] very much. It is uh just after 10:07

[67:40] in the east and uh the national election

[67:43] picture is such now that I think Bill

[67:45] Crystal can sum it up for us at least as

[67:47] regards the Senate Bill.

[67:48] >> Well, just as Carl was saying, even if

[67:50] Montana goes just do this right, goes

[67:55] Democratic, which I think most people

[67:56] would have predicted based on the polls.

[67:58] >> Yeah, certainly a few weeks ago,

[67:59] >> right? That's a plus four for the

[68:01] Democratic. Tennessee looks like

[68:03] Republicans are hanging in. Obviously,

[68:04] we only have 53% of the actual raw vote,

[68:07] but it looks like it's staying there.

[68:09] Arizona is predicted to stay there. They

[68:11] need to win Missouri and Virginia. And

[68:13] I'm really struck by Virginia. The early

[68:15] exit polls showed a disaster for George

[68:17] Allen and Virginia. Uh the later exit

[68:20] polls have closer, but actually the

[68:22] final exit polls still showed Web

[68:24] winning fairly comfortably. But the real

[68:26] vote, we're now at 90% of the raw vote,

[68:28] which is a lot of vote. And last I saw,

[68:30] Allen was still ahead by about 30,000.

[68:32] It's getting a little hard to make that

[68:34] up. We don't know what what's out what

[68:36] precincts are out. Maybe it's, you know,

[68:38] inner city precincts in Richmond or

[68:40] something and Web's going to come back.

[68:41] >> But it looks to me like if you had asked

[68:43] the typical Republican which seat of

[68:45] these are they going to lose. I think

[68:46] they might many of them might have said,

[68:47] "Gee, Virginia looks rough." But it

[68:49] might be that George Allen saves

[68:51] Republicans the majority in the Senate.

[68:53] >> Wow. We Let's make a quick take a quick

[68:55] look out now out in Indiana. This is one

[68:56] of those battleground house races and we

[68:58] predict that the incumbent Mike Sodel

[69:00] who was one of the endangered

[69:02] Republicans in Indiana will lose now to

[69:04] his challenger Baron Hill. Baron Hill,

[69:06] if I'm not mistaken, is a former

[69:07] congressman whom Sodel defeated in a

[69:10] previous election. So, this was a

[69:11] rematch and the results have been

[69:14] reversed and uh and uh so that's a

[69:18] further confirmation of a trend we've

[69:20] seen in Indiana and elsewhere. Major

[69:22] Garrett joins me again. Major, your

[69:24] thoughts on this race? Well, Brit, a

[69:26] couple of things. First of all, that is

[69:27] a rematch. When Baron Hill lost to Mike

[69:29] Sodro last election in 2004, it was by

[69:31] less than 1500 votes. And Democrats felt

[69:34] very confident that in a rematch in this

[69:36] anti-Bush, anti-Republican year, they'd

[69:37] have a chance. But I want to tell you,

[69:39] our viewers should pay attention to this

[69:41] race because I think it's going to be

[69:42] subject to legal challenge. It's very

[69:44] close. And I'm already reading from my

[69:45] notes here that in Monroe County, the

[69:47] largest county in that ninth district in

[69:49] Indiana, there is a dispute over some

[69:52] absentee ballots. The FBI has already

[69:54] been contacted, is investigating that.

[69:56] Republican lawyers have raised alarms

[69:58] about some absentee ballots found after

[70:00] all the ones were supposedly turned in.

[70:02] There's some disputes about ballots in

[70:03] that huge county, Monroe County. This

[70:05] will probably be one of many, Brit, if

[70:08] they're close, that will be subject to

[70:09] legal scrutiny and some legal review.

[70:11] Back to you, Major. Very interesting.

[70:13] Thanks very much. We're going to take a

[70:14] brief break. Back with more in a moment.

[70:15] Stay tuned.

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[72:03] All right, we got a call we're going to

[72:05] be able to make in another one of those

[72:06] battleground house seats. This one in

[72:08] Pennsylvania. This is Pennsylvania 7.

[72:10] Pennsylvania 7 is a area around is one

[72:13] of those one of those districts near

[72:14] Philadelphia. Uh Kurt Weldon, the

[72:18] incumbent Republican there. Been there a

[72:19] while. Joe Cestack, his challenger, has

[72:22] won. You see the the margin there.

[72:23] That's based on the raw vote with half

[72:25] the precincts in. Uh that may not be

[72:27] anything like as big a margin when all

[72:28] is said and done, but we projected it

[72:30] will be big enough uh that Joe Cestack

[72:33] will be the new congressman from the

[72:34] seventh district of Philadelphia. And

[72:36] for more on on Pennsylvania, for more on

[72:38] that district, what it is, and what this

[72:40] race outcome says, let's turn to Mike to

[72:42] Michael Baron. Michael.

[72:44] >> Uh yeah, Britt. Uh pitch it to me again.

[72:47] Which district we talking about?

[72:48] >> Talking about Pennsylvania 7 where we're

[72:49] projecting now that Weldon is a loser to

[72:51] Joe Cestack. He had been in trouble.

[72:53] We've known that. Um and we of course we

[72:56] don't know what the final margin is

[72:57] going to be. But what is that district

[72:58] like and what does that tell us about

[73:00] how other races in that same vicinity

[73:02] might go? Well, that's a close in

[73:04] suburbs southeast of Philadelphia.

[73:07] Includes most of Delaware County, which

[73:08] is historically Republican, which voted

[73:10] for John Kerry. It's been trending uh

[73:13] Democratic as people move out from

[73:15] Philadelphia. Uh it also includes uh

[73:18] some of Chester County and Montgomery

[73:20] County. Uh it appears that of the

[73:23] Delaware County precincts in now uh

[73:27] Cest, the Democrat, has 55% of the vote.

[73:30] is essentially running about where John

[73:32] Kerry did 2 years ago. Uh there's some

[73:35] no Chester County numbers in yet, but it

[73:37] doesn't appear uh that they could

[73:39] suffice even if uh Weldon carried that

[73:42] area to win. Okay,

[73:43] >> that's that's farther out, more upscale.

[73:45] >> Now, we've got two other suburban

[73:47] Philadelphia districts that are in play

[73:49] tonight that have been one of them is

[73:51] the sixth district where Jim Gerlock is

[73:52] a Republican incumbent. The other Mike

[73:54] Fitzpatrick, a young Republican

[73:56] incumbent in there as well. If Weldon

[73:59] loses, does that suggest to you that be

[74:01] given the configuration and the kind of

[74:03] population you have in those areas that

[74:06] those two guys are in deeper trouble

[74:07] than we might have known?

[74:08] >> Well, I think that uh they've got

[74:10] demographically uh uh districts that are

[74:13] somewhat more Republican that the Weldon

[74:15] had particular problems because of

[74:16] charges that he steered lobbying

[74:18] business to his daughter and so forth.

