PBS NewsHour - 2008-10-29

Channel: malgent

Transcript

Language: English (original, YouTube automatic captions)

[0:10] Good evening. I'm Jim Lara. On the

[0:12] NewsHour Tonight, the news of this

[0:14] Wednesday. Then a report on the Federal

[0:16] Reserve decision to cut interest rates.

[0:18] Two politics stories. what the

[0:21] presidential candidate said today and a

[0:23] look at potential voting problems at the

[0:25] polls. An update on the fighting in

[0:28] Afghanistan by New York Times

[0:30] correspondent John Burns and a media

[0:33] unit report on the revolution and how we

[0:36] get the word.

[0:39] Major funding for the NewsHour with Jim

[0:42] Ler is provided by

[0:45] >> The world is changing and how we use

[0:48] energy today cannot be how we'll use it

[0:51] tomorrow. There is no one solution. It's

[0:55] not simply more oil, more renewables or

[0:58] being more efficient.

[1:00] It's all of it. Our way of life depends

[1:03] on developing all forms of energy and to

[1:06] use less of it. It's time to put our

[1:09] differences aside. Will you be part of

[1:11] the solution? Chevron, human energy,

[1:16] Pacific Life,

[1:21] Vestus,

[1:25] the Atlantic Philanthropies,

[1:30] and with the ongoing support of these

[1:32] institutions and foundations.

[1:38] And this program was made possible by

[1:41] the Corporation for Public Broadcasting

[1:44] and by contributions to your PBS station

[1:46] from viewers like you. Thank you.

[1:53] The Federal Reserve cut a major interest

[1:55] rate again today. It was the Fed's

[1:57] latest effort to thaw out credit and

[2:00] slow the slide into recession. The

[2:02] central bank cut its target rate for

[2:04] overnight loans between banks by another

[2:07] half point to just 1%. A statement said

[2:11] the Fed acted because the pace of

[2:13] economic activity appears to have slowed

[2:16] marketkedly. China cut interest rates

[2:18] today as well. Major European banks are

[2:21] expected to act later this week. The

[2:24] stock market rallied on the Fed

[2:26] announcement, then lost it all in the

[2:28] closing minutes. The Dow Jones

[2:30] Industrial Average ended up falling 74

[2:32] points to close just below 891.

[2:36] The Nasdaq rose more than seven points

[2:38] to close at 1657.

[2:41] World stock indexes were mostly higher

[2:44] today with gains of 7 to 9%. The US

[2:48] market also got a boost today from an

[2:50] unexpected quarter. The Commerce

[2:52] Department reported a surprise jump in

[2:54] orders for durable goods in September.

[2:57] It was the largest gain in three months.

[3:00] And General Motors stock rose on reports

[3:02] it resolved the major issues in talks to

[3:05] buy Chrysler. In the presidential race,

[3:08] with just six days to go, Democrat

[3:10] Barack Obama planned a 30inut prime time

[3:13] TV commercial. Two major networks and

[3:15] several cable channels were set to air

[3:17] it. Republican John McCain campaigned in

[3:20] Florida. He said Obama has not shown he

[3:23] has what it takes to protect America.

[3:26] We'll have more on the campaign later in

[3:28] the program tonight. Iraq today outlined

[3:31] proposals to change a draft security

[3:33] deal with the US. They included a ban on

[3:36] using Iraq territory to strike

[3:39] neighboring countries. A government

[3:41] spokesman in Baghdad said the Americans

[3:44] must realize that these changes are

[3:46] necessary to persuade the people to

[3:48] accept the agreement. In Washington,

[3:51] President Bush said he's optimistic

[3:52] about finishing the status of forces

[3:55] agreement known as the sofa.

[3:58] >> We received amendments today from the

[4:00] government. We're analyzing those

[4:03] amendments. We obviously want to be uh

[4:07] we want to be uh helpful and

[4:09] constructive without undermining basic

[4:12] principles

[4:14] and I remain very hopeful and confident

[4:16] that the sofa will get passed. The

[4:18] leading Shiite religious official in

[4:20] Iraq voiced concern about that security

[4:22] pack today. In a statement, Grand

[4:24] Ayatollah Al- Salistani said the draft

[4:27] must do more to protect Iraq's

[4:29] sovereignty. Syria demanded an apology

[4:32] from the US today over a Sunday raid

[4:35] that killed eight people. The helicopter

[4:37] assault happened just inside Syria near

[4:40] the border with Iraq. It's been reported

[4:42] an al-Qaeda leader was killed. The

[4:45] Syrians insisted again all of the

[4:47] victims were civilians. The government

[4:50] of Pakistan today formally protested US

[4:53] missile strikes inside its territory. It

[4:56] demanded an immediate end to recent

[4:58] attacks on militants near the Afghan

[5:01] border. The Pakistanis say the strikes

[5:03] are killing civilians and hurting

[5:05] support for the war on terror. US

[5:08] commanders may call for doubling the

[5:10] additional troops into Afghanistan. It

[5:13] was widely reported today the number

[5:15] could rise to 20,000 as planners appeal

[5:18] for more support units. Pentagon

[5:21] spokesman Jeff Morurell acknowledged the

[5:23] deployment could increase. He would not

[5:26] confirm numbers. The US already has more

[5:29] than 31,000 troops in Afghanistan and

[5:32] will have more on Afghanistan later in

[5:34] the program tonight. Rebels in Congo

[5:37] declared a ceasefire today after three

[5:39] days of fighting. It was the latest

[5:41] violence to rack the African nation in

[5:44] recent years. The truce affected the

[5:46] eastern city of GMA as government forces

[5:49] and UN peacekeeping troops fell back. We

[5:52] have a report narrated by Lindseay

[5:54] Hilome of Independent Television News.

[5:57] >> Congalles government helicopter gunships

[6:00] fired on rebel positions north of GMA

[6:02] today, but to little avail.

[6:06] The troops just milled around. They're

[6:09] losing and they know it. They claim that

[6:11] it's not just the rebels firing on them,

[6:13] but that shots are coming from across

[6:15] the border from Rwanda.

[6:19] >> You can see for yourselves the border is

[6:21] over there. All the firing is coming

[6:22] into the Congo from there. It can't be

[6:25] from anywhere but Rwanda.

[6:28] >> Government troops retreated south down

[6:31] the road. They're failing to protect

[6:33] tens of thousands fleeing their homes.

[6:36] Today, people left the camp at Kibomba

[6:38] and started to flee towards GMA. As the

[6:41] refugees searched for somewhere to

[6:43] shelter, government troops were in

[6:45] full-scale retreat, abandoning the town

[6:47] to its fate, expecting the rebel army of

[6:50] Lauren Kunda at any time. The UN forces

[6:53] can't cope. They're supposed to keep the

[6:55] peace, not fight a war. The Security

[6:58] Council is meeting today, but who wants

[7:00] to send more troops to this intractable

[7:02] conflict?

[7:03] >> Is it possible to say in some other

[7:05] forces? I I don't know really uh all the

[7:09] nations are very reluctant uh because it

[7:12] has been done and last time it was with

[7:15] French and Belgium initiative Artimis

[7:18] operation very successful for 3 months

[7:21] or four months is it possible to repeat

[7:24] >> some 45,000 people are on the move the

[7:27] situation is so dangerous it's hard for

[7:30] aid workers to get to them and provide

[7:32] the help needed

[7:33] >> the UN secretary general General Bonkey

[7:35] Kimmoon warned today the violence has

[7:37] spawned a humanitarian crisis of

[7:40] catastrophic dimensions. The US Justice

[7:43] Department today approved a merger

[7:45] between Delta and Northwest Airlines.