[74:20] Uh in the sixth district, Gerlock, what

[74:22] we're showing now is the Democrat Lois

[74:24] Murphy ahead. Uh she's leading in

[74:26] Montgomery County, which is the inner

[74:28] suburbs, lower Marian. It's an area with

[74:30] a lot of very rich people that has

[74:32] trended more and more liberal as time

[74:34] goes on. Large Jewish population. She's

[74:36] carried that before uh and hasn't won.

[74:39] But she's also winning in Burks County.

[74:41] This is really a little beyond the uh

[74:44] Philadelphia area going into Reading.

[74:46] It's John Updike country. Uh and uh Jim

[74:50] Gerlock has carried that area before,

[74:52] campaigned hard there. uh that uh so far

[74:56] in the initial returns doesn't seem to

[74:58] be working for him. Caveat uh no Chester

[75:01] County returns yet in which is the most

[75:03] Republican of those three counties and

[75:05] uh we don't know which parts of those

[75:07] count of those counties which kind of

[75:09] precincts are in.

[75:10] >> So Michael, we do know one more thing

[75:12] from Pennsylvania and this is the 10th

[75:14] district. This is the district of

[75:16] incumbent Republican Congressman Don

[75:17] Sherwood who had been damaged as you

[75:20] know uh by a scandal involving his

[75:22] having a mistress and all the stuff that

[75:25] goes with that.

[75:26] >> We project uh well this is the uh I'm

[75:30] sorry this is the Ohio district. We're

[75:32] we're projecting Ohio I'm sorry we're

[75:34] calling this Ohio House race. This is

[75:36] the 18th congressional district. We're

[75:38] we're projecting a gain here by Zach

[75:40] Space uh in the district formerly

[75:43] occupied by Bob Nay that is in the

[75:46] eastern part of Ohio there a very rural

[75:48] district and we're projecting that Zach

[75:50] Space will win out over Joy Padet the

[75:53] Republican candidate. Uh that was one of

[75:55] those endangered Midwestern seats,

[75:57] Michael. And um and uh and let me look

[76:00] also at this Pennsylvania. This is the

[76:02] Don Sherwood seat I was mentioning a

[76:04] minute ago. That's congressional

[76:05] district 10. uh that is uh above and

[76:08] away from Philadelphia a bit and we're

[76:10] predicting that Don Sherwood and this

[76:12] was one of those races that was thought

[76:13] to be a loser for the Republicans and it

[76:16] has turned out to be that way. Michael

[76:17] your thoughts on those two.

[76:18] >> Well, those are two scandal seats. Uh

[76:20] Brit, if you had approached anybody of

[76:22] either party in December04 and said,

[76:24] "Are those two seats going to go

[76:25] Democratic?" They would have said, "You

[76:26] got to have hole in your head to believe

[76:28] [snorts] that." But that Ohio district,

[76:30] as you point out, kind of hilly country

[76:32] in southeast Ohio between Columbus and

[76:34] the Ohio River, but not including either

[76:36] of those.

[76:37] >> That's the Bob Ny. He of course resigned

[76:38] in disgraced just the other day after

[76:40] being indicted. Right.

[76:41] >> And he was replaced on the ballot by the

[76:43] Ohio Republican party by Joy Padet had

[76:46] been a state legislator. Turns out, I

[76:47] believe, that she had filed for

[76:49] bankruptcy recently. Uh so she was not

[76:52] uh let's say the ideal candidate. Zach

[76:54] Space, the winner of the Democratic

[76:56] primary, was well positioned to win and

[76:58] he did win that about a 55%. The Don

[77:01] Sherwood districts northeast

[77:02] Pennsylvania. It goes from Pike County,

[77:04] which is fast growing area. People

[77:06] fleeing New York taxes and New Jersey

[77:08] taxes are moving there uh west across

[77:11] the uh upper border. Heavily Republican

[77:14] district. Sherwood's problems too much

[77:16] to overcome. Okay, Michael Baron, thanks

[77:17] very much. We got to take a brief break.

[77:19] Back with more reporting, more calls,

[77:20] [music] and more discussion. Stay tuned.

[77:24] You decide 2006 [music] is brought to

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[79:38] We got a quick call we can make in a

[79:40] house race this out in Ohio. Well, this

[79:42] is no great surprise a Democrat holding

[79:45] on to that seat, but uh we're making

[79:47] trying to make give you what House calls

[79:48] we can when we can. Uh this is a hold

[79:51] this was not a battleground seat or

[79:53] especially dramatic challenge mounted by

[79:55] Republican Blasdol there. So, uh that's

[79:57] not one that we're glad to pass it on to

[80:00] you, but it doesn't change the balance

[80:02] of power in any notable way. Uh in the

[80:04] meantime, we're watching this. This is

[80:05] getting exciting. We're up to 91% of the

[80:08] raw vote counted in in Virginia and and

[80:11] we have George Allen with about a 30,000

[80:14] vote 31,000 vote lead over Jim Webb. Um

[80:18] you know, it's beginning to get high

[80:19] enough now that you can begin to look at

[80:20] 30,000 as meaningful. Of course, you

[80:22] don't know exactly what's outstanding

[80:24] and how big uh particular precincts

[80:27] might be, but uh 9% uh left of count,

[80:31] that's enough for Web to certainly

[80:32] overtake him. It's too close to call,

[80:34] but it begins to look a little bit uh

[80:36] meaningful. Bill, your thoughts on that

[80:38] race and that whole the overall picture

[80:40] there.

[80:40] >> Well, it's just exciting with all in

[80:41] this day of exit polls and projections

[80:43] to actually see like in the old days a

[80:45] real race with a vote adding up and

[80:47] trying to calculate in one's head, you

[80:49] know, whether how about 175,000 looks

[80:52] like votes left. Web would have to win

[80:54] that remainder of the vote by 30,000. It

[80:57] does seem to be closing gradually. Those

[80:58] votes must be coming in from slightly

[81:00] Democratic areas, but at the rate it's

[81:02] going right now, it's going to be very,

[81:03] very close. It would be amazing, I would

[81:06] say, though, if the Republicans hold the

[81:07] Senate because George Allen

[81:09] >> uh beats back Webb after all the

[81:10] troubles he's had in that campaign.

[81:12] >> One man who campaigned absolutely

[81:14] tirelessly for Republicans across the

[81:16] country was Senator John McCain of

[81:17] Arizona, widely thought to be a likely

[81:19] presidential contender in in two years.

[81:22] And he is now with our Chris Wallace.

[81:24] Chris, Senator McCain,

[81:25] >> thank Thank you, Brit. And Senator

[81:27] McCain, let me welcome you. Uh there

[81:29] obviously are Democratic pickups

[81:31] tonight. The possibility still that they

[81:33] may take control of the House andor the

[81:35] Senate. How do you read these election

[81:37] returns tonight, sir?

[81:40] >> I read them, of course, is

[81:41] disappointing. And from a personal

[81:43] standpoint, I I really really

[81:46] am sad about losing someone like Mike

[81:49] Dwine, who is a wonderful senator and a

[81:51] dear friend. But I I think this is

[81:54] because uh many of our voters have begun

[81:56] to believe that we value uh power over

[81:59] principle and that we came to Washington

[82:02] to reform the government and we came

[82:04] became part of the government and and

[82:06] one of the reasons why our base is not

[82:08] happy is because of the out of control

[82:11] spending. Of course the war in Iraq

[82:13] overlays much of this and I understand

[82:15] people's frustration. I'm frustrated.

[82:18] All of us are frustrated. But I still

[82:20] believe that if we lose there, it is a

[82:23] recipe for disaster and we need to we

[82:26] need to find a way through it. But I I

[82:28] do not believe we can leave without uh

[82:31] having severe consequences throughout

[82:33] the world.

[82:34] >> If voters are calling for change in Iraq

[82:37] tonight, and most of the exit polls

[82:38] indicate that there is at least a

[82:40] plurality, if not a majority, that

[82:42] supports change, opposes the war in

[82:44] Iraq. What kind of change do you think

[82:46] they want?

[82:48] Well, that's that's that's the question

[82:50] because they're obviously frustrated.

[82:52] I'm frustrated. You're frustrated.

[82:54] Majority of Americans are frustrated

[82:56] because we have not been able to install

[82:59] a Democratic government there. And we're

[83:01] going to have to figure out ways to do

[83:02] it. And we're going to have to probably

[83:04] in a bipartisan fashion if we can, but

[83:08] most importantly recognize that if you

[83:11] leave, it's not like Vietnam. You came

[83:13] home from Vietnam and it was over. uh

[83:15] these people are interested in our

[83:18] destruction and I don't think there's

[83:19] any doubt that chaos in the region which

[83:21] it would spread to would threaten our

[83:24] national security interests and I

[83:26] understand how unpopular that statement

[83:28] is but it's something that that I can

[83:31] all the years and experience and

[83:32] knowledge that I have leads me to that

[83:34] conclusion and literally every military

[83:37] expert I know

[83:38] >> Senator you uh have always said and I

[83:41] have questioned you about this

[83:42] repeatedly on Fox News Sunday. When are

[83:44] you going to decide about 2008? You

[83:46] always say after the 2006 elections.

[83:49] Well, I just checked the polls are

[83:51] officially closed in Arizona. So, what

[83:53] about it?

[83:55] >> I'll let you know early next year. But

[83:56] could I just add, Chris, um, look, we've

[83:59] taken setbacks before. Uh, in 76, we

[84:03] lost just about everything and Ronald

[84:05] Reagan gave us new direction, new focus.

[84:08] We get back to our conservative

[84:09] principles, which I still think the

[84:11] majority of Americans share. uh we're

[84:14] going to we're going to come right back

[84:15] and we'll learn. We'll listen to the

[84:17] voters and I think we've got a very

[84:20] vibrant and strong party and a

[84:22] philosophy that works. We just got to

[84:23] get back to it. But let let me ask you

[84:25] about that because you bring up a very

[84:27] interesting question. 1974 was a debacle

[84:30] for Republicans and the answer was this

[84:32] fellow from out west outside of the

[84:34] Republican establishment in Washington

[84:37] who did who did bring change and new

[84:38] ideas. What about you? Are you part of

[84:41] the solution or part of the problem?

[84:42] Sir,

[84:44] >> all of us Republicans are going to sit

[84:46] down together and listen to the voters,

[84:49] get the message from tonight, and we're

[84:51] going to shape not a new agenda, but a

[84:54] return to the principles and philosophy

[84:55] of what we stand for and believe in.

[84:57] Less government, lower taxes, less

[84:59] regulation, strong national defense, be

[85:01] more careful stewards of the taxpayers's

[85:03] dollars, stop this proflegate spending.

[85:06] Uh, I wanted a Medicare prescription

[85:08] drug program for people who needed it,

[85:11] but we g we gave them one, which is

[85:13] multi-trillion dollar addition to the

[85:15] deficit. We got to get back to our

[85:17] conservative principles, and I know of

[85:19] no better guy than one, Ronald Reagan.

[85:22] >> Senator uh McCain, well, of course, he

[85:24] isn't going to be on the ballot, but

[85:25] Senator McCain, you may be. Thank you so

[85:27] much for coming on tonight, and uh we'll

[85:29] be pouring over the endrails for some

[85:31] time to come. Thanks again, sir.

[85:34] >> Thank you, Chris. Rick,

[85:36] >> Chris, thanks to you and thanks to

[85:37] Senator McCain as well. It's good to

[85:38] have him. Good to have you, Chris. Um,

[85:40] we're keeping an eye as we go here

[85:42] obviously on the on that Virginia Senate

[85:44] race, which is turning in to be the most

[85:45] exciting and suspenseful one of the

[85:47] night because we have so much vote in

[85:48] and we think we may be, you know,

[85:50] getting to the point where we may have a

[85:52] real indication. Um, we're also keeping

[85:54] an eye on a couple of congressional

[85:55] districts in Florida. Bill Crystal, your

[85:58] thoughts about I guess it's Florida 22

[86:00] is one in particular. The Florida I

[86:04] guess it was 16 held for the Republicans

[86:06] uh in a situation that looked looked bad

[86:09] or do I have that wrong?

[86:10] >> 13 held 13, excuse me. Harris district.

[86:12] >> Yeah, that that held for the

[86:14] Republicans. Um your thoughts about 22

[86:17] and and the other Florida races that

[86:18] we're looking at there on your board

[86:20] there, your power player board. The

[86:22] Republicans are trailing slightly in

[86:24] Florida 22, which is Klay Shaw's

[86:26] district. It's always been a pretty

[86:28] close district. Um, looks like they may

[86:30] not take all three in Florida and 16,

[86:33] which is the Foley. You vote for Foley,

[86:35] but you mean to vote for Negron.

[86:38] >> 76% of the returns in there, Bill, as

[86:40] you can see. And uh, Shaw trailing by

[86:43] 7,000 votes. That's still awfully close,

[86:46] but it does suggest that uh that that

[86:48] that's either going to be a cliffhanger

[86:50] or a pickup for the uh pickup for the

[86:52] Dems,

[86:53] >> right? It looks like that could be.

[86:54] >> Um but equally striking are these two

[86:57] Georgia seats really the only possible

[86:59] Republican pickups from the Democrats,

[87:01] Georgia 8 and Georgia 12, where I

[87:03] believe the real vote now is uh slight

[87:06] edge for the Republicans. If we could

[87:07] look at the real vote, that would be

[87:08] interesting.