[7:47] The decision means the last hurdle to

[7:49] the deal is a lawsuit by air passengers

[7:52] in San Francisco. The combined carrier

[7:55] would operate under the Delta name and

[7:57] become the world's largest airline. And

[8:00] that's it for the news summary tonight.

[8:02] Now, the Fed's rate cut today in the

[8:05] presidential campaign, potential

[8:07] election day problems, John Burns on

[8:10] Afghanistan, and the media revolution.

[8:21] Today's Federal Reserve decision to cut

[8:23] interest rates again. And here to

[8:24] explain the what'ss and wise of that

[8:26] action is Krishna Guha, chief US

[8:29] economics correspondent for the

[8:31] Financial Times. Krishna, welcome.

[8:33] Remind us again what what specific rate

[8:36] it was that was cut today. So Jim, this

[8:39] is the Fed funds rate. It's the basic

[8:41] underlying interest rate in the economy.

[8:44] It was 1 and a.5%. The Fed cut it by

[8:47] half a percentage point. It's now 1%.

[8:50] >> And the reasoning behind that was what?

[8:53] Well, the Fed's going all out to try to

[8:56] offset some of the severe tightening in

[8:59] credit conditions that's happened over

[9:01] the last couple of months with all the

[9:03] turmoil in the financial sector. By

[9:05] reducing the interest rate, it hopes to

[9:07] bring down the actual cost of borrowing

[9:10] for people like you and me and for

[9:12] companies out there in the economy.

[9:14] >> Well, give us the ripple scenario, the

[9:16] good scenario that they're hoping for

[9:18] that this happened today and what will

[9:20] happen in in sequence after that.

[9:23] Well, Jim, every loan in the economy is

[9:26] essentially made up of two halves.

[9:28] There's the underlying risk-free rate.

[9:30] That's the rate the Fed sets, now 1%.

[9:32] And then there's a risk premium. That's

[9:34] the extra you pay because you're a

[9:37] riskier or less risky borrower. The

[9:39] Fed's trying to tackle both of these

[9:41] elements. It's reducing the underlying

[9:43] rate. That's what it did today. And it's

[9:45] also trying to hammer down those risk

[9:48] spreads in the economy. That's why it's

[9:50] doing all these new and often

[9:52] unconventional lending operations.

[9:54] >> Now, is it possible to go below 1%? In

[9:57] other words, is there any more give in

[9:59] this uh in this operation?

[10:02] >> Well, the answer is yes. And here's how

[10:04] it works. If at some point the Fed gets

[10:08] to zero interest rates and wants to ease

[10:11] policy further, it obviously can't go

[10:14] negative. But what it can do is try to

[10:17] bring down interest rates on the longer

[10:19] term. You see the Fed funds rate, the

[10:22] interest rate we always talk about,

[10:23] that's an overnight rate. It's a rate to

[10:25] borrow for a day. But if that rate goes

[10:28] down to zero, it probably still costs

[10:30] money to borrow, let's say, for 3 months

[10:32] or 2 years. So what the Fed would do is

[10:36] it would start to target longer term

[10:38] interest rates in the economy. try and

[10:40] target the three-month rate or the

[10:42] two-year rate, thus making the overall

[10:46] set of borrowing costs in the economy

[10:48] cheaper.

[10:49] >> Yeah. And the whole point of this is to

[10:52] is to cause people to loan money again,

[10:55] right? Everybody in the chain, right?

[10:57] And what what's the evidence that any of

[10:59] this up till now was working that or or

[11:02] is there any?

[11:03] >> Well, the evidence is frankly limited.

[11:05] If you talk to people inside the Fed,

[11:07] what they'll tell you is, look, if we

[11:09] hadn't done this stuff, everything would

[11:11] have been much, much worse. And that's

[11:14] probably true. They've been able to

[11:16] offset what's happened in the markets,

[11:18] this extraordinary credit crisis to some

[11:21] degree, but they haven't been able to

[11:23] get credit flowing in normal ways to

[11:26] households, to businesses, to keep the

[11:28] economy growing. Top Fed officials will

[11:31] tell you today they don't think that

[11:33] interest rates alone can do it anymore.

[11:35] And that's why they were very keen

[11:37] supporters of the federal government's

[11:39] rescue plan, including injecting capital

[11:42] into the banks to make them stronger. If

[11:44] the banks are stronger, they should feel

[11:46] more confident about lending and they

[11:49] should also feel more confident about

[11:50] doing business with each other. And late

[11:52] today in another action, uh the Treasury

[11:55] Department did put money into uh nine

[11:58] banks, right, of $250 billion, something

[12:00] like that.

[12:01] >> Well, the the Treasury is is indeed

[12:03] putting money into a a wide number of

[12:06] banks, uh including

[12:08] some eight or nine large banks, the the

[12:11] key systemically important banks, the

[12:13] biggest national banks, the ones it

[12:14] can't afford to let go under. But it's

[12:16] also providing capital for smaller banks

[12:19] including some community banks.

[12:21] >> All right. Now finally the impossible

[12:23] question Krishna. Why how do you explain

[12:27] Wall Street's reaction to this? As you

[12:28] know it was very level this morning and

[12:31] then boom it suddenly went up to over it

[12:33] went up over 200 points and then the

[12:35] last few minutes it fell down 74 points.

[12:38] Uh a 74 point loss. You got an

[12:41] explanation sir?

[12:43] >> Well half an explanation. No one really

[12:45] understands what's going on with the

[12:46] markets right now. Look, the markets are

[12:48] incredibly volatile at the moment. That

[12:50] means they bounce around and it's partly

[12:52] a combination of fear and greed. People

[12:54] are terrified as to what could still

[12:56] happen to the economy, but at the same

[12:58] time, they see stocks as being really

[13:00] beaten down and potentially offering a

[13:02] lot of profit in the long haul. So, the

[13:04] mood swings from one to the other.

[13:06] Trading is also thin and that means that

[13:08] stocks can bounce up and bounce down.

[13:11] But when we look at today's trading, we

[13:13] should put it in context. The market

[13:15] went up by 10% yesterday and it was

[13:18] basically give or take flat today.

[13:20] That's not a bad development. A lot of

[13:22] people were thinking that after

[13:23] yesterday's bounce, we might have a

[13:25] slump today. We didn't get it. So, some

[13:27] modest reassurance from the market

[13:30] today, I think.

[13:31] >> Okay, Krishna, I'll take your word for

[13:32] it. That's good news. Semi, right?

[13:34] >> Thanks, Jim.

[13:34] >> Okay. Thank you very much.

[13:36] >> Cheers.

[13:44] Now, with just six days to go until

[13:46] election day, the candidates campaign in

[13:48] Florida and North Carolina. And Judy

[13:51] Woodruff has our campaign report.

[13:55] >> After starting the day talking about

[13:57] taxes, John McCain turned to national

[14:00] security this afternoon in Tampa,

[14:02] Florida, where he attempted to paint

[14:04] Democrat Barack Obama as unprepared to

[14:07] lead. My fellow Americans, we're going

[14:10] to get through this economic crisis. We

[14:12] will get through it. And we will even

[14:14] come out stronger without the corruption

[14:17] and arrogance that have overtaken both

[14:20] Washington and Wall Street. We're going

[14:22] to pull through these hard times and do

[14:24] it together, just as our country has

[14:27] done before. But when that day arrives

[14:30] and the worries of financial crisis have

[14:32] fallen away, we will find awaiting our

[14:35] country all of the same great challenges

[14:38] and dangers that were there all along.