[87:08] >> It may come up in the cycle. Here we got

[87:10] a couple of boards here, right?

[87:12] >> Yeah. You see that's a 3,000 vote margin

[87:14] with 56% in. Um I'm not sure what the

[87:18] population of that district is, but uh

[87:20] that's very close, but you see 3,000

[87:22] amounts to, you know, four percentage

[87:24] points. So it's meaningful. Um so it may

[87:27] be that as you say that could be a

[87:28] pickup. Also CD12 there, that's Max

[87:31] Burns uh running there to try to knock

[87:33] off the the incumbent Democratic

[87:35] Congressman Barrow. Um and he's

[87:39] similarly same roughly the same number

[87:41] in he's up by four percentage points of

[87:43] 58% counted. So

[87:44] >> what what just strikes me again is the

[87:46] degree to which it looks like the south

[87:48] may save the Republicans minimize the

[87:50] worst case scenarios in the House.

[87:52] People like me who thought they were

[87:53] going to lose 40, they may not lose

[87:55] quite as many. Uh and in the Senate of

[87:57] course if they hold the Senate it will

[87:58] be because of Virginia and Tennessee. It

[88:01] looks like if Allen hangs on and Corker

[88:03] hangs on, it says the South and the

[88:05] border states,

[88:06] >> possibly the border state of Missouri,

[88:07] right? Yeah.

[88:07] >> Right. The blowout belt, which is now

[88:09] extends from the Northeast, Connecticut

[88:11] through Pennsylvania, Indiana, Ohio.

[88:14] It'll be a bad night, it looks like, for

[88:16] Republicans in the Northeast, and the

[88:17] Midwest. It'll be interesting. It means

[88:19] the Republican delegation in both the

[88:21] House and the Senate will be even more

[88:22] southern than before. I don't know if

[88:24] that's good or bad, but it means the

[88:26] South is really the heart now. And in

[88:28] furtherance of just what you're saying,

[88:30] we're looking at two further uh

[88:32] Democratic pickups. Uh one is in the

[88:35] 24th district in New York, uh where

[88:38] we're predicting that uh that the the

[88:40] Democrats will pick that seat up. Uh and

[88:44] I'm not sure that's been one of the ones

[88:45] that's been thought to be particularly

[88:46] embattled, but we now we would now

[88:49] project that one for the for the

[88:50] Democrats, adding yet one more. And in

[88:52] New Hampshire, where veteran Republican

[88:54] Congressman Charlie Bass has been in the

[88:56] fight of his life, we predict he that he

[88:58] loses tonight. So that's a further

[88:59] pickup for the Democrats, adding to

[89:01] their already growing total. We're going

[89:04] to take a brief break now. We'll be back

[89:05] with more in a moment. Stay tuned.

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[91:20] >> Okay, we're back now and uh just getting

[91:22] a sense now of what we need to do um to

[91:26] uh to solidify this picture. I want you

[91:28] to take a look, folks, on your screen uh

[91:31] at that yellow stripe there that where

[91:32] you see the words balance of power. And

[91:34] as we watch that through the evening, uh

[91:37] that will tell you what the what the two

[91:39] parties still need. Uh you see now the

[91:41] Democrats are within five seats of

[91:43] taking control of the House of

[91:44] Representatives and within three of

[91:46] getting control of the Senate. Their

[91:47] margin and room for error for the

[91:49] Democrats is much greater, much much

[91:51] greater in the House where there are

[91:53] many more targets of opportunity still

[91:55] out there for them than there are in the

[91:56] Senate where it's down to a handful of

[91:58] seats. They could win them. There's no

[91:59] question about that. uh Republicans and

[92:01] they're going to need to hold uh this

[92:03] well it's down to really the three races

[92:05] uh Missouri, Tennessee, and Virginia.

[92:07] And we're watching with really now

[92:09] baited breath the outcome for the

[92:10] outcome in all three of those. In

[92:12] Virginia, the the count has reached

[92:14] north of 90% of the vote in uh and

[92:17] George Allen continues to cling to a

[92:19] lead, but it is so narrow. Uh in one

[92:22] tabulation we've just heard about from

[92:23] the Secretary of State's office with

[92:25] something like 92% of its in is down to

[92:27] 18,000 votes. uh that's not meaningless,

[92:31] but it's uh it's um it's tight. So,

[92:34] those are the ones we're looking at. And

[92:36] uh in the meantime, also all as we have

[92:38] all evening, we've been keeping an eye

[92:39] on ballot initiatives. We've noted that

[92:41] a couple of marriage amendments, those

[92:43] confining it to a man and a woman, have

[92:45] passed in Tennessee and in Virginia and

[92:47] there but there are others out there and

[92:49] our chief Washington correspondent Jim

[92:51] Angle has been keeping an eye on them.

[92:52] Jim,

[92:54] >> well, that's right, Brid. And uh I

[92:56] should mention that the turnout for some

[92:58] of those ballot initiatives, especially

[92:59] in Missouri, could affect the outcomes

[93:01] of those races. We'll get to those in a

[93:03] moment. First, Fox News is projecting

[93:05] that two state ballot initiatives.

[93:07] Raising the minimum wage, will indeed

[93:10] pass. First, we go to Ohio, which

[93:13] already uh has now you've got a 56 44%

[93:18] uh margin on this. They would raise the

[93:19] minimum state minimum wage to 685. The

[93:22] current federal minimum wage is $5.15.

[93:26] In Missouri, the margin is even greater

[93:29] at the moment. It's it's in the 70

[93:31] percentile in favor of raising their

[93:33] minimum wage to $6.50.

[93:37] Uh here you see the results there. 72 to

[93:39] 28 to raise it to $6.50.

[93:42] Now, those are just two of several

[93:44] around the country for minimum wage,

[93:46] which some thought would help to bring

[93:48] out Democratic voters. But there are all

[93:51] sorts of ballot initiatives still out

[93:53] there uh that we want to tell you about.

[93:55] As if you look at the number of

[93:57] initiatives across the country, we have

[93:59] a graphic here that will show you the

[94:01] number of states uh and the kinds of

[94:03] issues they are looking at. stem cell

[94:05] research of course in Missouri. One of

[94:07] the keys uh for the outcome uh in that

[94:10] race between McCascal and Senator

[94:13] Talent. Uh there you have Senator Talent

[94:16] running ahead by about the same margin

[94:19] uh as the stem cell research motion

[94:21] which amendment to the state

[94:23] constitution which he opposes and Clare

[94:25] McKascal favors. Uh so that could be

[94:28] key. Gay marriage, you have eight states

[94:30] in which that is an issue. We have

[94:32] already projected a win for gay marriage

[94:35] amendments banning gay marriage in

[94:37] Tennessee and Virginia. Uh you also have

[94:40] a number of other issues around the

[94:42] country uh in addition to the ones we've

[94:44] already mentioned uh on minimum wage. Uh

[94:47] here you have uh eminent domain which is

[94:50] one of the biggest issues here. And Brit

[94:52] this is a really interesting one. People

[94:54] were really insensed by the Supreme

[94:57] Court coast uh co case kilo versus New

[95:01] London, Connecticut. Uh and people are

[95:03] really angry about this and are

[95:05] determined to have their state

[95:07] governments ban imminent domain or

[95:09] restricted so severely that it makes it

[95:11] almost impossible.