[14:42] They mattered before the economic

[14:44] turmoil of the present. They will matter

[14:46] still when it is passed. And in a time

[14:50] of war, in a moment of danger for our

[14:53] country and the world, let it not be

[14:56] said of us that we lost sight of these

[14:59] challenges. With terrorists still

[15:01] plotting new strikes across the world,

[15:03] millions of innocent lives are still at

[15:06] stake, including American lives. Our

[15:09] enemy's violent ambitions must still be

[15:12] prevented by American vigilance, by

[15:15] diplomacy and cooperation with our

[15:17] partners, and by force of arms as a last

[15:21] resort.

[15:23] In his four years in the Senate, two of

[15:25] them spent running for president, Barack

[15:28] Obama has displayed some impressive

[15:30] qualities. But the question is whether

[15:33] this is a man who has what it takes to

[15:36] protect America from Osama bin Laden,

[15:38] al-Qaeda, and other grave threats in the

[15:41] world.

[15:42] And he has given you no reason

[15:45] to answer in the affirmative. The Obama

[15:48] campaign rejected McCain's attack in a

[15:51] statement saying, "When the next

[15:53] president is tested, the American people

[15:55] can have John McCain's judgment of

[15:58] siding with George Bush and Dick Cheney

[16:00] on every major national security

[16:03] decision, or they can have the steady

[16:05] leadership and sound judgment of Barack

[16:07] Obama that has earned the support of

[16:10] Americans like General Powell."

[16:13] McCain's running mate Sarah Palin was in

[16:16] Toledo, Ohio this morning focusing on

[16:18] energy independence. She accused the

[16:21] Democratic ticket of resisting

[16:23] alternatives to foreign oil such as

[16:26] clean coal, nuclear power, and offshore

[16:29] drilling.

[16:29] >> Technology has come such a long way.

[16:32] Again, they don't get it. They need to

[16:34] understand the science behind all of

[16:36] this today. And those cleaner, safer

[16:39] technologies are far likelier to be used

[16:41] in the US and in Canada than in China or

[16:45] India or other developing nations. It's

[16:48] here well there they will be produced in

[16:51] environmentally friendly manners and

[16:53] protecting the workers much more likely

[16:56] here than in these developing countries.

[16:59] So policies that forego domestic

[17:01] production don't protect our

[17:04] environment.

[17:06] They simply accelerate and reward

[17:08] dirtier and more dangerous methods of

[17:10] production elsewhere in countries that

[17:12] apply few if any environmental or

[17:17] workplace safeguards. While our

[17:19] opponents like to posture as defenders

[17:22] of the environment in practice, their

[17:25] refusal to support more domestic

[17:28] production does nothing more than harm.

[17:31] It ultimately harms our environment. It

[17:34] doesn't do any good.

[17:36] >> The Democratic tickets number two, Joe

[17:38] Biden campaigned in Jupiter, Florida,

[17:41] where he said protecting Social Security

[17:44] was a key element to strengthening the

[17:46] middle class.

[17:47] >> It also means ensuring retirement for

[17:50] those of you who have put everything of

[17:53] your lifetime into working hard and

[17:55] playing by the rules. And now look at

[17:58] your 401ks. Now look at where your

[18:00] investments are and people are find

[18:03] themselves in trouble. Can you imagine?

[18:05] Can you imagine if in fact social

[18:09] security had been in the stock market?

[18:11] >> Can you imagine now the last couple

[18:13] months if Bush and McCain had succeeded

[18:16] in privatizing social security? Well,

[18:19] folks, here's what Barack and I believe.

[18:21] We believe there should be no

[18:23] privatization of Social Security.

[18:27] Barack Obama began his day in Raleigh,

[18:29] North Carolina, where he said the McCain

[18:32] campaign had given up a focus on the

[18:34] economy and was resorting instead to

[18:37] negative attacks.

[18:39] >> They don't want to talk about the

[18:40] economy. That's what you want to talk

[18:42] about. That's what affects your lives

[18:44] day in and day out.

[18:47] >> Now, because he knows that his economic

[18:50] theories don't work, he's been spending

[18:51] these last few days calling me every

[18:53] name in the book.

[18:57] Lately, he's called me a socialist

[19:01] >> for wanting to roll back the Bush tax

[19:03] cuts for the wealthiest Americans so we

[19:06] can finally give tax relief to the

[19:08] middle class.

[19:10] >> I don't know what's next. By the end of

[19:12] the week, he'll be accusing me of being

[19:14] a secret communist because I shared my

[19:16] toys in kindergarten.

[19:20] I shared my peanut butter and jelly

[19:21] sandwich.

[19:25] Look,

[19:26] >> that's his choice.

[19:28] >> That's the kind of campaign he chooses

[19:30] to run.

[19:31] >> But you have a choice, too.

[19:34] >> The fundamental question in this

[19:36] election is not are you better off than

[19:37] you were four years ago. We know the

[19:38] answer to that.

[19:41] >> The fundamental question is, will we be

[19:43] better off four years from now?

[19:48] Now, for eight years, we've seen

[19:51] Washington take care of the extremely

[19:53] welloff and the extremely

[19:55] well-connected.

[19:56] >> And now, my opponent's making the same

[19:58] arguments to justify the same old

[20:01] policies that have been a complete

[20:04] failure for the middle class. John

[20:06] McCain wants to give more to

[20:07] billionaires, more to corporations that

[20:09] ship jobs overseas, more to the same

[20:12] people whose greed and irresponsibility

[20:14] got us into this crisis in the first

[20:16] place. And we're here because we know

[20:19] they shouldn't get away with it anymore.

[20:22] We don't need another president who

[20:24] fights for Washington lobbyists in Wall

[20:25] Street. We need a president who stands

[20:28] up for hardworking Americans on Main

[20:30] Street. And that's what I intend to be.

[20:33] From there, Obama traveled to Florida

[20:36] where he planned to meet up with Biden

[20:38] for an early vote for change rally in

[20:41] sunrise this evening.

[20:43] >> Morning. Make it a little bit easier if

[20:45] you have your ID out.

[20:46] >> In fact, many in the Sunshine State are

[20:49] voting early, more even than officials

[20:52] expected.

[20:53] >> Some of those lines have lasted between

[20:55] 4 hours to 6 hours, and those are really

[20:58] unconsionably long lines.

[21:00] More than 10% of registered voters in

[21:03] Florida have already cast their ballot.

[21:06] Those record lines prompted Governor

[21:09] Charlie Christ to declare a state of

[21:11] emergency yesterday to extend polling

[21:14] hours. And Florida is not alone. Record

[21:18] turnouts are reported across the country

[21:20] in the more than 30 states that allow

[21:23] some form of early voting. The weight is

[21:25] ridiculous and they should have more

[21:27] voting booths inside.

[21:29] >> There have also been instances of

[21:31] malfunctioning voting machines. Many

[21:34] states put them in place after the 2000

[21:37] election.

[21:38] >> It's frustrating when we've bought new

[21:40] equipment for this and we are having

[21:42] some problems that didn't show up at all

[21:43] during the testing.