[95:12] >> Okay, Jim Angel, thanks very much. We'll

[95:14] be keeping an eye on all of those

[95:15] things. In the meantime, a victory

[95:17] celebration for Senator Joe Lieberman,

[95:18] who man who in some quarters was given

[95:20] up for dead not many months ago when he

[95:22] lost his party's nomination, but he ran

[95:24] as an independent. And there he is.

[95:28] [applause]

[95:30] And not only that,

[95:33] and not only that, I deeply appreciate

[95:37] this election.

[95:39] >> Thank you, Jimmy Aemon. Thank you, Mike

[95:41] Jarura. Thank you, John Pequard, Kevin

[95:44] Cunningham, Mike Coffee, and Herb Grant

[95:46] and the group from the Norwok Common

[95:48] Council and so many others from public

[95:51] life who are up here.

[95:53] >> Dear friends, [cheering]

[95:57] thanks to the labor leaders who are with

[95:59] ME

[96:03] [applause]

[96:04] >> and the firefighters of Connecticut.

[96:07] [cheering]

[96:10] including

[96:12] [applause]

[96:16] including their great national president

[96:19] who chose to be with us here tonight,

[96:21] Harold Schapberger.

[96:25] [applause and cheering]

[96:27] Thank you.

[96:30] Dear friends, [applause]

[96:32] this year's campaign

[96:36] >> to say the obvious was a long journey on

[96:40] which you, my dear supporters, and I

[96:43] were tested like never before. But we

[96:46] never wavered in our beliefs or in our

[96:50] purpose, did we? [cheering]

[96:53] [applause]

[96:56] never gave up, did we? [applause]

[97:01] And tonight,

[97:03] tonight, thanks to the voters of

[97:05] Connecticut, our journey has ended in

[97:07] victory and hope and the opportunity to

[97:11] make a difference for six more years.

[97:14] >> [cheering and applause]

[97:15] >> And so, Senator Joe Lieberman basking in

[97:17] the glory of victory on a year in which

[97:19] he suffered what many thought would be a

[97:21] humiliating and possibly crushing defeat

[97:24] at the hands of Ned Lamont, who took the

[97:26] Democratic nomination away from from him

[97:28] on a wave of anti-war in Iraq votes.

[97:32] Senator Lieberman returned to the Senate

[97:33] as an independent. All of us know

[97:35] Senator Lieberman have known him for a

[97:37] long time. He's one of the members of

[97:38] the Senate who is particularly

[97:40] comfortable around reporters. uh has

[97:42] done a bit of writing in his own time uh

[97:44] including a uh a biography of the great

[97:47] Democratic state chairman from the 60s,

[97:49] John Bailey of Connecticut. So Joe

[97:51] Lieberman is a man that all of us know

[97:52] and many of us like uh and it has been

[97:55] an interesting saga indeed and it is

[97:57] fair to say he's thanking the unions and

[97:59] the firefighters and and all kinds of

[98:01] state officials there which shows you

[98:02] that a lot of the politics still is

[98:04] local,

[98:04] >> right? But it's I think it's fair to say

[98:06] that if the Republicans hadn't backed

[98:08] him and the Republican party in the

[98:10] White House had not cut off the air hose

[98:12] of the poor Republican in that race uh

[98:14] so that he had virtually no support, Joe

[98:16] Lieberman would not be coming back.

[98:19] >> I think I don't think there's any

[98:20] question and I think that when Ned

[98:22] Lamont looks at this, he says if the

[98:23] Republican hadn't been in the race, I

[98:24] think the Republican got like 10 point

[98:26] 10%age of the vote. That would have put

[98:28] Ned Lamont over the top. But so what

[98:30] you're looking at here is a really it's

[98:32] an it's a you know kind of a difficult

[98:34] victory for the Republicans. Yes. Uh Joe

[98:37] Lieberman's going back but they say he's

[98:38] going to caucus with the Democrats. Uh

[98:40] and I don't think he's going to be very

[98:42] welcomed by Democrats. This is a guy who

[98:43] left behind the Democratic did not

[98:45] accept the judgment of Democrats. And

[98:47] again we come back to the war issue.

[98:49] This was his issue. He says he's above

[98:51] politics. Now you're not above politics

[98:53] in Washington. So Joe L is a terrific

[98:55] guy. But in terms of the politics of

[98:57] this moment, I think that he has run in

[98:58] a way that benefited Republicans. It

[99:00] reminds me a little bit of the White

[99:01] House support of Lincoln Chaffy in Rhode

[99:03] Island.

[99:03] >> No, look, wait a second. Every issue on

[99:06] every issue except the war and and and

[99:08] other foreign policy issues. Joe

[99:10] Lieberman is a Democrat. He's he's a

[99:12] Democrat on on the environment. He's a

[99:14] Democrat on on choice. Well, okay. Uh

[99:19] Iraq was a big issue in the campaign,

[99:20] but he is not he is he is going to

[99:22] caucus with the Democrats. If the

[99:24] Democrats shun him in any way, I think

[99:26] it's crazy. And I don't think they will

[99:28] because I think they need they they need

[99:29] all the support that they they can get.

[99:31] >> Well, if they only Senate by a vote or

[99:33] two, they're not going to shun Joe

[99:34] >> Lero. Absolutely. if if [clears throat]

[99:36] uh and and uh and he uh you know he's

[99:39] been a Democrat all his life, but he's

[99:41] he I think he's got the formula that

[99:44] both parties ought to be working on in

[99:46] Washington, which is to get problems

[99:47] solved on a bipartisan basis, on

[99:50] independent basis by going instead of

[99:52] this polarization stuff. I think the

[99:54] country is fed up with it of of constant

[99:56] warfare between the parties uh fighting

[99:58] over uh

[100:01] you think it's the countries are divided

[100:02] because the politicians are divided and

[100:04] not the other way around. I think I

[100:05] think uh it's it's both, but the

[100:07] politicians do not contribute to uh to

[100:10] solving the public's problems like

[100:12] entitlements um uh the energy problem,

[100:15] the environmental problem. You got to

[100:17] solve it on a bipartisan basis.

[100:18] >> Two points in Bill Crystal.

[100:21] >> Two points apart from all this edifying

[100:22] uh sermon here for more about everyone

[100:24] should be nice to everyone. Lieberman

[100:26] got a lot of advice from some Democrats.

[100:28] uh don't mitigate or mute your support

[100:31] for the war in Iraq and mute your

[100:33] support for victory and move towards a

[100:35] kind of get out modified get out type

[100:38] message. He refused to do that. He

[100:40] rejected that advice. He stayed a strong

[100:42] supporter of the war, a critic of the

[100:43] tactics, but but a strong advocate of

[100:46] the need to win in Iraq. That ended up

[100:47] benefiting him and that I think is a

[100:49] lesson for

[100:50] >> benefiting because it it kept

[100:51] Republicans in his side.

[100:52] >> It kept Republicans and it even kept 30%

[100:54] of Democrats by his side. He did better

[100:56] by standing on his principle. Second

[100:57] thing, looking at that victory

[100:58] celebration, what I was reminded of was

[101:00] Lamont's victory celebration on primary

[101:02] night. And as one Democrat said to me

[101:03] today, the guy, the advance man for Ned

[101:05] Lamont, who let Al Sharpton and Jesse

[101:08] Jackson stand behind him in the TV shot

[101:11] on who are not Connecticut residents and

[101:13] are not really in the mainstream of the

[101:14] Democratic party, who let them be the

[101:16] framing for Ned Lamont on primary night.

[101:18] Lamont, that was the beginning of

[101:20] Lamont's loss of momentum. I think

[101:21] >> we're going to take a break here, but

[101:23] before we do, we're going to make a

[101:24] call. This is to prove that Republicans

[101:26] can still win in the state of Indiana.

[101:28] Uh this is of course is Mark Solder,

[101:30] conservative Republican from out there.

[101:32] This was not, I should acknowledge,

[101:34] folks, a seat in which the Democrats

[101:36] thought they had a big chance of picking

[101:37] up, but it is a hold for the Republicans

[101:39] and I'm sure that on this night they are

[101:41] very glad to have it indeed. Let's take

[101:43] a break. Be right back.

[101:51] You decide 2006 [music] is brought to

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[103:29] >> Oh my goodness. Fox [music] News You

[103:30] Decide 2006 coverage up in lights above

[103:34] Time Square. Let's hope that when we pop

[103:37] up, we don't frighten the horses. Uh got

[103:39] to take a look now at three races which

[103:41] are the key races for the Senate. This

[103:43] is Talent McCascal in Missouri. 29% of

[103:46] precincts in talent leading by some what

[103:49] 55,000 votes there according to that. Uh

[103:52] not enough to make a call and we don't

[103:53] expect to be able to make one for some

[103:55] time. And the Ford Corker race in uh

[103:58] Tennessee. That's what 56,000

[104:01] now 59,000 votes with nearly 70%. And it

[104:05] looks like Corker's got a very good

[104:06] chance of winning. Still too close to

[104:08] call. And the closest devil of all, the

[104:11] one we're all watching with nearly

[104:12] baited breath is George Allen with a

[104:14] 28,000 vote lead with 95% of those

[104:16] counted. There've been there's some

[104:18] tallies that are a little forward of

[104:20] this that show it has tightened even

[104:21] further. And we're going to check in

[104:23] with somebody who may be able to tell us

[104:24] a little bit about why even at this late

[104:27] stage of the game, we can't call the

[104:28] race. It probably has something to do

[104:30] with where the outstanding vote still

[104:32] yet to be counted is. Michael Baron,

[104:34] what do you know? Well, Brett, I've been

[104:36] looking at the state of Virginia's uh

[104:38] election board website to try and figure

[104:40] out where the outstanding precincts are

[104:42] out. And what I see is a balance. Now,

[104:45] precincts are not necessarily the same

[104:46] size in Virginia. They seem to be much

[104:49] bigger than precincts in some other

[104:50] states. Uh but on the one hand, you've

[104:53] got a set of precincts in the third

[104:54] congressional district. That's the black

[104:56] majority district that goes from uh

[104:58] Hampton Roads to Richmond. Uh so you've

[105:01] got uh uh certain amount of districts

[105:04] there, three in uh uh Newport News, four

[105:07] in Portsouth, uh you've got uh several

[105:09] in uh in Rich, 16 in Richmond. Those are

[105:12] likely to go heavily for Jim Webb. Uh I

[105:15] think we can be pretty clear of that. Uh

[105:17] on the other hand, you've got some rural

[105:19] Virginia ones. You've got uh uh 11 in

[105:22] the Northern Neck areas, a Republican

[105:25] area, three in Virginia Beach, which

[105:27] Allen has been carrying the rest of. Uh

[105:29] eight in Chesapeake, which another

[105:31] suburb there in the Hampton Roads area

[105:33] that Allen's been carrying. Seven in

[105:34] Henriiko County, that's mostly a

[105:37] Republican area, but there's some middle

[105:38] class blacks there that vote heavily

[105:40] Democratic. 11 in Craig County on the

[105:42] West Virginia border. That's heavily

[105:44] Republican.

[105:44] >> Henriiko County, Michael, that's

[105:46] Richmond suburbs, right?

[105:46] >> Richmond suburbs. Yeah. So that those

[105:49] areas tilt Allen. Uh maybe those two

[105:52] areas will counterbalance. And what else

[105:53] have we got? Well, in the DC metro area,

[105:56] Arlington, Alexandria, uh very heavily

[105:59] Democratic. They're all counted. Those

[106:01] precincts are in. Only three precincts

[106:03] in Fairfax, two in Fairfax County, and

[106:05] one in Fairfax City. Those went for Web.

[106:08] Uh probably a few more votes. What we've

[106:10] got is 32 precincts from our allowen

[106:13] county, one of the fastest growing

[106:15] counties in the country around Leburg,

[106:17] west of Fairfax County, 33 precincts in

[106:20] Prince William County. Uh, and Brit, the

[106:22] pre-existing vote there, uh, in the

[106:24] precincts that have been counted, the

[106:26] last I saw in Lowden, it was 5048 Webb.

[106:28] In Prince William, it was 4949.

[106:32] Uh so we don't know what those uh rem

[106:36] outstanding precincts in Lowden and

[106:38] Prince William are going, but when I do

[106:40] a sort of uh sketch it in my head add up

[106:43] here uh and look at the current Allen

[106:45] margin, uh I get somewhere down to where

[106:48] I got in Florida in 2000 when I did an

[106:50] exercise like this and I thought that

[106:52] the Republicans lead was headed down

[106:54] towards zero. Uh, I think that this is a

[106:57] race that could end up with a recount.

[106:59] Uh, and that it may take, just to pick a

[107:02] figure out of the air, 36 days, uh, for

[107:04] us to know who's won this race.