[21:45] >> In West Virginia, Tennessee, and Texas,

[21:48] there are reports the voting machines

[21:50] have switched votes.

[21:52] >> I would feel safer. Democrats and

[21:54] Republicans in some counties are urging

[21:57] voters to use paper ballots to create a

[22:00] trail for a potential recount.

[22:02] >> It's just a matter of having a really

[22:04] fair and honest election.

[22:06] >> Thousands of lawyers from both campaigns

[22:09] are amassing in battleground states and

[22:12] there are already lawsuits. The NAACP

[22:15] sued Virginia Governor Tim Kaine, saying

[22:18] the state was unprepared to deal with a

[22:21] record-breaking turnout.

[22:23] >> We need to ensure that there are no

[22:25] shenanigans at this election. We saw

[22:28] what happened in 2000 and in 2004, and

[22:32] we've said not on our watch in Virginia.

[22:35] >> Kaine defended the state's readiness and

[22:38] said Virginia is better equipped this

[22:40] year than in 2004.

[22:43] In Colorado and Georgia, watchdog groups

[22:46] have raised concerns about the state's

[22:49] purging voter registrations.

[22:51] >> I'm not dead and I haven't moved, so why

[22:55] did this happen? And they said they had

[22:56] they didn't know.

[22:58] >> There have also been some attempts to

[23:00] overregister voters. The Association of

[23:03] Community Organizations for Reform Now,

[23:06] or ACORN, came under fire in Ohio

[23:09] recently for submitting fraudulent

[23:11] registration cards. Now, Gwen Eiffel

[23:14] takes a closer look at those potential

[23:16] voting problems.

[23:18] >> And for that look, we go to two

[23:20] attorneys who have been intimately

[23:22] involved in the process. Barbara Arwine,

[23:24] executive director of the Lawyers

[23:26] Committee for Civil Rights Under Law, a

[23:28] voting rights group, and election lawyer

[23:30] Benjamin Ginsburg. He served as national

[23:32] counsel to the Bush Cheney presidential

[23:34] campaigns in 2000 and 2004. He's also on

[23:38] standby if needed to join a

[23:39] post-election McCain recount team. So,

[23:42] we'll be talking about that in a moment,

[23:43] but I want to start with Barbara Arwine.

[23:45] Under a week to go before the election,

[23:48] are we ready?

[23:49] >> No. I think that, you know, states are

[23:52] doing the best that they can, but with a

[23:54] record turnout and the continued

[23:56] underinvestment by our states and by our

[23:59] federal government in election uh

[24:02] procedures that we are not ready yet. I

[24:05] wish that I could say to every voter

[24:07] that every registration role is

[24:09] accurate, that every voting place you go

[24:12] to will have working machines, that you

[24:15] won't have to wait long. None of that is

[24:17] unfortunately true. So what I would like

[24:19] to say is that we are making reforms. I

[24:22] think the fact that 36 states have early

[24:25] voting is in fact a major progress and

[24:28] that that's a sign that states are

[24:30] beginning to think about how to open up

[24:32] the process more, how to be more

[24:34] efficient. But we still have a long ways

[24:36] to go to make sure that we have greatly

[24:38] and well-trained pole workers who are

[24:40] heroes for, you know, volunteering to do

[24:42] what they do for such low pay and to

[24:45] make sure that voters are able to be

[24:47] able to cast the vote and have it

[24:49] counted.

[24:49] >> Ben Giddensburg, are we ready?

[24:51] >> No, we're not. I agree with Barbara

[24:53] about that. It's a system that's built

[24:55] on a couple of things. Number one, it is

[24:57] a human system. We have uh basically

[25:00] volunteers, very well-intentioned people

[25:03] uh who work the polls every day uh every

[25:07] election day and that creates the

[25:09] natural problems that come from human

[25:11] error. And secondly, I disagree with

[25:13] Barbara a little bit on this. Most

[25:15] decisions about the types of machines

[25:17] and the way ballots are cast and counted

[25:19] are really made on the county level. And

[25:22] so you have a great deal of

[25:23] inconsistency amongst the counties in a

[25:25] given state to say nothing of between

[25:27] the states.

[25:28] >> So if we say that we're not ready, let's

[25:30] give it the viewers some understanding

[25:32] of where and how and why. It's it would

[25:35] be easy to imagine that since 2000 and

[25:37] 2004 after everything that we went

[25:39] through that some of the problems would

[25:40] have been identified and fixed by now.

[25:42] >> Yes. You know, unfortunately the Help

[25:44] America Vote Act what people call Hava

[25:46] uh did not go far enough. I mean, it was

[25:48] just an a little band-aid over a huge,

[25:52] you know, gapping sore. And what I think

[25:54] that we need to do is to continue with

[25:57] good election reform to address the

[25:59] problems. The biggest problem right now

[26:01] is that Hava requires that every state

[26:04] creates a statewide database uh for this

[26:07] election and they have to match it

[26:09] against, you know, your DMV records and

[26:11] against the social security records.

[26:13] Unfortunately, human error is human

[26:16] error. So records aren't matching and

[26:18] what that's leading to is that states

[26:21] are not putting people on registration

[26:23] lists or partisans are flagging these

[26:26] voters and trying to you know uh

[26:29] challenge those voters at the polls.

[26:31] These are the issues that unfortunately

[26:33] are there for us. I think that these are

[26:35] issues that shouldn't exist. I really

[26:37] question why we aren't we we are not

[26:40] like other democracies. Most western

[26:42] democracies when you turn 18 you

[26:45] automatically are registered. You do not

[26:48] have to go through this entire process

[26:50] of tracking down constantly registering

[26:53] losing your registration if you move all

[26:54] these problems. You become a permanent

[26:57] registrant in that country.

[26:58] >> Let me ask Ben Ginsburg this question

[27:00] because there seems to be a disagreement

[27:02] on on partisans lines about what the

[27:04] real problem is here. Whether it's a

[27:06] problem that voter registration is

[27:07] flawed or that voter access is flawed.

[27:10] Which is it?

[27:11] >> Well, I think it's both in a lot of

[27:13] ways. Uh I think that there are problems

[27:15] in keeping track of people in in our

[27:18] society because we move so much. We're

[27:20] such a mobile society far more so than

[27:23] than really any other country and

[27:25] because we do have such local elections

[27:27] and it is important to have our elected

[27:30] officials on the local level elected by

[27:33] folks who who live in their in their

[27:35] areas. So you do have to have accurate

[27:38] registration roles in order to have some

[27:41] validity to the system to allow people

[27:43] to have uh a degree of confidence in the

[27:46] validity of the results that come from

[27:48] elections. Now in terms of access,

[27:51] that's a problem that we tend to deal

[27:53] with mostly when we see a problem

[27:56] largely through a recount. And what's

[27:58] frightening about doing recounts is that

[28:00] you realize just how flawed every

[28:03] election must be because once you dig

[28:05] down in a recount, all the problems all

[28:07] the problems with roles and access uh

[28:10] materializes and you see it.

[28:12] >> Well, so how much of the problems that

[28:14] we're seeing are systemic as as you

[28:16] described and how many many how much of

[28:18] it is just people setting out to to game

[28:21] the process? How much of it on purpose?

[28:23] >> Well, I mean obviously there's a lot of

[28:25] problems with that. I mean the right

[28:28] here in Virginia already the flyers have

[28:31] started the deceptive flyers telling

[28:33] people that they can vote on Wednesday.

[28:36] Uh that is after the election.