[107:06] >> Oh boy. Just what we need. 36 days to

[107:10] know who might be in charge of the

[107:11] Senate.

[107:11] >> And if the majority of the Senate

[107:13] depends on it, uh, you can count on that

[107:15] it being seriously contested.

[107:17] >> Well, I'm glad it's real close to us

[107:18] where we have a bureau nearby and we can

[107:20] cover it if it's in Virginia. All right,

[107:22] Michael. That's wonderful. Wonderful

[107:24] information. Thank you.

[107:25] >> Counties in 39 independent cities, 134

[107:28] jurisdictions. That'll need a lot of

[107:29] lawyers.

[107:30] >> I'll say, well, who covers this stuff

[107:33] for us? Carl Cameron covers this stuff

[107:35] for us. Our our chief political

[107:37] correspondent. He's been watching the

[107:38] Senate races and this one in particular.

[107:39] Carl, what do you got, buddy?

[107:40] >> Well, I want to make a point here,

[107:42] Britt, that I was not the one who raised

[107:44] the Rword. Recount came out of Michael

[107:46] Baron's mouth before I did it. Uh, but I

[107:48] tell you, the the statutes in Virginia

[107:51] are very clear on this. After the vote

[107:53] is certified, if the margin is within 1%

[107:57] of the total votes counted, then the

[107:59] candidate who loses can call for the

[108:01] recount. And there it goes. Yesterday,

[108:04] Charles Schumer, the chairman of the

[108:06] Democratic Senatorial Campaign

[108:08] Committee, made it very clear in his

[108:10] words, "We are not going to be caught

[108:11] unawares. There are hundreds of

[108:14] Democratic lawyers, probably thousands

[108:16] really, when you add the state and the

[108:17] federal lawyers altogether, who are

[108:19] ready to be dispatched and parachuted

[108:21] into any place they need to go."

[108:22] Virginia would be a little bit

[108:23] convenient since so many of them are

[108:24] going to be based in Washington. But the

[108:26] same thing could be said about Missouri.

[108:28] The same thing may be said about any of

[108:29] these close races and Republicans have

[108:31] an equal complement of attorneys ready

[108:33] to get right in there. So it may be a

[108:36] late night. It may be a long November.

[108:38] >> Have you heard anything out of that

[108:40] state though, Carl, about

[108:41] irregularities, about any funny business

[108:43] that might be the basis of a challenge

[108:45] of the results along those lines?

[108:47] >> Well, there there have been a number of

[108:48] hiccups. There have been voter

[108:50] complaints in a variety of places. Uh

[108:52] charges from Republicans of voter fraud,

[108:54] which is to say that Democrats uh

[108:56] perhaps had tampered with registration

[108:58] or getting voters to the polls and

[108:59] charges of im intimidation by Democrats

[109:01] suggesting that Republicans were trying

[109:03] to suppress the the Democratic voter

[109:05] turnout. Uh we haven't had any major

[109:08] calamities. There have been allegations

[109:10] and threatens of lawsuits in Missouri

[109:12] and a number of other states, but not

[109:14] yet in Virginia,

[109:15] >> but it's it's not midnight yet.

[109:17] >> Okay, Carl. Thanks very much. Going to

[109:19] take a break. Be right back.

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[112:07] Among the things being decided tonight,

[112:09] some of the governor's races. 36 are up

[112:12] for grabs in total and 10 of those were

[112:14] open, nine held by Republicans. And we

[112:17] can report to you now that one of those

[112:18] houses in Iowa uh has now been decided.

[112:22] A Democrat in that case had been

[112:23] stepping down. Fox News now projecting

[112:25] that a Democrat will reclaim the seat.

[112:27] Czech Culver uh prevailing according to

[112:29] our polling by uh over Jim Nussell uh by

[112:31] a healthy margin. Again in Arkansas

[112:34] another Democratic pickup this one we

[112:37] are projecting that Democrat uh Mike BBE

[112:39] will prevail over Asa Hutchinson the

[112:41] former under secretary at homeland

[112:42] security are replacing a Republican

[112:44] governor in that state Mike Huckabe. Uh

[112:47] and finally in Colorado Fox News

[112:49] projecting another Democratic pickup.

[112:51] Democrat Bill Ritter has prevailed over

[112:53] Republican Bob Prey. Republicans very

[112:56] much wanted that Colorado seat. Bup pre

[112:58] had been running strong in the polls

[112:59] initially uh petered out at the end and

[113:02] was basically 19 points behind as of

[113:04] yesterday. So the Democrats with two

[113:06] pickups there. Arkansas and Colorado in

[113:09] total. That gives the Democrats at this

[113:11] point six pickups among the

[113:13] governorships including in Maryland in

[113:15] Massachusetts, Ohio, New York, Arkansas,

[113:19] and Colorado. Six Democratic pickups.

[113:21] And that means Britt that if the

[113:23] Democrats don't lose another single seat

[113:25] tonight or if they do lose two seats and

[113:28] no more that they will have claimed uh

[113:30] reclaimed I should say the the majority

[113:33] of the nation's governorships for the

[113:34] first time since 1994. Brit

[113:37] >> Megan Kendall, thanks very much.

[113:38] >> We got a call we can make. This is no

[113:40] big surprise. Uh Dennis Hastard has won

[113:43] re-election. He was not the thought to

[113:44] be in any serious trouble. He of course

[113:46] is now the speaker of the house. But if

[113:48] the present trends continues, he will no

[113:49] longer be the speaker of the house. And

[113:51] there are all kinds of questions about

[113:52] what role he would play in the

[113:54] leadership of Republicans as a minority.

[113:56] Many people believing he wouldn't play

[113:57] much of a role at all. Um for more on

[114:00] the Senate and the situation there, Carl

[114:03] Cameron is in a position now to talk to

[114:05] the Senate Minority Leader, who is of

[114:07] course has high hopes tonight. He may be

[114:09] before it's all over, the Senate

[114:10] Majority Leader. Carl.

[114:12] >> Thanks, Brit. Speaking of legislators

[114:14] who aren't exactly sure what their role

[114:15] might be in the upcoming Senate, the

[114:17] senator from Nevada, Harry Reid, thank

[114:19] you very much for joining us, sir.

[114:20] >> Well, I know what my role will be. I'm

[114:21] going to be the Democratic leader.

[114:22] >> That's for sure, but we don't know if

[114:24] it's a minority or a majority.

[114:25] >> Well, I've never predicted that we'd be

[114:27] in the majority. I mean, it's still

[114:28] possible, but uh I think it's going to

[114:30] be, you know, we have four seats that

[114:32] still haven't been decided. We'd have to

[114:34] win uh most all those, and a couple of

[114:36] them are looking a little weak right

[114:38] now. Uh so, we'll have to wait and see

[114:40] what happens. If someone had told you

[114:43] two years ago that we would uh not have

[114:47] to worry about the two Nelsons and

[114:49] Nebraska and Florida and Minnesota would

[114:51] not be in on anyone's lip this election

[114:55] period and of course North Dakota would

[114:57] be no problem and Senator Bird would be

[114:59] no problem. They're no problem. No one

[115:00] even talks about those. And to think

[115:01] that we're already at a plus three is

[115:03] remarkable what we've done in two years.

[115:05] I'm very happy about that. Reading

[115:06] between the lines in the politics of

[115:08] interpreting lowballing there, it sounds

[115:10] as though you're prepared to not make it

[115:11] to six.

[115:12] >> Well, I've never been prepared to make

[115:14] it to six. I'm I can do the job. I'm

[115:16] happy to do that. I', as the Democratic

[115:20] whip, I've been in majority. I've been

[115:21] in minority. I've been tied. I've done

[115:23] it all. And so, whatever the people

[115:27] decide, I'm ready to do that. But one

[115:28] thing the people decide tonight, there's

[115:30] there in the air, there's change, change

[115:33] of direction. And I think that the

[115:36] message to the American people should be

[115:39] a one party town doesn't work. It simply

[115:42] doesn't work. The right-wing control of

[115:44] the Republican party, they would not

[115:45] even uh treat their own moderates with

[115:48] civility. And so I have already reached

[115:50] out to Mitch McConnell. I did it before

[115:52] the break. I said, Mitch, no matter how

[115:54] the election turns out, we [music] got

[115:55] to do better than what we've done.

[115:57] >> We should explain that Mitch McConnell

[115:58] would be the Republican leader.

[115:59] >> He's my counterpart. And uh we need to

[116:04] recognize that the only way to legislate

[116:06] is on a bipartisan basis. And the

[116:08] president certainly should have the

[116:09] message that we got to change direction

[116:10] in Iraq and here at home. When you have

[116:13] the Army Times, the Air Force Times, the

[116:15] Navy Times editorialized against

[116:17] Rumsfeld yesterday. The president has to

[116:19] get the message we got to change

[116:20] direction in Iraq and here at home.

[116:22] >> Let's talk about the practical effect of

[116:23] the Democrats potentially taking over

[116:25] the House. And if the Senate were to

[116:26] remain Republican, we now have even more

[116:29] divided government in that the two

[116:30] chambers would be controlled by opposite

[116:32] parties. What is the practical effect of

[116:34] that in terms of the president's

[116:35] perspective? Can Democrats actually

[116:37] change anything? He still has the power

[116:38] of the veto pen as well as the bully

[116:40] pulpit.

[116:40] >> The president has to realize that these

[116:43] past six years have not been days of

[116:45] progress for our country. And the

[116:48] president, I believe, and I certainly am

[116:50] willing to work with him. Uh we've had a

[116:52] few rocky roads in the past, but I'm

[116:54] willing to work with the president. I

[116:56] really want to do what he said he wanted

[116:57] to do when he when he came to town. I

[116:59] want to be a unifier, not a divider. And

[117:02] I hope that we can do that.

[117:04] >> Uh let's talk a couple of things about

[117:05] what the new Senate might look like in

[117:07] terms of the issues that are likely to

[117:08] come up. First of all, uh

[117:10] investigations. If Democrats do have the

[117:12] majority, there's an expectation that

[117:13] you'll be required by Democrats across

[117:16] the country to look into what happened.

[117:18] Is that part of the investigative

[117:19] agenda? What we need to do is realize

[117:21] that for six years, we've had no

[117:23] legislative branch of government. Under

[117:25] the Constitution, we have three separate

[117:26] and equal branches of government for

[117:28] checks and balances. The number one

[117:30] thing we need is congressional

[117:31] oversight. This doesn't mean the flurry

[117:34] of subpoenas. It means basic

[117:36] congressional oversight to find out

[117:37] what's going on with the war in Iraq,

[117:40] with Hallebertton, or find out what's

[117:42] going on in the various departments

[117:44] within this government. regular

[117:46] congressional oversight and from that do

[117:48] some legislation that's good and and

[117:50] bipartisan

[117:51] >> and we still don't know who will have

[117:53] the control to have that subpoena power

[117:55] regardless of party we're going to send

[117:57] it back to you in New York. Thank you

[117:58] very much Senator Reid the Democratic

[118:00] leader

[118:01] >> and pass along my thanks as well to

[118:02] Senator Reed and thanks to you Carl. In

[118:04] the meantime our colleague Steve Brown

[118:06] is in the town of Fontineac Missouri

[118:10] right near St. Lewis at talent

[118:12] headquarters where we got uh a real a

[118:16] real cliffhanger. Steve, what can you

[118:18] tell us?

[118:20] >> Well, this Brent, this is turning out to

[118:22] be a classic Missouri election night,

[118:24] especially when you're talking about

[118:25] statewide races. In this case, the

[118:27] Republican Jim Talent, just like almost

[118:30] every election year when you're running

[118:31] statewide in this state, the Republican

[118:33] districts or the Republican areas and

[118:35] Republican counties come in early, spot

[118:38] you a lead, and then the Democratic

[118:40] votes come in. According to the website

[118:42] for the Secretary of State's office,

[118:44] they report no votes from St. Louis or

[118:48] Kansas City counted yet. So, what the

[118:50] Republicans need to do in a sense is get

[118:52] a huge margin outside of those two

[118:54] areas. Uh, for example, Talent has

[118:57] gotten a 10,000 vote margin from Green

[118:59] County in Southwest Missouri. Also in

[119:01] Newton County, also in uh southwest

[119:03] Missouri, a 7,100 vote margin. Cape

[119:05] Gerardo, a 9,000 vote margin. They're

[119:07] still counting the vote down there.

[119:09] Accumulatively, you have to start

[119:11] building up that margin because late in

[119:13] election night, in comes the St. Louis

[119:15] votes, in comes the Kansas City votes,

[119:17] and in come a lot of those Democratic

[119:19] votes. It eats away at that fleet built

[119:21] up over the course of the evening. Uh

[119:23] they're taking a look at some key

[119:25] districts in suburban areas and to be

[119:27] quite honest with you, I think the

[119:28] numbers a little disappointing for the

[119:30] Republican camp. In St. Charles County,

[119:32] just outside of St. Louis, a thin

[119:34] margin, a relatively shallow margin for

[119:37] talent there, where it was thought he

[119:38] needed to pick up a more substantial

[119:40] kind of margin. South of St. Louis

[119:42] County in Jefferson County, Clare

[119:44] McCascal has a pretty sizable lead with

[119:47] about 60% of the vote counted down

[119:50] there. That was a county in her failed

[119:52] gubernatorial uh bid two years ago. She

[119:55] only took by 18 votes. She's improved

[119:57] her state

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