[28:38] >> Exactly. Those flyers are already in the

[28:40] Tidewater area. They're already in

[28:41] Richmond. People are calling. They're

[28:44] complaining. Uh they're confused. The

[28:46] flyers are really vicious. I mean they

[28:48] look very official. uh they have the

[28:50] seal of the state and they say, you

[28:52] know, two voters that uh that the state

[28:55] uh general assembly met and made this

[28:57] decision because of the fact that the

[28:59] lines were going to be too long at the

[29:00] polls. So, it's a very very vicious way

[29:03] of discouraging voters from showing up.

[29:06] >> Have you seen the same sort of thing?

[29:08] >> Sure. There are flyers. They actually

[29:09] affect both Democratic communities and

[29:12] Republican communities. So, that

[29:14] certainly exists. uh your piece referred

[29:16] to ACORN and its registration of voters.

[29:19] Uh that's a problem when people try and

[29:22] register falsely. But the larger problem

[29:24] is is that we have two sides of the same

[29:26] coin. Republicans talk about fraud,

[29:29] Democrats talk about suppression. It has

[29:32] really become and there are isolated

[29:34] incidents of it on both sides they can

[29:36] point to, but it is also sort of seeped

[29:39] into the get out the vote programs that

[29:41] both parties use to motivate their

[29:43] bases. that leads to a lack of

[29:45] confidence in the system and that's sort

[29:47] of a long-term systemic problem.

[29:49] >> We just saw in Judy's piece the long

[29:51] lines of people signing lining up to

[29:53] vote early that I what one report

[29:56] onethird of voters are actually voting

[29:58] early this time. Is that necessarily you

[30:00] were saying it's a good thing but is it

[30:02] necessarily a good thing if it creates

[30:04] potential for more confusion?

[30:05] >> Well, you know I think early voting now

[30:06] has been used by some states for you

[30:08] know several elections and they have you

[30:11] know functioned very well. I think that

[30:13] early voting takes care of many

[30:14] problems. I mean, if you're a mother and

[30:16] you have to take a child to school, uh,

[30:18] and you have to be at work. I mean,

[30:20] >> does it create more problems as well?

[30:22] >> No, I don't think so. I haven't seen any

[30:24] evidence of that because think about it.

[30:26] If all those people were showing up on

[30:27] for one day of voting, if you got four

[30:30] lines already, what kind of hour lines

[30:32] would you have on one day if that was

[30:34] the only option? It's very good for

[30:36] people to be able to vote on a Saturday.

[30:38] It's very good for people to be able to

[30:39] vote absentee. It's very good to have

[30:42] these options for voting and they've

[30:43] worked so effectively. It's really made

[30:45] a big difference in turnout and in

[30:47] registration.

[30:48] >> Early voting a help or a hindrance?

[30:50] >> Oh, I think on balance it's a help. I

[30:52] think anytime you allow more people

[30:54] access to the voting system that that's

[30:56] good. You need to um it does create more

[30:58] problems and it prolongs the problems uh

[31:01] in the sense that there is a longer

[31:03] period of time when folks may have to be

[31:06] standing online. It does put more stress

[31:08] on the counties and the volunteers

[31:10] because they have to work more days. But

[31:12] on balance, increasing access to the

[31:14] voting booth is is really what it ought

[31:16] to be about.

[31:17] >> Technology, is there a way for

[31:19] technology to solve some of the problems

[31:20] or anticipate some of the problems which

[31:22] we're facing on election day?

[31:24] >> Uh after a number of years, I mean,

[31:27] we're not there yet. I think, you know,

[31:29] Nevada uh has it almost right. Uh but

[31:33] not all the systems do.

[31:34] >> What is Nevada? Nevada has a really

[31:36] nice, you know, system. If you've been

[31:38] watching, they actually have polling

[31:39] places in malls. They have polling

[31:42] places so accessible and people are able

[31:44] to just go and vote and it's making a

[31:46] huge difference because people are

[31:48] finding that it's easier to vote, you

[31:50] know, in these common places where you

[31:52] frequent anyway. Uh, but the, uh,

[31:55] technology is catching up a little bit

[31:57] where it's able to both be electronic

[32:00] and print out some kind of paper ballot.

[32:02] and Ben Ginsburg. As I mentioned at the

[32:04] out at the start here, you are standing

[32:06] by in case you need to do a recount for

[32:08] for the McCain campaign as you did for

[32:10] the Bush campaign. Is is a legal

[32:12] challenge inevitable no matter what

[32:14] happens Tuesday night?

[32:16] >> Oh, I I don't think it necessarily is. I

[32:18] mean, historically, you get a

[32:19] presidential recount about once every

[32:21] 126 years or so. So, I think we ought

[32:24] >> Maybe not a recount, but any other other

[32:26] kinds of challenges?

[32:26] >> Oh, there will be legal challenges. uh

[32:28] as as has been reported frequently,

[32:31] there are lots of lawyers who are out

[32:33] for both parties in the polling places.

[32:35] They are a touch overcaffeinated

[32:37] especially early in the morning. There

[32:39] may be um challenges that take place. Uh

[32:43] so I think that that has now become

[32:45] ingrained in the system. That's not

[32:47] necessarily bad because it does provide

[32:49] sort of a check and balance on the

[32:51] charges that have now become part of the

[32:53] political process.

[32:54] >> Ben Ginsburg and Barbara Arwine, thank

[32:56] you both very much.

[32:57] >> Thanks. Thank you.

[32:59] >> There's more about voting problems on

[33:01] our website. You can also learn about

[33:03] our election day experiment with YouTube

[33:06] called Video Your Vote. We're asking

[33:08] people to film their voting experience

[33:10] and document any problems they may

[33:13] encounter. For more information and to

[33:15] participate, go to pbs.org and then

[33:18] scroll down to NewsHour Reports.

[33:29] And now to that war that won't go away.

[33:31] Ray Suarez has our story. It's been 7

[33:35] years since the US invaded Afghanistan

[33:37] in October 2001 following the 9/11

[33:40] attacks. But the relatively easy ouster

[33:43] of the Taliban government has turned

[33:45] into a long and deadly struggle that's

[33:48] now taking more US and allied lives than

[33:50] the war in Iraq. Now, there's talk of

[33:53] both sending in more troops to

[33:55] Afghanistan and negotiating with

[33:57] elements of the Taliban. New York Times

[34:00] foreign correspondent John Burns

[34:02] recently returned from several weeks

[34:04] reporting in that country and he joins

[34:06] me now. John, welcome back. What are US

[34:09] commanders saying to you about their

[34:11] troop needs in Afghanistan?

[34:14] Well, that the needs are urgent and

[34:16] pressing. Um, unlike the situation in

[34:19] Iraq where for at least uh three or four

[34:22] years, American commanders were very

[34:24] reluctant to say publicly what they were

[34:27] saying privately, which was that they

[34:28] needed more troops in Afghanistan.

[34:31] General McKinnon, the commander there,

[34:32] and General Petraeus, who is uh to take

[34:35] over on on Friday as the overall

[34:37] commander for the two wars, um are

[34:40] saying very clearly they need more

[34:41] troops. They have 65,000 NATO troops of

[34:44] whom about 33,000 American troops. If

[34:47] there's going to be a serious increment

[34:49] in those troops, they're uh

[34:51] unfortunately going to have to be

[34:52] American troops. The European allies,

[34:55] the principal European NATO allies um

[34:57] are simply very reluctant to deploy uh

[35:00] more troops uh and especially to deploy

[35:02] more troops into the areas of most

[35:04] hazard. Did they have a specific number

[35:07] of US troops going in country in mind

[35:10] and a specific mission for them?

[35:13] >> Well, General McKinnon uh said when he

[35:15] was back in Washington to see the

[35:16] president and discuss war strategy um

[35:20] earlier in the month that he would like

[35:22] to see uh at least three more American

[35:24] combat brigades. He's been told he can

[35:26] have one uh that's something like three

[35:28] and a half thousand to four and a half

[35:30] thousand men uh by early next year, but

[35:33] that any increment beyond that will have

[35:35] to come later in the year and will

[35:37] depend on a troop draw down in Iraq. The

[35:39] two wars are now very clearly linked in

[35:41] that respect. Do the generals in Iraq,

[35:43] those running the American effort and

[35:46] telling you they need more troops, uh,

[35:48] in in effect waiting to see what happens

[35:51] November 4th, does the fate of those

[35:53] requests in some part rest on who's

[35:56] elected president next week?

[35:59] >> I think the uncertainties about future

[36:01] American uh military strategy in Iraq

[36:05] than the uh uncertainties about

[36:07] Afghanistan. Uh the principal difference

[36:09] which I think would be evident to to to

[36:11] most Americans would be that there has

[36:13] been a protracted debate in Iraq uh over

[36:15] the Iraq policy now for years. Should we

[36:18] stay? Should we go? Uh at least in

[36:20] mainstream American politics as I judge

[36:22] it uh from my my uh time here in the

[36:25] United States in the last 10 days or so,

[36:28] it seems to me that the general view is

[36:29] that failure is not an option in

[36:31] Afghanistan. U and of course that goes

[36:33] back to 9/11. Um and the recognition of

[36:36] where 9/11 came from from al-Qaeda in a

[36:40] in an Afghanistan ruled by the the

[36:42] Taliban. Um and so it it seems to me

[36:45] that that that all the main players here

[36:47] and Senator Obama are among them are

[36:49] agreed uh that there may need to be more

[36:51] troops and more resources and more money

[36:53] and more aid money and a new war

[36:56] strategy u in Afghanistan um to prevail.

[37:00] Is the state of the mission is the state

[37:03] of the pacification of the country

[37:05] different in Afghanistan from what it is

[37:08] today in Iraq? And you've spent a lot of

[37:11] time in both places. Maybe you could

[37:12] compare them.

[37:15] >> Yes, I think it is. And of course, it

[37:17] comes as a great surprise in a way uh

[37:19] for somebody who spent as long as I did

[37:21] 5 years in Iraq to see how quickly the

[37:23] situation in Afghanistan has

[37:25] deteriorated. And I think you could say

[37:27] that in some respects parallels are a

[37:29] little uh are a little misleading but in

[37:31] some respects the situation in

[37:33] Afghanistan and let's remember 7 years

[37:36] after the fall of the Taliban looks a

[37:39] little bit like the situation in Iraq

[37:41] shall we say in late 2004 and early 2005

[37:45] when all the indicators all the indices

[37:47] or as the metric the the military like

[37:49] to say all the metrics um are headed

[37:52] downward. The trends are not good. uh

[37:54] there is a need for more troops. There's

[37:56] need for a new war strategy. Um and the

[38:00] most optimistic ele uh estimates seem to

[38:02] be that even if more resources are

[38:04] dedicated, it may take may take two to

[38:07] three years to begin to turn this

[38:08] around.

[38:09] >> Is that assessment what you've just said

[38:12] uh the kind of thing that's leading

[38:14] people to talk openly about opening up

[38:16] channels to the Taliban?

[38:19] >> It is. Uh but I think we need to be very

[38:22] wary of that. Of course, if you could

[38:24] engage the Taliban in serious

[38:25] negotiations and bring this uh war to an

[38:28] end uh by by those talks, um nobody

[38:31] would oppose them, but uh at the moment

[38:34] they haven't even had talks about talks.

[38:37] Um there's a lot of talk here um and

[38:40] amongst diplomats about the need for

[38:42] talks. There are some very preliminary

[38:44] sorts of encounters, none of them

[38:46] substantial or substantive. Uh the

[38:48] problem is this. Uh the Taliban are in

[38:51] fact a divided organization to an

[38:53] extent. There are fishes within the

[38:54] Taliban. There are elements in the

[38:56] Taliban that are more uh militantly

[38:58] Islamist than others. There are other

[39:00] elements which are more nationalist than

[39:02] Islamist. There are fishes which go back

[39:04] to the old Mujahedin struggle against

[39:06] the Soviet occupation. Rivalries between

[39:09] different commanders. All of this is

[39:11] true. But those rivalries and those

[39:13] fishes tend to lead uh in the direction

[39:16] of more rad more more more radicalism.

[39:19] Uh that's to say people if they start

[39:22] out bidding each other within the

[39:23] Taliban on this issue, they're likely to

[39:25] outbid each other in terms not of more

[39:27] accommodation towards the uh negotiation

[39:31] and towards settlement of this war but

[39:33] to more militant positions. And the

[39:36] still the dominant at least ideological

[39:38] figure within the Taliban is Mullah

[39:40] Muhammad Omar. uh the leader of the

[39:42] Taliban, the man who as much as any

[39:43] founded the sucker to bin Laden and who

[39:47] continues to declare on uh militant

[39:49] Islamist websites uh that he remains at

[39:52] one uh with al-Qaeda. So that doesn't

[39:55] seem very promising to me. What if you

[39:57] get out into the villages? What do

[39:59] people who have lived with the Taliban

[40:01] and in in some cases suffered with the

[40:03] Taliban uh think about those kinds of

[40:06] ideas?

[40:08] >> Well, there's there's some of the good

[40:09] news. I didn't travel very widely, but I

[40:11] did get outside of Kabell and I did go

[40:13] into villages. I went into a number of

[40:16] villages which had been destroyed by the

[40:17] Taliban shortly after they came to power

[40:20] in Kabell. And there and elsewhere, I

[40:22] found the same uh the same truth. And by

[40:25] the way, it's essentially the same truth

[40:26] that we found in a like circumstance in

[40:29] Iraq. And that is to say, um there are

[40:31] not demands for the withdrawal of

[40:33] American and NATO troops. Quite the

[40:35] contrary. uh people who lived under the

[40:37] Taliban like people who lived under

[40:39] Saddam Hussein do not want to go back to

[40:42] that brutality and repression. Uh they

[40:45] want security above all they want

[40:47] security and they recognize that that is

[40:49] not likely to come by a draw down or a

[40:52] retreat of foreign forces. So the notion

[40:54] that a foreign force is doomed to fail

[40:56] in Afghanistan as we can see from

[40:58] history you can make that argument I

[41:00] think is in this case uh not applicable.

[41:03] They want security. uh they want a

[41:06] little bit more uh if you will

[41:07] moderation some ways some sometimes in

[41:10] the application of uh American and other

[41:13] NATO firepower. I'm talking about

[41:14] civilian casualties uh from bombings.

[41:17] That's true. But uh above all what those

[41:20] people seem to want is um they're very

[41:23] disappointed that uh their lives did not

[41:26] improve in terms of their standards of

[41:28] living especially because of the years

[41:30] of drought. uh food is very much more

[41:32] expensive and the common complaint in

[41:34] those villages is that they are worse

[41:36] off now than they were um five or six

[41:39] seven years ago. Uh that's going to be

[41:41] difficult thing to turn around an

[41:43] expensive thing to turn around and and

[41:45] all the more difficult for the fact that

[41:46] uh so much of the uh hinterland in in

[41:49] Afghanistan uh uh most of it indeed uh

[41:52] south of the Hindu Kush where the

[41:54] Pashtun tribes

[41:54] >> I'm sorry I have to break in there

[41:56] >> but thanks a lot for talking to us. Good

[41:58] to talk to you again, John Burns with

[42:00] us.

[42:01] >> Thank you very much.

[42:09] And finally tonight, more big changes in

[42:11] the world of old and new media. Jeffrey

[42:14] Brown has our media unit report. A

[42:18] landmark legal settlement yesterday

[42:20] allows the internet search giant Google

[42:23] to continue its yearslong project to

[42:25] scan books and make them available on

[42:27] the internet. Google will pay $125

[42:30] million to settle two copyright suits

[42:33] brought by book publishers and authors.

[42:36] The deal will make it easier for all

[42:38] parties to profit from the digital

[42:40] versions of printed books. Google has

[42:43] already scanned 7 million texts, nearly

[42:46] 5 million of which were out of print.

[42:48] Everything from classics to esoteric

[42:51] science texts and how-to books on

[42:53] ancient trades. Until this settlement,

[42:56] users could only see parts of these scan

[42:59] works unless the copyright holder let

[43:01] the entire work be viewed. That will now

[43:04] change for books that are out of print.

[43:06] But even as the deal points to a

[43:08] continued revamping of the world of

[43:10] books, including one where they're read

[43:12] on new devices like the Kindle,

[43:15] yesterday also brought still more tumult

[43:18] to another sector of the print world.

[43:20] Newspapers and magazines suffering from

[43:23] a decadel long drop in readership and

[43:25] advertising revenues are taking a new

[43:28] hit as the economy slows. Circulation at

[43:31] most major US newspapers, dropped nearly

[43:34] 5% from March to September, forcing more

[43:37] cuts. Ganette, the nation's largest

[43:40] newspaper company, announced yesterday

[43:42] it will lay off 10% of its workforce,

[43:45] some 3,000 employees. Time, Inc. will

[43:48] give out 600 pink slips across its wide

[43:51] spectrum of magazines. The Star Ledger

[43:54] of Newark, New Jersey, will avoid

[43:56] ceasing operation altogether, only by

[43:59] cutting its already thin editorial staff

[44:02] by 40%. And the Los Angeles Times

[44:05] yesterday announced yet another round of

[44:07] newsroom layoffs, as its parent company,

[44:10] Tribune, seeks to cut costs further. The

[44:13] paper now has about half the newsroom

[44:15] staff it had in 2001. In perhaps the

[44:18] most dramatic move to date, the century

[44:21] old Christian Science Monitor announced

[44:23] yesterday it would cease daily

[44:25] publication and migrate most of its

[44:27] publishing to the web, the first

[44:29] national newspaper to do so. It will

[44:32] still put out a weekly roundup. And we

[44:35] discuss the gains and losses of the

[44:37] changing media landscape now with Mark

[44:39] Glacer, editor of the Media Shift blog

[44:41] on PBS.org, or where he writes on the

[44:44] intersection of media and technology and

[44:47] Steven Levy who does the same as a

[44:49] senior writer at Wired magazine and John

[44:52] Yema editor of the Christian Science

[44:54] Monitor. Well Steven Levy for those who

[44:56] haven't followed this fight between

[44:58] Google and the publishers explain the

[45:00] importance of the settlement.

[45:02] >> Well Google had a really ambitious plan

[45:05] to digitize as many as possible of all

[45:08] the world's books. all the books ever

[45:09] written essentially is what they wanted

[45:11] to do. And the publishers and the

[45:13] authors objected to this because they

[45:15] felt that Google was illegally making

[45:17] copies of the books and not paying them.

[45:19] They wanted essentially a cut of the

[45:21] action. And that's what this two-year

[45:22] negotiation was about. And the

[45:24] settlement actually turned out into

[45:26] something bigger. Uh it does a few

[45:27] things. It enables Google to, as your

[45:30] reporter said, legally continue this uh

[45:33] activity. They've got 7 million books

[45:35] now. I think they want to go up to 20

[45:36] million uh in the foreseeable future.

[45:39] And uh also that Google's now going to

[45:41] be a distributor of books for sale.

[45:44] They're going to uh set up a system by

[45:46] which uh authors and publishers can get

[45:48] paid when people want to view the books

[45:50] online there. So uh it really puts

[45:53] Google far far ahead of its competitors

[45:55] in delivering probably is what the most

[45:57] significant corpus of information in in

[46:00] the world is in human history. all the

[46:01] printed books

[46:02] >> and Mark Glacer, I mean, we talk so much

[46:04] about the changing economic model when

[46:06] we're talking about new media. How does

[46:08] this play into that? If you're an

[46:10] author, if you're a publisher, how does

[46:13] it change the economics?

[46:15] >> Well, I think it significantly changes

[46:17] the economics because now if you're an

[46:20] author and you have out of print books,

[46:22] you might not have figured out a way to

[46:24] make money. And now through Google,

[46:26] someone could be searching for something

[46:28] that happens to be inside your books and

[46:31] it basically pulls up a book, pulls up

[46:34] that copy. People can preview the book

[46:36] and then they'll be able to buy it. So,

[46:38] it's really giving authors of out of

[46:40] print books um and even authors of books

[46:43] that are in print another revenue

[46:45] stream, another way to make money. And

[46:47] it goes along with this kind of print

[46:48] ondemand that we're starting to see

[46:51] services like Amazon's book surge where

[46:53] a p where an author can basically

[46:56] publish their books themselves.

[46:57] >> Isn't there a downside potentially

[46:59] though for an author that uh you put

[47:01] your work online and then uh you don't

[47:04] get the same amount of royalties that

[47:05] you might have gotten with a real book?

[47:07] >> Well, actually what's interesting is

[47:09] that you do get better royalties when

[47:11] you uh publish and you self-publish

[47:14] online. Um, and in this case with

[47:16] Google, I believe it's a 60% plus

[47:19] royalty for the author, for the

[47:21] publisher. So, I think online, um,

[47:24] you're actually being able to cut out

[47:26] some of the middlemen and go directly

[47:28] from the reader to the author without

[47:31] having to go through the layers of

[47:33] administration.

[47:34] >> All right, we'll come back to some of

[47:35] the economics, but I want to bring John

[47:37] Y because you're you're dealing with

[47:39] another part of this digital change.

[47:41] First, why is it impossible for the

[47:44] monitor to continue as a newspaper of

[47:46] the kind that we can hold in our hand?

[47:49] >> Well, the monitor has a very large na a

[47:52] national circulation that's actually

[47:54] very small. I should say 50,000 52,000

[47:57] readersh scattered across the country

[47:59] and the economics of delivery of

[48:02] printing and delivery to them is very

[48:04] it's it's very difficult for us and has

[48:06] been for decades really. So the advent

[48:09] of the internet where we've seen more

[48:11] people migrating to the web to get their

[48:13] news just seemed to me seem to us to be

[48:16] an opportunity to reach people where

[48:18] they are.

[48:19] >> Okay. It allows you to reach more people

[48:21] where they are. But does it allow you to

[48:24] get more money from those people to pay

[48:26] for the reporting and all the operations

[48:28] of a newspaper?

[48:29] >> Well, I mean our plan is to move towards

[48:31] sustainability and the way that we think

[48:33] we can do that is by having a mix of

[48:35] publications. We have a weekly print

[48:38] publication that will debut in the

[48:40] spring. We have more energy that we'll

[48:42] have on our website now because we'll be

[48:44] able to devote our reporting and editing

[48:46] resources directly to the website. That

[48:48] in turn should make our website

[48:50] csmonitor.com a destination and uh and

[48:53] should increase traffic that should

[48:55] increase revenue. I know it's a tough

[48:57] economic environment. We also have an

[48:59] email news summary that we'll be putting

[49:01] out every day that will be a

[49:03] subscription product. So within these

[49:04] three additions of the monitor, we think

[49:07] that mix will bring in enough revenue

[49:09] and cut enough cost that we'll reach

[49:11] sustainability in 3 to 5 years.

[49:13] >> Well, Stephen, let me let me bring you

[49:14] back on how do you think about the

[49:16] pluses and minuses of the of the

[49:18] economics here, whether it's books or

[49:21] newspapers.

[49:22] >> Well, they have different models. Uh

[49:24] books as as we know and and enjoy don't

[49:27] have ads stuck in in the middle there.

[49:29] That's not the the the the business plan

[49:31] for books. So, it's pretty nice to be

[49:33] able to shift that over uh to the web

[49:35] and and see money for it. Now, Google

[49:37] actually is going to get some

[49:38] advertising money because in the pages

[49:40] you use to preview to see what's in the

[49:42] book, the Google's going to be able to

[49:43] run ads in that. For something like a

[49:45] newspaper or a magazine, things are much

[49:47] tougher because the business model

[49:48] depends on a certain kind of advertising

[49:51] that works well in print but has not

[49:53] worked well on the web. So when you a

[49:56] place is considering advertising on the

[49:58] web, they're more likely to use the kind

[50:00] of ads that uh Google sells, which is

[50:02] ads that are tied to search and they

[50:04] target them to keywords and search uh as

[50:06] opposed to putting ads on a page

[50:09] alongside an article there. Uh so I

[50:11] think it's it's tough sledding for

[50:12] newspapers and magazines uh in in in

[50:15] general. I uh before I was at Wired, I

[50:17] worked for a weekly magazine u for 12

[50:20] years and let me tell you uh weekly

[50:22] magazines are no picnic either. Mark

[50:24] Glacer, same same question. How do you

[50:26] see the pluses and minuses? Uh, stay on

[50:28] the on the journalism side here of

[50:30] newspapers and magazines.

[50:32] >> Yeah, I mean, I think that a lot of

[50:34] people talk about this gloom and doom

[50:36] among journalism and how we're going to

[50:37] really lose serious journalism. And I

[50:39] don't think we're going to lose serious

[50:41] journalism. I think what we're seeing is

[50:43] a change in business models. And I think

[50:45] what the Christian Science Monitor is

[50:47] admitting is that going online is really

[50:50] the way to start thinking about new ways

[50:52] of making money. Whether it's online

[50:53] advertising like Steven said, Google

[50:56] controls a lot of that or whether it's

[50:58] subscriptions like the Wall Street

[50:59] Journal is doing online or even

[51:01] nonprofits like ProPublica or NPR, even

[51:04] PBS right here. These are all different

[51:07] models that people are trying for. Plus,

[51:09] there are experimental ways that

[51:11] journalists are trying to make money

[51:12] going directly to the public for

[51:14] funding. what they're calling

[51:15] crowdfunding, a site called Spot Us,

[51:18] Spot us, which allows people in a

[51:20] community to actually fund the

[51:22] journalists directly without the

[51:24] overhead of a news organization.

[51:26] >> Well, John Yema, I know you've worked at

[51:28] you worked at the Boston Globe and you

[51:29] certainly know the uh the industry.

[51:31] Well, what about the quality question? I

[51:34] mean, even if you can put out more

[51:35] information to many more people from

[51:38] different sources, what about

[51:40] maintaining the kind of uh standards of

[51:42] quality Well, you know, your standards

[51:45] start with your your standards. And the

[51:47] Christian Science Monitor for 100 years

[51:49] has had a certain set of standards

[51:51] that's trying to reach people who want

[51:53] to understand the world. Not unlike PBS

[51:56] viewers, uh people who and our foreign

[51:58] bureaus, our national bureaus. We all

[52:01] have this um this this drive to

[52:04] understand the world and to convey that

[52:06] in a non-sensationalistic way. So, a

[52:08] hundred years of that is the development

[52:10] of some pretty strong standards. We

[52:12] think we can take those onto the web.

[52:13] And indeed, for the past 10 years, we've

[52:15] like every newspaper, we've been on the

[52:17] web, but now we can unshackle ourselves

[52:19] from the constraints of print and devote

[52:21] our time and attention directly to the

[52:23] web, which frankly will help us develop,

[52:25] you know, the right kind of journalism

[52:27] for the web, we think, and and you know,

[52:29] keep fly our flag there.

[52:31] >> Well, Stephen, Levy, you know,

[52:32] everyone's wondering where this is all

[52:34] going. How much do we already know about

[52:37] changing reading habits already? How

[52:40] many people is it is it generational the

[52:43] way we often hear about who's reading

[52:45] the newspaper online? Uh the

[52:47] introduction of the Kindle I mentioned

[52:49] as a new way of reading books. How much

[52:51] do we know about how many changes have

[52:53] occurred already?

[52:55] >> Well, we do know that as you mentioned

[52:56] there is a big generational uh uh

[53:00] difference between younger and older

[53:02] people in reading habits. Uh people

[53:04] complain that young people don't read

[53:05] but they do read quite a lot. they read

[53:07] a lot on the web and uh they don't

[53:12] support the same kind of publications uh

[53:15] that uh their parents read uh because by

[53:17] getting it on the web and by you know

[53:19] grazing uh read an article here or read

[53:21] an article there uh they have a

[53:23] different kind of experience there and

[53:26] uh to be honest it is somewhat worrisome

[53:29] for the kind of really uh serious uh

[53:32] in-depth journalism that some of the

[53:34] great institutions you know that we we

[53:36] know have been, you know, going on for,

[53:38] you know, and delivering us for years.

[53:40] Uh, when you surf on the web, uh, you

[53:42] you get distracted very easily. You look

[53:44] at the top most read articles in a lot

[53:47] of the websites and it's not the ones

[53:48] that are the in-depth investigations,

[53:50] but it's an article about Britney Spears

[53:52] or something like that or or

[53:53] cheerleaders, uh, which which or or you

[53:56] know, a dog that got lost, which tops

[53:59] the story about the investigation, uh,

[54:01] in your local community or, you know, a

[54:03] national story.

[54:05] >> All right. Well, to be continued on the

[54:07] business, on the standards, and all

[54:08] those questions, Steven Levy, Mark

[54:10] Glacer, and John Yema. Thank you all

[54:12] very much.

[54:13] >> Thank you.

[54:22] >> Again, the major development of this

[54:23] day, the Federal Reserve cut a major

[54:25] interest rate by another half point, but

[54:28] a Wall Street rally about it faded.

[54:30] We'll see you online and again here

[54:32] tomorrow evening. I'm Jim Lara. Thank

[54:34] you and good night.

[54:42] >> Major funding for the NewsHour with Jim

[54:44] Lara is provided by

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